USC at Stanford - 2022 Matchup Preview
USC logo USC Trojans at Stanford CardinalStanford logo
Saturday, September 10th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
USC -9.5 (66.5)
USC 41 - Stanford: 28  (Pac-12)

 
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 41 - 29 (39 - 33 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
STAN 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -10.5  (SP+ USC -26)
Projected Score: USC: 33 - STAN: 25 (58)
USC Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
USC Travel: 321 miles
Cardinal (3 - 9) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach David Shaw (93 - 45)
Avg Score : 21 - 32 (25 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Rice-33.061.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/10 USC at Stanford-9.566.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 USC vs Fresno State-11.071.0W 45 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 USC at Oregon State-5.570.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-24.561.0W 42 - 25ON
Sat 10/8 USC vs Washington State-12.564.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/15 USC at Utah+3.565.0L 42 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 USC at Arizona-14.074.0W 45 - 37ON
Sat 11/5 USC vs California-21.560.5W 41 - 35ON
Fri 11/11 USC vs Colorado-34.066.0W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-2.576.5W 48 - 45OY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-4.063.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 12/2 USC vs Utah-3.067.5L 24 - 47ON
Mon 1/2 USC vs Tulane-1.567.0L 45 - 46ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Stanford's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Stanford vs Colgate-40.051.5W 41 - 10UN
Sat 9/10 Stanford vs USC+9.566.5L 28 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/24 Stanford at Washington+14.062.5L 22 - 40UN
Sat 10/1 Stanford at Oregon+17.063.0L 27 - 45ON
Sat 10/8 Stanford vs Oregon State+4.553.0L 27 - 28OY
Sat 10/15 Stanford at Notre Dame+16.553.5W 16 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Stanford vs Arizona State-3.052.0W 15 - 14UN
Sat 10/29 Stanford at UCLA+16.564.5L 13 - 38UN
Sat 11/5 Stanford vs Washington State+3.048.5L 14 - 52ON
Sat 11/12 Stanford at Utah+23.554.0L 7 - 42UN
Sat 11/19 Stanford at California+5.046.0L 20 - 27ON
Sat 11/26 Stanford vs BYU+6.057.5L 26 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Stanford's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.451%41.453%3.5217150%3354.68.2948%29.253%46%4.54580.52.1
STAN.1442%21.345%2.8410740%2544.16.2948%32.254%41%4.0541.31.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC#41 (.24)48% (11)52% (10)3.49 (9)13846% (26)2693.76 (85)#78 (.18)44% (94)44% (78)44% (103)3.64 (49)461.41.2
STAN#114 (.1)40% (101)41% (95)2.72 (116)13439% (98)1913.67 (92)#120 (.27)47% (119)45% (92)48% (124)4.53 (124)491.81.3



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1441.438.651.3%4.680.5265061713355.144%56%53%50%11%.4
STAN Defense1232.23047.6%4.051 - - - - - 51%48%54%41%15%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense1429.233.448.4%4.542.1 - - - - - 44%55%53%46%17%.29
STAN Offense1221.325.242%4.161.8213621072543.441%59%45%40%18%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1431:5425.754%68%6.3580.52.15.52.9328.2
Stanford1229:5320.838%52%4.641.31.815.41.8024.8
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1444%53%33.8171.15.130.33.5283%7%0.97
STAN Defense1251%54% - - - - .393.6883%10%1.11
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1444%53% - - - - .363.4578%10%1.14
STAN Offense1241%45%31.3107.33.414.022.8485%11%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1456%50%24.636.7335.39.113.7435.481.628%36%.494%2.2
STAN Defense1248%41% - - - - - - 6.241.529%31%.365%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1455%46% - - - - - - 19.271.529%36%.427%2
STAN Offense1259%40%22.937.3254.36.811.1158.251.531%29%.286%2

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2022 Expected Record: -
USC's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.9  #11
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 46.6  #2
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #64

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    Stanford: -1.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 18.9   Stanford: -7.2




Stanford's Power Ratings
Stanford's Power Rating: -1.1 NR
Stanford's Offense Rating: NR
Stanford's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Stanford's 2022 Expected Record: -
Stanford's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.2  #94
Stanford's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #71
Stanford's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #101

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


USC Scoring
Offense: 41.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.6
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.4

USC's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 33
Stanford 25

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
USC 29
Stanford 24

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
USC 36
Stanford 27

Total Points: 63
Stanford Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.2
Defense: 32.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Stanford's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/09USC56Stanford10USC -28.5USC70.5Under
202209/10Stanford28USC41USC -9.5USC66.5Over
202109/11USC28Stanford42USC -17Stanford53.0Over
201909/07USC45Stanford20USC -3USC43.0Over
201809/08Stanford17USC3Stanford -4.5Stanford54.5Under
201712/01USC31Stanford28USC -3.5Stanford58.5Over
201709/09USC42Stanford24USC -4USC54.5Over
201609/17Stanford27USC10Stanford -6.5Stanford48.5Under
201509/19USC31Stanford41USC -8Stanford51.0Over
201512/05Stanford41USC22Stanford -4Stanford59.0Over
201409/06Stanford10USC13Stanford -4USC0
201311/16USC20Stanford17Stanford -3USC0
201209/15Stanford21USC14
201110/29USC48Stanford56
201010/09Stanford37USC35
200911/14USC21Stanford55
200811/15Stanford23USC45
200710/06USC23Stanford24
200611/04Stanford0USC42
200511/05USC51Stanford21
200409/25Stanford28USC31
200310/11USC44Stanford21
200211/09Stanford17USC49
200109/29USC16Stanford21
200010/20Stanford32USC30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Stanford1267 Overs
USC1363 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 127 - 56 - 41 - 1
Road Teams12 - 135 - 71 - 14 - 6

(#) USC at (#) STAN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCSTAN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #94
Perf GradeGrade #14 #119
OffenseOff #5 #75
DefenseDef #70 #133
Spec TeamsST #136 #90
TalentTal #11 #22
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffSTAN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #133
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #101
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffSTAN Def
Run GameRun #10 #135
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #98
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffSTAN Def
Pass GamePass #5 #105
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #10 #66
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Stanford on Offense
CategoryCatSTAN OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #75 #70
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Stanford Run Game
CategoryCat
STAN OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #126 #84
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #34 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #90
Stanford Pass Game
CategoryCatSTAN OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #40 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #114 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
STAN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Stanford Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 81° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 2
USC 9.5 (66.5)
USC won at Stanford this year (41-28)

Previous Matchups
USC beat Stanford in 2023 (56-10)
USC beat Stanford in 2022 (41-28)

  
USC's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

STAN's OC Tavita Pritchard (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Stanford's Full Roster

STAN's DC Lance Anderson (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD