Oklahoma State at Texas - 2021 Matchup Preview

Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Longhorns

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Texas -3 (61.0)
Oklahoma State 32 - Texas: 24 (Big 12)

Cowboys (12 - 2) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Mike Gundy (140 - 67)
Avg Score : 14 - 33 (10 - 41 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TEX 2nd straight Home Game
OKST coming off BYE
TEX is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ OKST -8.5)
Projected Score: OKST: 15 - TEX: 36 (51)
TEX Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
OKST Travel: 406 miles

Longhorns (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Steve Sarkisian (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (39 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OKST Players
TEX Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oklahoma State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Oklahoma State vs Missouri State	-38.0	55.0	W 23 - 16	U	N
Sat 9/11	Oklahoma State vs Tulsa	-11.5	51.0	W 28 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/18	Oklahoma State at Boise State	+3.5	58.5	W 21 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Oklahoma State vs Kansas State	-6.0	47.5	W 31 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Oklahoma State vs Baylor	-3.5	47.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Oklahoma State at Texas	+3.0	61.0	W 32 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Oklahoma State at Iowa State	+7.5	47.0	L 21 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Oklahoma State vs Kansas	-28.5	54.5	W 55 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Oklahoma State at West Virginia	-3.5	48.5	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Oklahoma State vs TCU	-11.0	53.5	W 63 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Oklahoma State at Texas Tech	-10.0	55.0	W 23 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma	-4.0	50.0	W 37 - 33	O	N
Sat 12/4	Oklahoma State vs Baylor	-7.0	45.0	L 16 - 21	U	N
Sat 1/1	Oklahoma State vs Notre Dame	-1.5	45.5	W 37 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oklahoma State's Schedule

Texas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas vs Louisiana	-8.5	58.0	W 38 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas at Arkansas	-6.0	57.5	L 21 - 40	O	N
Sat 9/18	Texas vs Rice	-26.0	52.0	W 58 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Texas vs Texas Tech	-9.0	63.0	W 70 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Texas at TCU	-3.5	65.5	W 32 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Texas vs Oklahoma	+4.0	65.5	L 48 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/16	Texas vs Oklahoma State	-3.0	61.0	L 24 - 32	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Texas at Baylor	+2.0	61.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/6	Texas at Iowa State	+6.0	59.5	L 7 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/13	Texas vs Kansas	-31.0	61.5	L 56 - 57	O	N
Sat 11/20	Texas at West Virginia	+2.5	56.0	L 23 - 31	U	N
Fri 11/26	Texas vs Kansas State	-3.0	54.5	W 22 - 17	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST	.13	39%	14.2	36%	2.47	188	43%	239	3.31	.1	37%	33.3	40%	34%	3.09	54.7	1.5	1.5
TEX	.25	43%	30.5	46%	3.08	195	41%	280	4.44	.14	43%	20.3	40%	46%	3.42	79	0.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OKST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TEX		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Offense	11	14.2	10.2	39.2%	3.31	1.5	24	427	188	239	4.1	56%	44%	36%	43%	17%	.13
TEX Defense	10	20.3	17	43.2%	3.42	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	40%	46%	19%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OKST Defense	11	33.3	41.4	37.2%	3.09	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	40%	34%	20%	.1
TEX Offense	10	30.5	38.8	43.2%	4.44	0.9	22	476	195	280	5.3	47%	53%	46%	41%	16%	.25

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oklahoma State	11	29:54	23.7	42%	50%	6.6	54.7	1.5	1.5	8	2.6	2	32.6
Texas	10	27:36	22.4	37%	50%	8.2	79	0.9	1.8	7.4	1.5	2	30.9

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Offense	11	56%	36%	45.9	187.7	4.1	17	.04	2.47	78%	12%	1.04
TEX Defense	10	46%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.44	73%	12%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OKST Defense	11	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.66	63%	14%	0.99
TEX Offense	10	47%	46%	36.8	195.4	5.3	20	.15	3.08	63%	9%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Offense	11	44%	43%	18.8	30.9	239.1	7.7	12.7	18	10	.25	1.6	34%	29%	.28	5%	2.1
TEX Defense	10	53%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.26	1.4	30%	31%	.23	8%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OKST Defense	11	50%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.17	1.7	34%	27%	.17	6%	2
TEX Offense	10	53%	41%	20.8	34.5	280.1	8.1	13.5	32	5	.35	1.7	31%	34%	.49	7%	2.3

Oklahoma State's Power Ratings
Oklahoma State's Power Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Offense Rating: NR
Oklahoma State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Oklahoma State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Oklahoma State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.2 #12
Oklahoma State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #53
Oklahoma State's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3 #4

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: Texas: 6.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oklahoma State: 17.2 Texas: 8.5

Texas's Power Ratings
Texas's Power Rating: 6.75 NR
Texas's Offense Rating: NR
Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.5 #48
Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.6 #28
Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #85

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Oklahoma State Scoring
Offense: 14.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.2
Defense: 33.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 41.4

Oklahoma State's 2021 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Texas 36
Oklahoma State 15

Projected Total Points: 51

Texas Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	12/02	Texas	49	Oklahoma State	21	Texas -14	Texas	55.0	Over
2022	10/22	Oklahoma State	41	Texas	34	Texas -6.5	Oklahoma State	58.5	Over
2021	10/16	Texas	24	Oklahoma State	32	Texas -3	Oklahoma State	61.0	Under
2020	10/31	Oklahoma State	34	Texas	41	Oklahoma State -3.5	Texas	0
2019	09/21	Texas	36	Oklahoma State	30	Texas -7	Oklahoma State	71.5	Under
2018	10/27	Oklahoma State	38	Texas	35	Texas -2.5	Oklahoma State	60.5	Over
2017	10/21	Texas	10	Oklahoma State	13	Oklahoma State -7	Texas	65.0	Under
2016	10/01	Oklahoma State	49	Texas	31	Oklahoma State -3	Oklahoma State	68.0	Over
2015	09/26	Texas	27	Oklahoma State	30	Oklahoma State -5	Texas	63.0	Under
2014	11/15	Oklahoma State	7	Texas	28	Oklahoma State -1	Texas	0
2013	11/16	Texas	13	Oklahoma State	38	Oklahoma State -2	Oklahoma State	0
2012	09/29	Oklahoma State	36	Texas	41
2011	10/15	Texas	26	Oklahoma State	38
2010	11/13	Texas	16	Oklahoma State	33
2009	10/31	Oklahoma State	14	Texas	41
2008	10/25	Texas	28	Oklahoma State	24
2007	11/03	Oklahoma State	35	Texas	38
2006	11/04	Texas	36	Oklahoma State	10
2005	10/29	Oklahoma State	28	Texas	47
2004	11/06	Texas	56	Oklahoma State	35
2003	11/08	Oklahoma State	16	Texas	55
2002	10/05	Texas	17	Oklahoma State	15
2001	10/13	Oklahoma State	17	Texas	45
2000	09/29	Texas	42	Oklahoma State	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas	15	5	4 Overs
Oklahoma State	9	6	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 14	6 - 5	2 - 4	4 - 1
Road Teams	14 - 10	5 - 6	1 - 4	4 - 2

(#) OKST at (#) TEX

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OKST	TEX
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#12	#48
Perf GradeGrade	#13	#79
OffenseOff	#49	#46
DefenseDef	#4	#110
Spec TeamsST	#8	#45
TalentTal	#54	#11
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Oklahoma State Injury Report

Texas Injury Report

Oklahoma State on Offense


CategoryCat	OKST Off	TEX Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#49	#110
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oklahoma State Run Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	TEX Def
Run GameRun	#77	#124
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#58	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#92

Oklahoma State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OKST Off	TEX Def
Pass GamePass	#20	#57
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#44	#121
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	TEX Off	OKST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#46	#4
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#4
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	OKST Def
Run GameRun	#6	#7
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#52

Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	TEX Off	OKST Def
Pass GamePass	#75	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#75	#36
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TEX 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

OKST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'21 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Texas -3.0 (61.0)
Oklahoma State won at Texas this year (32-24)

Previous Matchups
Texas beat Oklahoma State in 2023 (49-21)

OKST's OC Kasey Dunn (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oklahoma State's Full Roster

OKST's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TEX's OC Kyle Flood (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas's Full Roster

TEX's DC Pete Kwiatkowski (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD