California at USC - 2022 Matchup Preview
California logo   California Golden Bears at USC Trojans  USC logo
Saturday, November 5th 2022 (10:30 PM EDT)
USC -21.5 (60.5)
USC 41 - California: 35  (Pac-12)

 
Golden Bears (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Justin Wilcox (26 - 28)
Avg Score : 25 - 27 (24 - 30 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CAL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -13.5  (SP+ USC -22)
Projected Score: CAL: 22 - USC: 34 (56)
USC Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
CAL Travel: 347 miles
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
California's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 California vs UC Davis-14.044.0W 34 - 13OY
Sat 9/10 California vs UNLV-12.049.5W 20 - 14UN
Sat 9/17 California at Notre Dame+13.541.5L 17 - 24UY
Sat 9/24 California vs Arizona-3.550.0W 49 - 31OY
Sat 10/1 California at Washington State+4.052.5L 9 - 28UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 California at Colorado-15.049.0L 13 - 20UN
Sat 10/22 California vs Washington+7.554.5L 21 - 28UY
Sat 10/29 California vs Oregon+16.556.5L 24 - 42ON
Sat 11/5 California at USC+21.560.5L 35 - 41OY
Sat 11/12 California at Oregon State+11.547.0L 10 - 38ON
Sat 11/19 California vs Stanford-5.046.0W 27 - 20OY
Fri 11/25 California vs UCLA+11.562.5L 28 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for California's Schedule
USC's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Rice-33.061.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/10 USC at Stanford-9.566.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 USC vs Fresno State-11.071.0W 45 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 USC at Oregon State-5.570.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-24.561.0W 42 - 25ON
Sat 10/8 USC vs Washington State-12.564.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/15 USC at Utah+3.565.0L 42 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 USC at Arizona-14.074.0W 45 - 37ON
Sat 11/5 USC vs California-21.560.5W 41 - 35ON
Fri 11/11 USC vs Colorado-34.066.0W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-2.576.5W 48 - 45OY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-4.063.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 12/2 USC vs Utah-3.067.5L 24 - 47ON
Mon 1/2 USC vs Tulane-1.567.0L 45 - 46ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL.2344%25.350%3.5316439%2223.62.1743%27.247%41%3.0157.80.81.7
USC.1946%35.850%3.1914644%2983.77.3248%2346%51%4.5174.61.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CAL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Offense1225.323.743.8%3.620.8193861642224.948%52%50%39%13%.23
USC Defense122317.947.8%4.511.6 - - - - - 56%44%46%51%14%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CAL Defense1227.229.643.4%3.011.7 - - - - - 47%52%47%41%16%.17
USC Offense1235.84346.3%3.771.7264441462984.442%58%50%44%17%.19

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
California1230:251941%33%6.257.80.81.75.31.9226.3
USC1231:2825.845%67%7.974.61.71.64.31.8126.8
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Offense1248%50%33.5164.24.917.273.5381%8%0.97
USC Defense1256%46% - - - - .183.0686%9%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CAL Defense1247%47% - - - - .153.2583%9%0.94
USC Offense1242%50%33.4145.64.416.153.1978%9%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Offense1252%39%19.631.8221.6711.3168.221.531%30%.295%1.9
USC Defense1244%51% - - - - - - 14.51.629%33%.485%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CAL Defense1252%41% - - - - - - 13.231.532%32%.287%2.1
USC Offense1258%44%26.541.7298.37.211.32113.241.431%33%.249%1.8

California's Power Ratings
California's Power Rating: NR
California's Offense Rating: NR
California's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #47
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
California's 2022 Expected Record: -
California's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.0  #77
California's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #91
California's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9  #60

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
California:    USC: 11.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
California: -3.0   USC: 18.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.95 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2022 Expected Record: -
USC's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.9  #11
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 46.6  #2
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #64

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


California Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.7
Defense: 27.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

California's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 34
California 22

Projected Total Points: 56
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/28California49USC50USC -10.5California67.5Over
202211/05USC41California35USC -21.5California60.5Over
202112/04California24USC14California -4.5California57.5Under
201911/16California17USC41USC -4.5USC47.5Over
201811/10USC14California15USC -5.5California45.5Under
201709/23California20USC30USC -17California63.0Under
201610/27USC45California24USC -14.5USC73.0Under
201510/31California21USC27USC -4USC69.0Under
201411/13USC38California30USC -12California0
201311/09California28USC62USC -17USC0
201209/22USC27California9
201110/13California9USC30
201010/16USC48California14
200910/03California3USC30
200811/08USC17California3
200711/10California17USC24
200611/18USC23California9
200511/12California10USC35
200410/09USC23California17
200309/27California34USC31
200210/12USC30California28
200111/10California14USC55
200010/27USC16California28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1943 Overs
California465 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 124 - 62 - 32 - 3
Road Teams12 - 116 - 43 - 23 - 2

(#) CAL at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCALUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #77 #11
Perf GradeGrade #120 #14
OffenseOff #83 #5
DefenseDef #130 #70
Spec TeamsST #109 #136
TalentTal #47 #11
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
California on Offense
CategoryCat
CAL OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #83 #70
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
California Run Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #7 #84
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #130 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #90
California Pass Game
CategoryCat
CAL OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #39 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #126 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffCAL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #130
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffCAL Def
Run GameRun #10 #133
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #69
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffCAL Def
Pass GamePass #5 #98
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10 #133
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

CAL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'22 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
USC -21.5 (60.5)
USC won vs California this year (41-35)

Previous Matchups
USC beat California in 2023 (50-49)

  
CAL's OC Bill Musgrave (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View California's Full Roster

CAL's DC Peter Sirmon (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD