USC at UCLA - 2022 Matchup Preview
USC logo   USC Trojans at UCLA Bruins  UCLA logo
Saturday, November 19th 2022 (8:00 PM EST)
USC -2.5 (76.5)
USC 48 - UCLA: 45  (Pac-12)

 
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCLA 2nd straight Home Game
UCLA is playing their 5th straight game
USC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ USC -4)
Projected Score: USC: 33 - UCLA: 23 (56)
USC Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
USC Travel: 12 miles
Bruins (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chip Kelly (18 - 25)
Avg Score : 18 - 33 (20 - 35 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Rice-33.061.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/10 USC at Stanford-9.566.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 USC vs Fresno State-11.071.0W 45 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 USC at Oregon State-5.570.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-24.561.0W 42 - 25ON
Sat 10/8 USC vs Washington State-12.564.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/15 USC at Utah+3.565.0L 42 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 USC at Arizona-14.074.0W 45 - 37ON
Sat 11/5 USC vs California-21.560.5W 41 - 35ON
Fri 11/11 USC vs Colorado-34.066.0W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-2.576.5W 48 - 45OY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-4.063.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 12/2 USC vs Utah-3.067.5L 24 - 47ON
Mon 1/2 USC vs Tulane-1.567.0L 45 - 46ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
UCLA's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 UCLA vs Bowling Green-24.056.5W 45 - 17OY
Sat 9/10 UCLA vs Alabama State-48.561.5W 45 - 7UN
Sat 9/17 UCLA vs South Alabama-15.559.5W 32 - 31ON
Sat 9/24 UCLA at Colorado-22.057.0W 45 - 17OY
Fri 9/30 UCLA vs Washington+2.565.0W 40 - 32OY
Sat 10/8 UCLA vs Utah+3.064.5W 42 - 32OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 UCLA at Oregon+7.070.5L 30 - 45ON
Sat 10/29 UCLA vs Stanford-16.564.5W 38 - 13UY
Sat 11/5 UCLA at Arizona State-11.066.5W 50 - 36OY
Sat 11/12 UCLA vs Arizona-19.576.5L 28 - 34UN
Sat 11/19 UCLA vs USC+2.576.5L 45 - 48ON
Fri 11/25 UCLA at California-11.562.5W 35 - 28ON
Fri 12/30 UCLA vs Pittsburgh-9.055.0L 35 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.1946%35.850%3.1914644%2983.77.3248%2346%51%4.5174.61.71.6
UCLA.3749%18.252%3.5221545%2263.94.2345%33.448%42%3.6364.51.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1235.827.446.3%3.771.7264441462984.442%58%50%44%17%.19
UCLA Defense1233.434.744.7%3.631.8 - - - - - 45%55%48%42%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense122328.847.8%4.511.6 - - - - - 56%44%46%51%14%.32
UCLA Offense1218.219.548.8%3.941.223441215226557%43%52%45%14%.37

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1231:2825.845%67%7.974.61.71.64.31.8126.8
UCLA1229:4523.446%67%7.264.51.21.85.92.3331.1
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1242%50%33.4145.64.416.153.1978%9%0.89
UCLA Defense1245%48% - - - - .212.972%10%1.02
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1256%46% - - - - .183.0686%9%1.02
UCLA Offense1257%52%43.2215.2531.353.5278%9%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1258%44%26.541.7298.37.211.32113.241.431%33%.249%1.8
UCLA Defense1255%42% - - - - - - 12.241.529%33%.426%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1244%51% - - - - - - 14.51.629%33%.485%2.3
UCLA Offense1243%45%17.327.9226.28.113.1238.41.629%35%.525%2.1

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2022 Expected Record: -
USC's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.9  #11
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 46.6  #2
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #64

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    UCLA: 10

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 18.9   UCLA: 15.0




UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 10 NR
UCLA's Offense Rating: NR
UCLA's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #28
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCLA's 2022 Expected Record: -
UCLA's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.0  #21
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.7  #3
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.1  #84

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 33
UCLA 23

Projected Total Points: 56
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 33.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

UCLA's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29USC29UCLA10USC -21.0UCLA59.0Under
202411/23UCLA13USC19USC -5USC53.0Under
202311/18USC20UCLA38USC -6UCLA65.5Under
202211/19UCLA45USC48USC -2.5USC76.5Over
202111/20USC33UCLA62UCLA -4.5UCLA66.5Over
202012/12UCLA38USC43USC -3.5USC64.0Over
201911/23USC52UCLA35USC -12.5USC66.0Over
201811/17UCLA34USC27USC -2.5UCLA55.0Over
201711/18USC28UCLA23USC -14.5UCLA70.5Under
201611/19UCLA14USC36USC -10.5USC53.0Under
201511/28USC40UCLA21USC -3.5USC61.0Push
201411/22UCLA38USC20UCLA -3UCLA0
201311/30USC14UCLA35USC -3.5UCLA0
201211/17UCLA38USC28
201111/26USC50UCLA0
201012/04UCLA14USC28
200911/28USC28UCLA7
200812/06UCLA7USC28
200712/01USC24UCLA7
200612/02UCLA13USC9
200512/03USC66UCLA19
200412/04UCLA24USC29
200311/22USC47UCLA22
200111/17USC27UCLA0
200011/17UCLA35USC38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCLA775 Overs
USC1865 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 114 - 93 - 41 - 5
Road Teams11 - 149 - 45 - 14 - 3

(#) USC at (#) UCLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCUCLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #21
Perf GradeGrade #14 #19
OffenseOff #5 #7
DefenseDef #70 #57
Spec TeamsST #136 #16
TalentTal #11 #28
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffUCLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #57
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #84
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffUCLA Def
Run GameRun #10 #89
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #65
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffUCLA Def
Pass GamePass #5 #45
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #10 #28
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCLA on Offense
CategoryCatUCLA OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #7 #70
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #3 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCLA Run Game
CategoryCat
UCLA OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #5 #84
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #3 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #90
UCLA Pass Game
CategoryCatUCLA OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #80 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #36 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rose Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
USC 2.5 (76.5)
USC won at UCLA this year (48-45)

Previous Matchups
USC beat UCLA last year (29-10)
USC beat UCLA in 2024 (19-13)
UCLA beat USC in 2023 (38-20)

  
USC's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCLA's OC Chip Kelly (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Bill McGovern (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD