Kansas at Oklahoma State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Kansas Jayhawks at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Oklahoma State -28.5 (54.5)
Oklahoma State 55 - Kansas: 3 (Big 12)

Jayhawks (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (22 - 33 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -21 (SP+ OKST -37)
Projected Score: KU: 28 - OKST: 23 (51)
OKST Win prob: 97% | Cover: 52%
KU Travel: 220 miles

Cowboys (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Mike Gundy (140 - 67)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (17 - 28 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
KU Players
OKST Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kansas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Kansas vs South Dakota	-11.5	55.5	W 17 - 14	U	N
Fri 9/10	Kansas at Coastal Carolina	+26.5	52.0	L 22 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/18	Kansas vs Baylor	+17.0	48.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/25	Kansas at Duke	+16.5	57.5	L 33 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/2	Kansas at Iowa State	+34.5	57.5	L 7 - 59	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Kansas vs Texas Tech	+18.5	67.5	L 14 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/23	Kansas vs Oklahoma	+38.0	66.5	L 23 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Kansas at Oklahoma State	+28.5	54.5	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/6	Kansas vs Kansas State	+24.0	56.0	L 10 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/13	Kansas at Texas	+31.0	61.5	W 57 - 56	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Kansas at TCU	+21.0	64.0	L 28 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Kansas vs West Virginia	+15.5	55.5	L 28 - 34	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Oklahoma State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oklahoma State vs Missouri State	-38.0	55.0	W 23 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oklahoma State vs Tulsa	-11.5	51.0	W 28 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/18	Oklahoma State at Boise State	+3.5	58.5	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	-6.0	47.5	W 31 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Oklahoma State vs Baylor	-3.5	47.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Oklahoma State at Texas	+3.0	61.0	W 32 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Oklahoma State at Iowa State	+7.5	47.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Oklahoma State vs Kansas	-28.5	54.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Oklahoma State at West Virginia	-3.5	48.5	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Oklahoma State vs TCU	-11.0	53.5	W 63 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Oklahoma State at Texas Tech	-10.0	55.0	W 23 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma	-4.0	50.0	W 37 - 33	O	N
Sat 12/4	Oklahoma State vs Baylor	-7.0	45.0	L 16 - 21	U	N
Sat 1/1	Oklahoma State vs Notre Dame	-1.5	45.5	W 37 - 35	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU	-.06	28%	28.1	28%	2.13	105	28%	154	2.83	.27	47%	26.8	48%	44%	4.04	46.4	1.6	1.1
OKST	.13	39%	14.2	36%	2.47	188	43%	239	3.31	.1	37%	33.3	40%	34%	3.09	54.7	1.5	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
KU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Offense	9	28.1	21.8	27.5%	2.83	1.6	16	259	105	154	2.7	48%	52%	28%	28%	24%	-.06
OKST Defense	11	33.3	27.6	37.2%	3.09	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	40%	34%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
KU Defense	9	26.8	33.2	46.7%	4.04	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	57%	43%	48%	44%	15%	.27
OKST Offense	11	14.2	17	39.2%	3.31	1.5	24	427	188	239	4.1	56%	44%	36%	43%	17%	.13

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kansas	9	30:46	15.9	23%	42%	5.7	46.4	1.6	1.1	4.7	1	2	25.9
Oklahoma State	11	29:54	23.7	42%	50%	6.6	54.7	1.5	1.5	8	2.6	2	32.6

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Offense	9	48%	28%	39.3	104.9	2.7	9	-.05	2.13	41%	17%	1.32
OKST Defense	11	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.66	63%	14%	0.99

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
KU Defense	9	57%	48%	-	-	-	-	.27	3.27	70%	9%	1.04
OKST Offense	11	56%	36%	45.9	187.7	4.1	17	.04	2.47	78%	12%	1.04

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Offense	9	52%	28%	17.2	31.4	154.3	4.9	9	7	10	-.07	1.4	40%	20%	.11	7%	2.2
OKST Defense	11	50%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.17	1.7	34%	27%	.17	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
KU Defense	9	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	4	.25	1.5	27%	31%	.27	6%	2
OKST Offense	11	44%	43%	18.8	30.9	239.1	7.7	12.7	18	10	.25	1.6	34%	29%	.28	5%	2.1

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: NR
Kansas's Offense Rating: NR
Kansas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #72
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kansas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Kansas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.7 #124
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #104
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #127

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas: Oklahoma State: 11.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas: -19.7 Oklahoma State: 17.2

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: 11.1 NR
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oklahoma State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.2 #12
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #4

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.8
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 33.2

Kansas's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas 28
Oklahoma State 23

Projected Total Points: 51

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.6

Oklahoma State's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/01	Kansas	38	Oklahoma State	21	Kansas -24.5	Oklahoma State	54.5	Over
2023	10/14	Oklahoma State	39	Kansas	32	Kansas -3	Oklahoma State	54.0	Over
2022	11/05	Kansas	37	Oklahoma State	16	Kansas -3	Kansas	59.5	Under
2021	10/30	Oklahoma State	55	Kansas	3	Oklahoma State -28.5	Oklahoma State	54.5	Over
2020	10/03	Kansas	7	Oklahoma State	47	Oklahoma State -21.5	Oklahoma State	53.0	Over
2019	11/16	Oklahoma State	31	Kansas	13	Oklahoma State -17.5	Oklahoma State	70.0	Under
2018	09/29	Kansas	28	Oklahoma State	48	Oklahoma State -17	Oklahoma State	55.5	Over
2017	11/25	Oklahoma State	58	Kansas	17	Oklahoma State -41	Push	68.0	Over
2016	10/22	Kansas	20	Oklahoma State	44	Oklahoma State -28	Kansas	61.0	Over
2015	10/24	Oklahoma State	58	Kansas	10	Oklahoma State -35	Oklahoma State	56.0	Over
2014	10/11	Kansas	20	Oklahoma State	27	Oklahoma State -21	Kansas	0
2013	11/09	Oklahoma State	42	Kansas	6	Oklahoma State -32	Oklahoma State	0
2012	10/13	Kansas	14	Oklahoma State	20
2011	10/08	Oklahoma State	70	Kansas	28
2010	11/20	Kansas	14	Oklahoma State	48
2007	11/10	Oklahoma State	28	Kansas	43
2006	10/14	Kansas	32	Oklahoma State	42
2003	11/15	Oklahoma State	44	Kansas	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oklahoma State	15	8	8 Overs
Kansas	3	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 8	8 - 3	5 - 1	3 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 10	3 - 8	2 - 3	1 - 5

(#) KU at (#) OKST

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	KU	OKST
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#124	#12
Perf GradeGrade	#128	#13
OffenseOff	#118	#49
DefenseDef	#132	#4
Spec TeamsST	#69	#8
TalentTal	#72	#54
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kansas Injury Report

Oklahoma State Injury Report

Kansas on Offense


CategoryCat	KU Off	OKST Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#4
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#104	#4
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kansas Run Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	#88	#7
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#123	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#52

Kansas Pass Game


CategoryCat	KU Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	#107	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#116	#36
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oklahoma State on Offense


CategoryCat	OKST Off	KU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#49	#132
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#127
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oklahoma State Run Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	KU Def
Run GameRun	#77	#130
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#58	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#122

Oklahoma State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	KU Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#124
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#44	#107
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OKST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Boone Pickens Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Oklahoma State -28.5 (54.5)
Oklahoma State won vs Kansas this year (55-3)

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat Oklahoma State last year (38-21)
Oklahoma State beat Kansas in 2023 (39-32)

KU's OC Andy Kotelnicki (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC Brian Borland (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD