Tulane at UCF - 2021 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo   Tulane Green Wave at UCF Knights  UCF logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (4:00 PM EDT)
UCF -13.5 (57.0)
UCF 14 - Tulane: 10  (American Athletic)

 
Green Wave (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (30 - 35)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (26 - 32 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -7  (SP+ UCF -9)
Projected Score: TULN: 24 - UCF: 28 (52)
UCF Win prob: 84% | Cover: 56%
TULN Travel: 546 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulane's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Tulane at Oklahoma+31.066.5L 35 - 40OY
Sat 9/11 Tulane vs Morgan State-47.558.0W 69 - 20OY
Sat 9/18 Tulane at Ole Miss+14.077.0L 21 - 61ON
Sat 9/25 Tulane vs UAB-2.555.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 10/2 Tulane at East Carolina-3.065.0L 29 - 52ON
Thu 10/7 Tulane vs Houston+6.560.0L 22 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/21 Tulane at SMU+14.070.5L 26 - 55ON
Sat 10/30 Tulane vs Cincinnati+27.561.5L 12 - 31UY
Sat 11/6 Tulane at UCF+13.557.0L 10 - 14UY
Sat 11/13 Tulane vs Tulsa+3.055.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 11/20 Tulane vs South Florida-5.559.5W 45 - 14UY
Sat 11/27 Tulane at Memphis+5.558.0L 28 - 33OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
UCF's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 UCF vs Boise State-6.567.0W 36 - 31UN
Sat 9/11 UCF vs Bethune-Cookman-46.067.0W 63 - 14OY
Fri 9/17 UCF at Louisville-7.067.5L 35 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 UCF at Navy-15.052.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 10/9 UCF vs East Carolina-10.065.0W 20 - 16UN
Sat 10/16 UCF at Cincinnati+21.556.0L 21 - 56ON
Fri 10/22 UCF vs Memphis-1.563.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/30 UCF at Temple-12.052.0W 49 - 7OY
Sat 11/6 UCF vs Tulane-13.557.0W 14 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 UCF at SMU+7.061.5L 28 - 55ON
Sat 11/20 UCF vs UConn-30.056.0W 49 - 17OY
Fri 11/26 UCF vs South Florida-17.062.0W 17 - 13UN
Thu 12/23 UCF vs Florida+7.056.0W 29 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN.1744%27.747%3.2921739%1774.24.1639%23.939%39%3.4650.61.21.6
UCF.3349%24.352%3.1921146%3524.43.2146%23.646%47%4.247512.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1227.726.443.7%4.241.2223942171775.157%43%47%39%17%.17
UCF Defense1023.615.746.1%4.242.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%47%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1223.93238.9%3.461.6 - - - - - 53%47%39%39%19%.16
UCF Offense1024.332.648.7%4.431285632113524.849%51%52%46%14%.33

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1228:3021.535%55%6.250.61.21.68.42.9132
UCF1027:3028.149%55%9.27512.27.12.6029.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1257%47%42.9217.25.132.243.2978%12%1.08
UCF Defense1051%46% - - - - .042.8464%12%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1253%39% - - - - .022.5967%13%0.9
UCF Offense1049%52%44.4210.74.823.183.1986%8%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1243%39%13.826.1176.66.812.82110.091.532%31%.265%1.9
UCF Defense1049%47% - - - - - - 9.391.732%36%.46%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1247%39% - - - - - - 9.33234%30%.366%2.3
UCF Offense1051%46%24.440.8352.18.614.4324.471.829%38%.616%2.3

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: NR
Tulane's Offense Rating: NR
Tulane's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Tulane's 2021 Expected Record: -
Tulane's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.9  #89
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #74
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.4  #99

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane:    UCF: 4.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: -3.9   UCF: 4.8




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 4.9 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2021 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #62
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #60
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #40

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Tulane's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UCF 28
Tulane 24

Projected Total Points: 52
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202212/03Tulane45UCF28Tulane -3.5Tulane57.5Over
202211/12Tulane31UCF38Tulane -1UCF54.5Over
202111/06UCF14Tulane10UCF -13.5Tulane57.0Under
202010/24UCF51Tulane34UCF -21Tulane71.0Over
201911/23Tulane31UCF34UCF -7Tulane73.5Under
201611/05UCF37Tulane6UCF -16.5UCF47.0Under
201510/03Tulane45UCF31UCF -3Tulane44.0Over
201410/18UCF20Tulane13UCF -19Tulane0
201011/20Tulane14UCF61
200911/21UCF49Tulane0
200611/18Tulane10UCF9
200510/21UCF34Tulane24
200109/22Tulane29UCF36
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF1024 Overs
Tulane363 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 44 - 42 - 42 - 0
Road Teams4 - 94 - 40 - 24 - 2

(#) TULN at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTULNUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #89 #62
Perf GradeGrade #112 #61
OffenseOff #112 #69
DefenseDef #99 #39
Spec TeamsST #119 #131
TalentTal #87 #49
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Tulane on Offense
CategoryCat
TULN OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #112 #39
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #74 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulane Run Game
CategoryCat
TULN OffUCF Def
Run GameRun #84 #49
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #64 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #113
Tulane Pass Game
CategoryCat
TULN OffUCF Def
Pass GamePass #122 #23
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #78 #75
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffTULN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #69 #99
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #99
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffTULN Def
Run GameRun #47 #85
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #83
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffTULN Def
Pass GamePass #88 #93
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #6 #103
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

TULN 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'21 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
UCF -13.5 (57.0)
UCF won vs Tulane this year (14-10)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
TULN's OC Chip Long (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Chris Hampton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC G. J. Kinne (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Travis Williams (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD