Kansas State at Oklahoma State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma State -6 (47.5)
Oklahoma State 31 - Kansas State: 20 (Big 12)

Wildcats (8 - 5) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Chris Klieman (15 - 11)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OKST is playing their 4th straight game
KSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ OKST -3)
Projected Score: KSU: 30 - OKST: 21 (51)
OKST Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
KSU Travel: 214 miles

Cowboys (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Mike Gundy (140 - 67)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KSU Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Kansas State vs Stanford	-3.0	54.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Kansas State vs Southern Illinois	-17.0	55.0	W 31 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/18	Kansas State vs Nevada	+1.5	51.5	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Kansas State at Oklahoma State	+6.0	47.5	L 20 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/2	Kansas State vs Oklahoma	+12.0	53.0	L 31 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Kansas State vs Iowa State	+6.5	51.0	L 20 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/23	Kansas State at Texas Tech	-1.0	60.5	W 25 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/30	Kansas State vs TCU	-3.5	58.5	W 31 - 12	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Kansas State at Kansas	-24.0	56.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Kansas State vs West Virginia	-6.0	47.5	W 34 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Kansas State vs Baylor	-2.5	49.5	L 10 - 20	U	N
Fri 11/26	Kansas State at Texas	+3.0	54.5	L 17 - 22	U	N
Tue 1/4	Kansas State vs LSU	-9.5	47.0	W 42 - 20	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oklahoma State vs Missouri State	-38.0	55.0	W 23 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oklahoma State vs Tulsa	-11.5	51.0	W 28 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/18	Oklahoma State at Boise State	+3.5	58.5	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	-6.0	47.5	W 31 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Oklahoma State vs Baylor	-3.5	47.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Oklahoma State at Texas	+3.0	61.0	W 32 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Oklahoma State at Iowa State	+7.5	47.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Oklahoma State vs Kansas	-28.5	54.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Oklahoma State at West Virginia	-3.5	48.5	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Oklahoma State vs TCU	-11.0	53.5	W 63 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Oklahoma State at Texas Tech	-10.0	55.0	W 23 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma	-4.0	50.0	W 37 - 33	O	N
Sat 12/4	Oklahoma State vs Baylor	-7.0	45.0	L 16 - 21	U	N
Sat 1/1	Oklahoma State vs Notre Dame	-1.5	45.5	W 37 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KSU	.16	37%	29.4	40%	2.57	152	35%	186	3.69	.24	44%	26.7	41%	46%	3.92	56.4	1.5	1.2
OKST	.13	39%	14.2	36%	2.47	188	43%	239	3.31	.1	37%	33.3	40%	34%	3.09	54.7	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KSU Offense	10	29.4	30.8	37.5%	3.69	1.5	16	338	152	186	4.3	56%	44%	40%	35%	18%	.16
OKST Defense	11	33.3	27.6	37.2%	3.09	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	40%	34%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KSU Defense	10	26.7	26.4	43.7%	3.92	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	41%	46%	17%	.24
OKST Offense	11	14.2	17	39.2%	3.31	1.5	24	427	188	239	4.1	56%	44%	36%	43%	17%	.13

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas State	10	28:44	15.5	33%	60%	6.5	56.4	1.5	1.2	6.8	2.8	4	30.7
Oklahoma State	11	29:54	23.7	42%	50%	6.6	54.7	1.5	1.5	8	2.6	2	32.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KSU Offense	10	56%	40%	35.3	152.2	4.3	17	.08	2.57	68%	11%	1.07
OKST Defense	11	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.66	63%	14%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KSU Defense	10	47%	41%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.8	79%	11%	1.23
OKST Offense	11	56%	36%	45.9	187.7	4.1	17	.04	2.47	78%	12%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KSU Offense	10	44%	35%	13.7	24.7	185.7	7.5	13.6	12	10	.26	1.9	33%	26%	.28	7%	2.3
OKST Defense	11	50%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.17	1.7	34%	27%	.17	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KSU Defense	10	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.3	1.4	31%	34%	.41	6%	2.1
OKST Offense	11	44%	43%	18.8	30.9	239.1	7.7	12.7	18	10	.25	1.6	34%	29%	.28	5%	2.1

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: NR
Kansas State's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #67
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kansas State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kansas State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.2 #21
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.5 #36
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #16

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: Oklahoma State: 11.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 14.2 Oklahoma State: 17.2

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 11.1 NR
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oklahoma State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.2 #12
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #4

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 30
Oklahoma State 21

Projected Total Points: 51

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Oklahoma State	6	Kansas State	14	Kansas State -19.5	Oklahoma State	50.5	Under
2024	09/28	Kansas State	42	Oklahoma State	20	Kansas State -6	Kansas State	58.0	Over
2023	10/06	Oklahoma State	29	Kansas State	21	Kansas State -11.5	Oklahoma State	53.5	Under
2022	10/29	Kansas State	48	Oklahoma State	0	Kansas State -2.5	Kansas State	57.5	Under
2021	09/25	Oklahoma State	31	Kansas State	20	Oklahoma State -6	Oklahoma State	47.5	Over
2020	11/07	Kansas State	18	Oklahoma State	20	Oklahoma State -14	Kansas State	48.5	Under
2019	09/28	Oklahoma State	26	Kansas State	13	Oklahoma State -4	Oklahoma State	60.0	Under
2018	10/13	Kansas State	31	Oklahoma State	12	Oklahoma State -8	Kansas State	62.0	Under
2017	11/18	Oklahoma State	40	Kansas State	45	Oklahoma State -19.5	Kansas State	63.5	Over
2016	11/05	Kansas State	37	Oklahoma State	43	Kansas State -2.5	Oklahoma State	58.0	Over
2015	10/03	Oklahoma State	36	Kansas State	34	Oklahoma State -3.5	Kansas State	47.0	Over
2014	11/01	Kansas State	48	Oklahoma State	14	Kansas State -12.5	Kansas State	0
2013	10/05	Oklahoma State	33	Kansas State	29	Oklahoma State -15	Kansas State	0
2012	11/03	Kansas State	44	Oklahoma State	30
2011	11/05	Oklahoma State	52	Kansas State	45
2010	10/30	Kansas State	14	Oklahoma State	24
2007	10/20	Oklahoma State	41	Kansas State	39
2006	10/07	Kansas State	31	Oklahoma State	27
2003	10/11	Oklahoma State	38	Kansas State	34
2002	10/12	Kansas State	44	Oklahoma State	9

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	11	5	5 Overs
Kansas State	9	8	6 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 5	9 - 4	5 - 4	4 - 0
Road Teams	5 - 15	4 - 9	0 - 4	4 - 5

(#) KSU at (#) OKST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KSU	OKST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#12
Perf GradeGrade	#53	#13
OffenseOff	#38	#49
DefenseDef	#75	#4
Spec TeamsST	#118	#8
TalentTal	#67	#54
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kansas State Injury Report

Oklahoma State Injury Report

Kansas State on Offense


CategoryCat	KSU Off	OKST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#38	#4
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#36	#4
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kansas State Run Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	#16	#7
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#34	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#52

Kansas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	KSU Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#64	#36
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oklahoma State on Offense


CategoryCat	OKST Off	KSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#49	#75
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#16
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oklahoma State Run Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	#77	#69
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#58	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#129

Oklahoma State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#78
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#44	#74
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

KSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Oklahoma State -6.0 (47.5)
Oklahoma State won vs Kansas State this year (31-20)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Oklahoma State last year (14-6)
Kansas State beat Oklahoma State in 2024 (42-20)
Oklahoma State beat Kansas State in 2023 (29-21)

KSU's OC Courtney Messingham (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD