USC at Arizona - 2022 Matchup Preview
USC logo   USC Trojans at Arizona Wildcats  Arizona logo
Saturday, October 29th 2022 (7:00 PM EDT)
USC -14 (74.0)
USC 45 - Arizona: 37  (Pac-12)

 
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
USC coming off BYE
ARIZ coming off BYE
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ USC -22)
Projected Score: USC: 25 - ARIZ: 29 (54)
USC Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
USC Travel: 442 miles, 1 hrs behind
Wildcats (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jedd Fisch (1 - 11)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (35 - 16 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Rice-33.061.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/10 USC at Stanford-9.566.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 USC vs Fresno State-11.071.0W 45 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 USC at Oregon State-5.570.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-24.561.0W 42 - 25ON
Sat 10/8 USC vs Washington State-12.564.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/15 USC at Utah+3.565.0L 42 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 USC at Arizona-14.074.0W 45 - 37ON
Sat 11/5 USC vs California-21.560.5W 41 - 35ON
Fri 11/11 USC vs Colorado-34.066.0W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-2.576.5W 48 - 45OY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-4.063.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 12/2 USC vs Utah-3.067.5L 24 - 47ON
Mon 1/2 USC vs Tulane-1.567.0L 45 - 46ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Arizona's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Arizona at San Diego State+6.046.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 9/10 Arizona vs Mississippi State+11.557.5L 17 - 39UN
Sat 9/17 Arizona vs North Dakota State+3.049.0W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/24 Arizona at California+3.550.0L 31 - 49ON
Sat 10/1 Arizona vs Colorado-17.557.5W 43 - 20OY
Sat 10/8 Arizona vs Oregon+13.570.5L 22 - 49ON
Sat 10/15 Arizona at Washington+14.571.5L 39 - 49OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Arizona vs USC+14.074.0L 37 - 45OY
Sat 11/5 Arizona at Utah+17.567.5L 20 - 45UN
Sat 11/12 Arizona at UCLA+19.576.5W 34 - 28UY
Sat 11/19 Arizona vs Washington State+4.063.0L 20 - 31UN
Fri 11/25 Arizona vs Arizona State-4.066.5W 38 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Arizona's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.1946%35.850%3.1914644%2983.77.3248%2346%51%4.5174.61.71.6
ARIZ.0439%31.542%2.8413037%2262.56.2442%19.344%39%4.670.41.90.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ARIZ0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1235.827.446.3%3.771.7264441462984.442%58%50%44%17%.19
ARIZ Defense1219.315.642.1%4.60.6 - - - - - 57%43%44%39%17%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense122328.847.8%4.511.6 - - - - - 56%44%46%51%14%.32
ARIZ Offense1231.534.938.9%2.561.9213561302263.746%53%42%37%17%.04

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1231:2825.845%67%7.974.61.71.64.31.8126.8
Arizona1230:1320.732%64%8.870.41.90.65.81.8225.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1242%50%33.4145.64.416.153.1978%9%0.89
ARIZ Defense1257%44% - - - - .173.1176%11%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1256%46% - - - - .183.0686%9%1.02
ARIZ Offense1246%42%35.5129.73.76.082.8472%12%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1258%44%26.541.7298.37.211.32113.241.431%33%.249%1.8
ARIZ Defense1243%39% - - - - - - 4.361.932%32%.396%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1244%51% - - - - - - 14.51.629%33%.485%2.3
ARIZ Offense1253%37%22.337226.36.110.11218.051.434%26%.225%2.1

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2022 Expected Record: -
USC's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.9  #11
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 46.6  #2
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #64

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    Arizona: 0.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 18.9   Arizona: -3.2




Arizona's Power Ratings
Arizona's Power Rating: 0.9 NR
Arizona's Offense Rating: NR
Arizona's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Arizona's 2022 Expected Record: -
Arizona's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2  #78
Arizona's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6  #22
Arizona's Defense SP+ Rating: 41.1  #128

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Arizona 29
USC 25

Projected Total Points: 54
Arizona Scoring
Offense: 31.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 34.9
Defense: 19.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.6

Arizona's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/07USC43Arizona41USC -21Arizona69.5Over
202210/29Arizona37USC45USC -14Arizona74.0Over
202110/30USC41Arizona34USC -22Arizona55.5Over
202011/14Arizona30USC34USC -15Arizona67.0Under
201910/19USC41Arizona14USC -10USC68.0Under
201809/29Arizona20USC24USC -3.5USC61.0Under
201711/04USC49Arizona35USC -6.5USC76.0Over
201610/15Arizona14USC48USC -7USC65.0Under
201511/07USC38Arizona30USC -16.5Arizona69.5Under
201410/11Arizona26USC28USC -2.5Arizona0
201310/10USC38Arizona31USC -5USC0
201210/27Arizona39USC36
201110/01USC48Arizona41
201011/13Arizona21USC24
200912/05USC17Arizona21
200810/25Arizona10USC17
200710/13USC20Arizona13
200609/23Arizona3USC20
200510/08USC42Arizona21
200411/13USC49Arizona9
200311/15Arizona0USC45
200110/27Arizona34USC41
200010/06USC15Arizona31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Arizona364 Overs
USC2055 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 126 - 53 - 33 - 2
Road Teams12 - 115 - 62 - 33 - 3

(#) USC at (#) ARIZ
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCARIZ
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #78
Perf GradeGrade #14 #100
OffenseOff #5 #36
DefenseDef #70 #135
Spec TeamsST #136 #57
TalentTal #11 #48
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffARIZ Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #135
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #128
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffARIZ Def
Run GameRun #10 #134
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #101
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffARIZ Def
Pass GamePass #5 #112
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #10 #114
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Arizona on Offense
CategoryCatARIZ OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #36 #70
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Arizona Run Game
CategoryCat
ARIZ OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #9 #84
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #90 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #90
Arizona Pass Game
CategoryCatARIZ OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #41 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #74 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ARIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'22 Profile: Up to Top G5

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Arizona Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
USC 14.0 (74.0)
USC won at Arizona this year (45-37)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Arizona in 2023 (43-41)

  
USC's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ARIZ's OC Brennan Carroll (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Arizona's Full Roster

ARIZ's DC Johnny Nansen (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD