Notre Dame at USC - 2022 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo (#9)Notre Dame Fighting Irish at USC Trojans(#15)USC logo
Saturday, November 26th 2022 (7:30 PM EST)
USC -4 (63.5)
USC 38 - Notre Dame: 27

 
Fighting Irish (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (31 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC is playing their 5th straight game
ND is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ USC -9)
Projected Score: ND: 32 - USC: 35 (67)
USC Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
ND Travel: 1816 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 29 (45 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Notre Dame's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Notre Dame at Ohio State+17.058.5L 10 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 Notre Dame vs Marshall-20.548.0L 21 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Notre Dame vs California-13.541.5W 24 - 17UN
Sat 9/24 Notre Dame at North Carolina+2.555.0W 45 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8 Notre Dame vs BYU-4.051.0W 28 - 20UY
Sat 10/15 Notre Dame vs Stanford-16.553.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 10/22 Notre Dame vs UNLV-26.046.5W 44 - 21ON
Sat 10/29 Notre Dame at Syracuse+1.048.0W 41 - 24OY
Sat 11/5 Notre Dame vs Clemson+3.543.5W 35 - 14OY
Sat 11/12 Notre Dame vs Navy-17.040.5W 35 - 32ON
Sat 11/19 Notre Dame vs Boston College-20.042.0W 44 - 0OY
Sat 11/26 Notre Dame at USC+4.063.5L 27 - 38ON
Fri 12/30 Notre Dame vs South Carolina-5.050.5W 45 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
USC's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Rice-33.061.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/10 USC at Stanford-9.566.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 USC vs Fresno State-11.071.0W 45 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 USC at Oregon State-5.570.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-24.561.0W 42 - 25ON
Sat 10/8 USC vs Washington State-12.564.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/15 USC at Utah+3.565.0L 42 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 USC at Arizona-14.074.0W 45 - 37ON
Sat 11/5 USC vs California-21.560.5W 41 - 35ON
Fri 11/11 USC vs Colorado-34.066.0W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-2.576.5W 48 - 45OY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-4.063.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 12/2 USC vs Utah-3.067.5L 24 - 47ON
Mon 1/2 USC vs Tulane-1.567.0L 45 - 46ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND.248%31.849%3.3418946%2073.99.1439%2344%35%3.9242.31.41.4
USC.451%41.453%3.5217150%3354.68.2948%29.253%46%4.54580.52.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense1331.830.847.6%3.991.4223961892074.658%41%49%46%12%.2
USC Defense1429.221.348.4%4.542.1 - - - - - 44%55%53%46%17%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense132328.838.9%3.921.4 - - - - - 48%51%44%35%15%.14
USC Offense1441.445.351.3%4.680.5265061713355.144%56%53%50%11%.4

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1332:1021.647%44%4.642.31.41.462.8333.4
USC1431:5425.754%68%6.3580.52.15.52.9328.2
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1358%49%40.8189.14.625.163.3473%7%0.85
USC Defense1444%53% - - - - .363.4578%10%1.14
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1348%44% - - - - .173.0163%11%1.06
USC Offense1444%53%33.8171.15.130.33.5283%7%0.97

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1341%46%16.226207.2812.82511.271.626%33%.355%1.9
USC Defense1455%46% - - - - - - 19.271.529%36%.427%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1351%35% - - - - - - 10.141.733%26%.284%2.3
USC Offense1456%50%24.636.7335.39.113.7435.481.628%36%.494%2.2

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Notre Dame's 2022 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.3  #35
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #56
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #36

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame:    USC: 11.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 10.3   USC: 18.9




USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: 11.95 NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
USC's 2022 Expected Record: -
USC's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.9  #11
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 46.6  #2
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #64

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Notre Dame's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
USC 35
Notre Dame 32

Total Points: 67

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 35
USC 34

Total Points: 69

Based on Entire Season
USC 35
Notre Dame 29

Total Points: 64
USC Scoring
Offense: 41.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.3

USC's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Notre Dame34USC24Notre Dame -10.5USC60.5Under
202411/30USC35Notre Dame49Notre Dame -6.5Notre Dame52.5Over
202310/14Notre Dame48USC20Notre Dame -3Notre Dame61.0Over
202211/26USC38Notre Dame27USC -4USC63.5Over
202110/23Notre Dame31USC16Notre Dame -8Notre Dame59.5Under
201910/12Notre Dame30USC27Notre Dame -10.5USC60.0Under
201811/24USC17Notre Dame24Notre Dame -12.5USC54.0Under
201710/21Notre Dame49USC14Notre Dame -4Notre Dame61.5Over
201611/26USC45Notre Dame27USC -17USC59.5Over
201510/17Notre Dame41USC31Notre Dame -3Notre Dame62.0Over
201411/29USC49Notre Dame14USC -7USC0
201310/19Notre Dame14USC10Notre Dame -1.5Notre Dame0
201211/24USC13Notre Dame22
201110/22Notre Dame17USC31
201011/27USC16Notre Dame20
200910/17Notre Dame27USC34
200811/29USC38Notre Dame3
200710/20Notre Dame0USC38
200611/25USC44Notre Dame24
200510/15Notre Dame31USC34
200411/27USC41Notre Dame10
200310/18Notre Dame14USC45
200110/20Notre Dame27USC16
200011/24USC21Notre Dame38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
USC1166 Overs
Notre Dame1364 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 109 - 38 - 21 - 1
Road Teams10 - 143 - 91 - 12 - 8

(#) ND at (#) USC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDUSC
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #35 #11
Perf GradeGrade #18 #14
OffenseOff #16 #5
DefenseDef #44 #70
Spec TeamsST #6 #136
TalentTal #10 #11
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCat
ND OffUSC Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #70
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #56 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #58 #84
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #5 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #90
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCat
ND OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #73 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #33 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCatUSC OffND Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #44
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #36
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffND Def
Run GameRun #10 #53
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #7
USC Pass Game
CategoryCatUSC OffND Def
Pass GamePass #5 #50
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #10 #39
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

ND 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 61°
Rematch from Week 13
USC -4.0 (63.5)
USC won vs Notre Dame this year (38-27)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat USC last year (49-35)
Notre Dame beat USC in 2023 (48-20)
USC beat Notre Dame in 2022 (38-27)

  
ND's OC Tommy Rees (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Al Golden (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USC's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD