Louisiana at Troy - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 13th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Louisiana -6.5 (48.0)
Louisiana 35 - Troy: 21 (Sun Belt)

Ragin' Cajuns (13 - 1) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach Billy Napier (30 - 12)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (24 - 33 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TROY 2nd straight Home Game
ULL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ ULL -15)
Projected Score: ULL: 24 - TROY: 28 (52)
ULL Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ULL Travel: 377 miles

Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chip Lindsey (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ULL Players
TROY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Louisiana at Texas	+8.5	58.0	L 18 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/11	Louisiana vs Nicholls	-26.0	65.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Thu 9/16	Louisiana vs Ohio	-18.5	56.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Louisiana at Georgia Southern	-14.5	54.5	W 28 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	Louisiana at South Alabama	-12.0	52.5	W 20 - 18	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/12	Louisiana vs App State	+4.5	57.5	W 41 - 13	U	Y
Thu 10/21	Louisiana at Arkansas State	-17.0	70.0	W 28 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/30	Louisiana vs Texas State	-21.0	58.0	W 45 - 0	U	Y
Thu 11/4	Louisiana vs Georgia State	-13.5	53.5	W 21 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/13	Louisiana at Troy	-6.5	48.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Louisiana at Liberty	+4.0	53.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-21.5	56.0	W 21 - 16	U	N
Sat 12/4	Louisiana vs App State	+2.5	52.5	W 24 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/18	Louisiana vs Marshall	-4.0	55.5	W 36 - 21	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Troy's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Troy vs Southern	-25.0	55.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Troy vs Liberty	+3.0	62.5	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/18	Troy at Southern Miss	-11.0	49.0	W 21 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Troy at UL Monroe	-23.5	49.5	L 16 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/2	Troy at South Carolina	+6.5	43.0	L 14 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/9	Troy vs Georgia Southern	-5.5	51.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/16	Troy at Texas State	-7.5	49.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/28	Troy at Coastal Carolina	+17.0	50.0	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Troy vs South Alabama	-3.5	47.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Troy vs Louisiana	+6.5	48.0	L 21 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/20	Troy vs App State	+10.0	51.0	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/27	Troy at Georgia State	+6.5	49.5	L 10 - 37	U	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL	.25	47%	26	50%	3.38	213	43%	208	3.77	.13	43%	29.2	47%	36%	3.84	61.3	1.2	2.1
TROY	.18	44%	23.5	42%	2.85	103	46%	290	3.33	.14	43%	23.9	43%	44%	3.49	50.2	1.6	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ULL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TROY		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Offense	11	26	23.8	46.9%	3.77	1.2	21	421	213	208	5.5	57%	43%	50%	43%	13%	.25
TROY Defense	11	23.9	22.8	43.3%	3.49	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	47%	43%	44%	15%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ULL Defense	11	29.2	32.8	42.7%	3.84	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	47%	36%	14%	.13
TROY Offense	11	23.5	25.3	44.3%	3.33	1.6	22	393	103	290	3.4	36%	64%	42%	46%	16%	.18

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana	11	28:45	21	43%	42%	6.2	61.3	1.2	2.1	4.3	1.6	4	31.6
Troy	11	26:49	21.8	46%	59%	5	50.2	1.6	1.3	6	2	2	29.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Offense	11	57%	50%	39	213.2	5.5	25	.23	3.38	66%	8%	0.97
TROY Defense	11	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.8	70%	10%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ULL Defense	11	58%	47%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.3	83%	7%	0.89
TROY Offense	11	36%	42%	29.8	102.6	3.4	11	.07	2.85	63%	9%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Offense	11	43%	43%	16.3	28	208.2	7.4	12.8	20	7	.29	1.6	30%	36%	.39	6%	2
TROY Defense	11	47%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.22	1.5	30%	32%	.24	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ULL Defense	11	42%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.06	1.5	28%	27%	.13	7%	1.6
TROY Offense	11	64%	46%	27.2	41.5	290.2	7	10.7	22	13	.24	1.4	30%	37%	.42	7%	2

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: NR
Louisiana's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Louisiana's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisiana's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.7 #47
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #54
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #26

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: Troy: -0.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana: 8.7 Troy: -6.5

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -0.75 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2021 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5 #95
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #115
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Louisiana's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 10
Record on Road: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 28
Louisiana 24

Projected Total Points: 52

Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/25	Troy	35	Louisiana	23	Troy -7	Troy	47.5	Over
2024	11/23	Louisiana	51	Troy	30	Louisiana -7.5	Louisiana	51.5	Over
2023	11/18	Troy	31	Louisiana	24	Troy -17.5	Louisiana	47.5	Over
2022	11/05	Louisiana	17	Troy	23	Troy -3.5	Troy	42.5	Under
2021	11/13	Troy	21	Louisiana	35	Louisiana -6.5	Louisiana	48.0	Over
2019	11/23	Louisiana	53	Troy	3	Louisiana -13	Louisiana	74.5	Under
2018	11/03	Troy	26	Louisiana	16	Troy -7.5	Troy	64.5	Under
2015	12/05	Louisiana	17	Troy	41	Louisiana -2	Troy	57.0	Over
2014	11/29	Troy	23	Louisiana	42	Louisiana -9.5	Louisiana	59.5	Over
2013	11/07	Louisiana	41	Troy	36	Louisiana -13	Troy	0
2012	09/08	Troy	24	Louisiana	37
2011	10/08	Louisiana	31	Troy	17
2010	10/16	Troy	31	Louisiana	24
2009	11/28	Louisiana	31	Troy	48
2008	11/22	Troy	48	Louisiana	3
2007	09/22	Louisiana	31	Troy	48
2006	11/04	Troy	42	Louisiana	28
2005	10/29	Louisiana	31	Troy	28
2004	11/13	Louisiana	10	Troy	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Troy	11	5	6 Overs
Louisiana	8	5	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 8	4 - 6	4 - 3	0 - 3
Road Teams	8 - 11	6 - 4	3 - 0	3 - 4

(#) ULL at (#) TROY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ULL	TROY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#47	#95
Perf GradeGrade	#13	#68
OffenseOff	#13	#94
DefenseDef	#16	#15
Spec TeamsST	#33	#93
TalentTal	#96	#91
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Louisiana Injury Report

Troy Injury Report

Louisiana on Offense


CategoryCat	ULL Off	TROY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#13	#15
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#54	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Run Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	#44	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#1	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#54

Louisiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	ULL Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	#56	#51
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#24	#49
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#16
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#115	#26
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#108	#19
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#108

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#19
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#46	#60
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

ULL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Louisiana 6.5 (48.0)
Louisiana won at Troy this year (35-21)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Louisiana last year (35-23)
Louisiana beat Troy in 2024 (51-30)
Troy beat Louisiana in 2023 (31-24)

ULL's OC Michael Desormeaux (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Patrick Toney (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TROY's OC Luke Meadows (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Brandon Hall (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD