Georgia Southern at Troy - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 9th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Troy -5.5 (51.0)
Troy 27 - Georgia Southern: 24 (Sun Belt)

Eagles (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Chad Lunsford (28 - 20)
Avg Score : 20 - 31 (16 - 35 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TROY is playing their 6th straight game
GASO is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ TROY -9)
Projected Score: GASO: 20 - TROY: 28 (48)
TROY Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
GASO Travel: 248 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Trojans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Chip Lindsey (12 - 14)
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (26 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
GASO Players
TROY Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Georgia Southern's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Georgia Southern vs Gardner-Webb	-27.5	48.0	W 30 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/11	Georgia Southern at Florida Atlantic	+6.5	48.5	L 6 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/18	Georgia Southern at Arkansas	+23.0	53.5	L 10 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/25	Georgia Southern vs Louisiana	+14.5	54.5	L 20 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/2	Georgia Southern vs Arkansas State	-1.5	66.5	W 59 - 33	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Georgia Southern at Troy	+5.5	51.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Thu 10/14	Georgia Southern at South Alabama	+2.5	49.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	+6.0	55.0	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/6	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	+16.0	56.5	L 8 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/13	Georgia Southern at Texas State	+2.5	52.0	W 38 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Georgia Southern vs BYU	+20.0	57.0	L 17 - 34	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Georgia Southern at App State	+24.5	55.0	L 3 - 27	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Troy's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Troy vs Southern	-25.0	55.0	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Troy vs Liberty	+3.0	62.5	L 13 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/18	Troy at Southern Miss	-11.0	49.0	W 21 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Troy at UL Monroe	-23.5	49.5	L 16 - 29	U	N
Sat 10/2	Troy at South Carolina	+6.5	43.0	L 14 - 23	U	N
Sat 10/9	Troy vs Georgia Southern	-5.5	51.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/16	Troy at Texas State	-7.5	49.0	W 31 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/28	Troy at Coastal Carolina	+17.0	50.0	L 28 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Troy vs South Alabama	-3.5	47.5	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Troy vs Louisiana	+6.5	48.0	L 21 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/20	Troy vs App State	+10.0	51.0	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/27	Troy at Georgia State	+6.5	49.5	L 10 - 37	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	.11	36%	20.3	37%	2.84	193	33%	147	2.81	.3	44%	31.4	43%	46%	3.72	45.3	1.4	0.7
TROY	.12	39%	22.8	37%	2.65	100	41%	239	2.86	.13	38%	26.1	38%	39%	3.89	44.5	1.8	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5
TROY	#50 (.22)	44% (49)		42% (94)	2.88 (95)	157	48% (15)	213	4.43 (22)	#77 (.18)	43% (87)		45% (87)	42% (76)	3.77 (65)	58.8	1.3	0.7

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Offense	12	20.3	15.8	35.6%	2.81	1.4	18	340	193	147	4.3	62%	37%	37%	33%	23%	.11
TROY Defense	12	26.1	25.3	38.4%	3.89	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	38%	39%	18%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
GASO Defense	12	31.4	34.7	44.1%	3.72	0.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	43%	46%	19%	.3
TROY Offense	12	22.8	25.7	39.1%	2.86	1.8	18	338	100	239	3.3	41%	59%	37%	41%	18%	.12

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Georgia Southern	12	30:44	17.9	35%	44%	5.7	45.3	1.4	0.7	6.6	2.2	2	28.2
Troy	12	27:37	18.3	40%	63%	5	44.5	1.8	2.3	7.5	3.2	3	30.2

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Offense	12	62%	37%	44.7	193.3	4.3	22	.18	2.84	78%	15%	1.3
TROY Defense	12	55%	38%	-	-	-	-	.06	2.84	91%	13%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
GASO Defense	12	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	.17	3.27	72%	13%	1
TROY Offense	12	41%	37%	30.5	99.8	3.3	18		2.65	61%	12%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Offense	12	37%	33%	11.8	22.9	147.1	6.4	12.5	5	12	.07	1.4	35%	25%	.24	9%	2.1
TROY Defense	12	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.24	1.7	34%	25%	.25	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
GASO Defense	12	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.44	1.7	31%	31%	.41	7%	2.2
TROY Offense	12	59%	41%	22.1	34.9	238.7	6.8	10.8	15	10	.22	1.5	32%	31%	.35	6%	2.2

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia Southern's 2021 Expected Record: -
Georgia Southern's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3 #118
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #122
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.0 #111

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: Troy: -0.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia Southern: -15.3 Troy: -6.5

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: -0.75 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2021 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5 #95
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #115
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 20.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.7

Georgia Southern's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Troy 28
Georgia Southern 20

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 27
Georgia Southern 18

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Troy 29
Georgia Southern 22

Total Points: 51

Troy Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Troy's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/16	Georgia Southern	20	Troy	28	Georgia Southern -7	Troy	54.0	Under
2021	10/09	Troy	27	Georgia Southern	24	Troy -5.5	Georgia Southern	51.0	Push
2020	11/07	Georgia Southern	20	Troy	13	Troy -2.5	Georgia Southern	51.5	Under
2019	11/09	Troy	49	Georgia Southern	28	Georgia Southern -2.5	Troy	57.0	Over
2018	11/10	Georgia Southern	21	Troy	35	Troy -2	Troy	44.5	Over
2017	10/28	Troy	38	Georgia Southern	16	Troy -23.5	Georgia Southern	49.5	Over
2016	12/03	Georgia Southern	28	Troy	24	Troy -9	Georgia Southern	53.0	Under
2015	11/14	Troy	10	Georgia Southern	45	Georgia Southern -10	Georgia Southern	58.5	Under
2014	10/30	Georgia Southern	42	Troy	10	Troy -20.5	Georgia Southern	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Troy	5	3	3 Overs
Georgia Southern	4	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	4 - 5	0 - 3	4 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 6	5 - 4	2 - 4	3 - 0

(#) GASO at (#) TROY

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	GASO	TROY
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#95
Perf GradeGrade	#129	#68
OffenseOff	#125	#94
DefenseDef	#127	#15
Spec TeamsST	#103	#93
TalentTal	#109	#91
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Injury Report

Troy Injury Report

Georgia Southern on Offense


CategoryCat	GASO Off	TROY Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#125	#15
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#122	#65
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Georgia Southern Run Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	TROY Def
Run GameRun	#108	#12
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#54

Georgia Southern Pass Game


CategoryCat	GASO Off	TROY Def
Pass GamePass	#130	#51
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#84	#49
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Troy on Offense


CategoryCat	TROY Off	GASO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#127
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#115	#111
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Troy Run Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#108	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#88	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#124

Troy Pass Game


CategoryCat	TROY Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#117
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#46	#103
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

GASO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 73°

Rematch from Week 6
Troy -5.5 (51.0)
Troy won vs Georgia Southern this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Georgia Southern last year (28-20)

GASO's OC Doug Ruse (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Scot Sloan (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TROY's OC Luke Meadows (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC Brandon Hall (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD