USC at Oregon State - 2022 Matchup Preview
USC logo   USC Trojans at Oregon State Beavers  Oregon State logo
Saturday, September 24th 2022 (9:30 PM EDT)
USC -5.5 (70.5)
USC 17 - Oregon State: 14  (Pac-12)

 
Trojans (11 - 3) (8 - 6 - 0)
Coach Lincoln Riley (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 36 - 23 (27 - 29 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORST 2nd straight Home Game
ORST is playing their 4th straight game
USC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0  (SP+ USC -4.5)
Projected Score: USC: 30 - ORST: 23 (53)
USC Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
USC Travel: 776 miles
Beavers (10 - 3) (11 - 2 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (16 - 28)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
USC's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 USC vs Rice-33.061.5W 66 - 14OY
Sat 9/10 USC at Stanford-9.566.5W 41 - 28OY
Sat 9/17 USC vs Fresno State-11.071.0W 45 - 17UY
Sat 9/24 USC at Oregon State-5.570.5W 17 - 14UN
Sat 10/1 USC vs Arizona State-24.561.0W 42 - 25ON
Sat 10/8 USC vs Washington State-12.564.5W 30 - 14UY
Sat 10/15 USC at Utah+3.565.0L 42 - 43OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 USC at Arizona-14.074.0W 45 - 37ON
Sat 11/5 USC vs California-21.560.5W 41 - 35ON
Fri 11/11 USC vs Colorado-34.066.0W 55 - 17OY
Sat 11/19 USC at UCLA-2.576.5W 48 - 45OY
Sat 11/26 USC vs Notre Dame-4.063.5W 38 - 27OY
Fri 12/2 USC vs Utah-3.067.5L 24 - 47ON
Mon 1/2 USC vs Tulane-1.567.0L 45 - 46ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for USC's Schedule
Oregon State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Oregon State vs Boise State-2.055.5W 34 - 17UY
Sat 9/10 Oregon State at Fresno State+1.059.0W 35 - 32OY
Sat 9/17 Oregon State vs Montana State-16.556.5W 68 - 28OY
Sat 9/24 Oregon State vs USC+5.570.5L 14 - 17UY
Sat 10/1 Oregon State at Utah+10.554.0L 16 - 42ON
Sat 10/8 Oregon State at Stanford-4.553.0W 28 - 27ON
Sat 10/15 Oregon State vs Washington State-3.051.5W 24 - 10UY
Sat 10/22 Oregon State vs Colorado-23.047.5W 42 - 9OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/4 Oregon State at Washington+4.553.5L 21 - 24UY
Sat 11/12 Oregon State vs California-11.547.0W 38 - 10OY
Sat 11/19 Oregon State at Arizona State-7.553.5W 31 - 7UY
Sat 11/26 Oregon State vs Oregon-1.057.0W 38 - 34OY
Sat 12/17 Oregon State vs Florida-7.552.0W 30 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC.1946%35.850%3.1914644%2983.77.3248%2346%51%4.5174.61.71.6
ORST.3350%17.654%3.6521246%2174.79.2143%29.445%42%3.9363.11.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
USC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Offense1235.827.446.3%3.771.7264441462984.442%58%50%44%17%.19
ORST Defense1329.425.342.9%3.931.5 - - - - - 48%52%45%42%16%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
USC Defense122328.847.8%4.511.6 - - - - - 56%44%46%51%14%.32
ORST Offense1317.621.750.5%4.791.4234292122175.357%42%54%46%13%.33

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
USC1231:2825.845%67%7.974.61.71.64.31.8126.8
Oregon State1330:292350%48%6.863.11.41.54.91.5128.4
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Offense1242%50%33.4145.64.416.153.1978%9%0.89
ORST Defense1348%45% - - - - .163.0880%9%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
USC Defense1256%46% - - - - .183.0686%9%1.02
ORST Offense1357%54%40.1212.45.333.33.6589%7%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Offense1258%44%26.541.7298.37.211.32113.241.431%33%.249%1.8
ORST Defense1352%42% - - - - - - 15.281.632%33%.287%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
USC Defense1244%51% - - - - - - 14.51.629%33%.485%2.3
ORST Offense1342%46%16.826.7216.98.112.91912.391.629%35%.356%1.8

USC's Power Ratings
USC's Power Rating: NR
USC's Offense Rating: NR
USC's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
USC's 2022 Expected Record: -
USC's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.9  #11
USC's Offense SP+ Rating: 46.6  #2
USC's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #64

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
USC:    Oregon State: 9.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
USC: 18.9   Oregon State: 14.3




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 9.65 NR
Oregon State's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Oregon State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.3  #22
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #41
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.7  #24

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


USC Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.4
Defense: 23 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

USC's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 11 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
USC 30
Oregon State 23

Projected Total Points: 53
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2022 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 11 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202209/24Oregon State14USC17USC -5.5Oregon State70.5Under
202109/25USC27Oregon State45USC -11Oregon State62.5Over
201811/03Oregon State21USC38USC -15USC64.5Under
201710/07USC38Oregon State10USC -33Oregon State57.0Under
201409/27USC35Oregon State10USC -13USC0
201311/01Oregon State14USC31Oregon State -2USC0
201011/20Oregon State36USC7
200910/24USC42Oregon State36
200809/25Oregon State27USC21
200711/03USC24Oregon State3
200610/28Oregon State33USC31
200411/06Oregon State20USC28
200312/06USC52Oregon State28
200209/28USC22Oregon State0
200111/03USC16Oregon State13
200009/29Oregon State31USC21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State531 Overs
USC1133 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 52 - 41 - 31 - 1
Road Teams5 - 114 - 21 - 13 - 1

(#) USC at (#) ORST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUSCORST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #11 #22
Perf GradeGrade #14 #10
OffenseOff #5 #8
DefenseDef #70 #32
Spec TeamsST #136 #33
TalentTal #11 #54
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
USC on Offense
CategoryCat
USC OffORST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #5 #32
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #2 #24
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
USC Run Game
CategoryCat
USC OffORST Def
Run GameRun #10 #29
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #11 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #35
USC Pass Game
CategoryCat
USC OffORST Def
Pass GamePass #5 #20
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #10 #115
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Oregon State on Offense
CategoryCatORST OffUSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #8 #70
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #41 #64
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Oregon State Run Game
CategoryCat
ORST OffUSC Def
Run GameRun #18 #84
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #6 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #90
Oregon State Pass Game
CategoryCatORST OffUSC Def
Pass GamePass #59 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #54 #79
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

USC 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
USC 5.5 (70.5)
USC won at Oregon State this year (17-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
USC's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View USC's Full Roster

USC's DC Alex Grinch (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ORST's OC Brian Lindgren (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD