Colorado at USC - 2022 Matchup Preview
Colorado logo Colorado Buffaloes at USC TrojansUSC logo
Friday, November 11th 2022 (9:30 PM EST)
USC -34 (66.0)
USC 55 - Colorado: 17  (Pac-12)

 
Buffaloes (1 - 11) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Karl Dorrell (8 - 10)
Avg Score : 21 - 31 (17 - 35 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC 2nd straight Home Game
COLO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -22  (SP+ USC -39)

Projected Score: COLO: 20 - USC: 36 (56)
USC Win prob: 100% | Cover: 48%
COLO Travel: 828 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (43 - 18 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Colorado's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Colorado vs TCU+13.559.0L 13 - 38UN
Sat 9/10 Colorado at Air Force+17.550.0L 10 - 41ON
Sat 9/17 Colorado at Minnesota+28.047.5L 7 - 49ON
Sat 9/24 Colorado vs UCLA+22.057.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 10/1 Colorado at Arizona+17.557.5L 20 - 43ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Colorado vs California+15.049.0W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/22 Colorado at Oregon State+23.047.5L 9 - 42ON
Sat 10/29 Colorado vs Arizona State+13.049.0L 34 - 42OY
Sat 11/5 Colorado vs Oregon+31.062.5L 10 - 49UN
Fri 11/11 Colorado at USC+34.066.0L 17 - 55ON
Sat 11/19 Colorado at Washington+30.561.5L 7 - 54UN
Sat 11/26 Colorado vs Utah+30.052.0L 21 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Colorado's Schedule
USC's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Rice-33.061.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/10 USC at Stanford-9.566.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 USC vs Fresno State-11.071.0W 45 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 USC at Oregon State-5.570.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-24.561.0W 42 - 25ON
Sat 10/8 USC vs Washington State-12.564.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/15 USC at Utah+3.565.0L 42 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 USC at Arizona-14.074.0W 45 - 37ON
Sat 11/5 USC vs California-21.560.5W 41 - 35ON
Fri 11/11 USC vs Colorado-34.066.0W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-2.576.5W 48 - 45OY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-4.063.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 12/2 USC vs Utah-3.067.5L 24 - 47ON
Mon 1/2 USC vs Tulane-1.567.0L 45 - 46ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO.0936%20.942%2.7612628%1313.82.2645%30.549%42%3.7456.40.61.3
USC.1946%35.850%3.1914644%2983.77.3248%2346%51%4.5174.61.71.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
COLO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Offense1220.916.836.1%3.820.6142571261313.557%43%42%28%20%.09
USC Defense122317.947.8%4.511.6 - - - - - 56%44%46%51%14%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
COLO Defense1230.535.445.1%3.741.3 - - - - - 49%51%49%42%14%.26
USC Offense1235.84346.3%3.771.7264441462984.442%58%50%44%17%.19

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Colorado1227:1114.432%33%6.356.40.61.351.1328.2
USC1231:2825.845%67%7.974.61.71.64.31.8126.8
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Offense1257%42%36.5126.23.512.072.7676%13%0.86
USC Defense1256%46% - - - - .183.0686%9%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
COLO Defense1249%49% - - - - .233.2679%9%1.02
USC Offense1242%50%33.4145.64.416.153.1978%9%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Offense1243%28%12.822.4131.35.910.2103.121.735%21%.187%2.2
USC Defense1244%51% - - - - - - 14.51.629%33%.485%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
COLO Defense1251%42% - - - - - - 9.311.633%37%.535%2
USC Offense1258%44%26.541.7298.37.211.32113.241.431%33%.249%1.8

Colorado's Power Ratings
Colorado's Power Rating: NR
Colorado's Offense Rating: NR
Colorado's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Colorado's 2022 Expected Record: -
Colorado's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.4  #125
Colorado's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #85
Colorado's Defense SP+ Rating: 45.0  #131

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Colorado:    USC: 11.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Colorado: -20.4   USC: 18.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.95 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2022 Expected Record: -
USC's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.9  #11
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 46.6  #2
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #64

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Colorado Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.8
Defense: 30.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.4

Colorado's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 6 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 6 - 0
Projected Score
USC 36
Colorado 20


Projected Total Points: 56
USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 43
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

USC's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Colorado41USC48USC -22Colorado74.5Over
202211/11USC55Colorado17USC -34USC66.0Over
202110/02Colorado14USC37USC -9USC50.5Over
201910/25Colorado31USC35USC -10.5Colorado65.0Over
201810/13USC31Colorado20USC -7USC57.0Under
201711/11Colorado24USC38USC -14NA63.0Under
201610/08USC21Colorado17USC -4Push62.5Under
201511/13Colorado24USC27USC -14.5Colorado58.5Under
201410/18USC56Colorado28USC -20.5USC0
201311/23Colorado29USC47USC -21.5Colorado0
201210/20USC50Colorado6
201111/04Colorado17USC42
200209/14Colorado3USC40
200009/08USC17Colorado14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1444 Overs
Colorado044 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 87 - 13 - 04 - 1
Road Teams8 - 61 - 71 - 40 - 3

(#) COLO at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCOLOUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #125 #11
Perf GradeGrade #136 #14
OffenseOff #127 #5
DefenseDef #136 #70
Spec TeamsST #76 #136
TalentTal #61 #11
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Colorado on Offense
CategoryCat
COLO OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #127 #70
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Colorado Run Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #107 #84
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #106 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #90
Colorado Pass Game
CategoryCat
COLO OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #126 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #60 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffCOLO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #136
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #131
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffCOLO Def
Run GameRun #10 #136
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #136
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffCOLO Def
Pass GamePass #5 #136
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10 #135
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

COLO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 57°
Rematch from Week 11
USC -34.0 (66.0)
USC won vs Colorado this year (55-17)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Colorado in 2023 (48-41)

  
COLO's OC Mike Sanford Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Colorado's Full Roster

COLO's DC Chris Wilson (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD