Memphis at UCF - 2021 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo   Memphis Tigers at UCF Knights  UCF logo
Friday, October 22nd 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
UCF -1.5 (63.5)
UCF 24 - Memphis: 7  (American Athletic)

 
Tigers (6 - 6) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Ryan Silverfield (11 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 23 (35 - 21 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UCF is playing their 4th straight game
MEM is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -4.5  (SP+ UCF -4)
Projected Score: MEM: 27 - UCF: 25 (52)
UCF Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MEM Travel: 684 miles, 1 hrs behind
Knights (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Gus Malzahn (2 - 1)
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (33 - 16 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Memphis's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Memphis vs Nicholls-22.568.0W 42 - 17UY
Sat 9/11 Memphis at Arkansas State-5.565.0W 55 - 50ON
Sat 9/18 Memphis vs Mississippi State+3.063.0W 31 - 29UY
Sat 9/25 Memphis vs UTSA-3.066.5L 28 - 31UN
Sat 10/2 Memphis at Temple-11.058.5L 31 - 34ON
Sat 10/9 Memphis at Tulsa+3.060.5L 29 - 35ON
Thu 10/14 Memphis vs Navy-11.055.5W 35 - 17UY
Fri 10/22 Memphis at UCF+1.563.5L 7 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Memphis vs SMU+3.572.0W 28 - 25UY
Sat 11/13 Memphis vs East Carolina-4.058.5L 29 - 30ON
Fri 11/19 Memphis at Houston+9.059.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 11/27 Memphis vs Tulane-5.558.0W 33 - 28ON
Fri 12/24 Memphis at Hawai'i-10.056.0

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
UCF's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 UCF vs Boise State-6.567.0W 36 - 31UN
Sat 9/11 UCF vs Bethune-Cookman-46.067.0W 63 - 14OY
Fri 9/17 UCF at Louisville-7.067.5L 35 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/2 UCF at Navy-15.052.5L 30 - 34ON
Sat 10/9 UCF vs East Carolina-10.065.0W 20 - 16UN
Sat 10/16 UCF at Cincinnati+21.556.0L 21 - 56ON
Fri 10/22 UCF vs Memphis-1.563.5W 24 - 7UY
Sat 10/30 UCF at Temple-12.052.0W 49 - 7OY
Sat 11/6 UCF vs Tulane-13.557.0W 14 - 10UN
Sat 11/13 UCF at SMU+7.061.5L 28 - 55ON
Sat 11/20 UCF vs UConn-30.056.0W 49 - 17OY
Fri 11/26 UCF vs South Florida-17.062.0W 17 - 13UN
Thu 12/23 UCF vs Florida+7.056.0W 29 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UCF's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM.243%32.541%2.6214544%3083.72.1943%23.241%44%3.6347.31.61.8
UCF.3349%24.352%3.1921146%3524.43.2146%23.646%47%4.247512.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UCF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1132.53542.7%3.721.624453145308446%54%41%44%18%.2
UCF Defense1023.615.746.1%4.242.2 - - - - - 51%49%46%47%18%.21
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1123.220.842.6%3.631.8 - - - - - 47%53%41%44%16%.19
UCF Offense1024.332.648.7%4.431285632113524.849%51%52%46%14%.33

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1128:5723.545%58%5.547.31.61.86.12.4127.8
UCF1027:3028.149%55%9.27512.27.12.6029.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1146%41%35.9145.249-.012.6272%11%0.82
UCF Defense1051%46% - - - - .042.8464%12%0.82
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1147%41% - - - - .053.0173%10%0.92
UCF Offense1049%52%44.4210.74.823.183.1986%8%0.83

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1154%44%2338.3307.5813.43110.381.833%36%.497%2.1
UCF Defense1049%47% - - - - - - 9.391.732%36%.46%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1153%44% - - - - - - 12.311.632%35%.426%2.1
UCF Offense1051%46%24.440.8352.18.614.4324.471.829%38%.616%2.3

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Memphis's 2021 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.0  #74
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #60
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #78

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis:    UCF: 4.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 1.0   UCF: 4.8




UCF's Power Ratings
UCF's Power Rating: 4.9 NR
UCF's Offense Rating: NR
UCF's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UCF's 2021 Expected Record: -
UCF's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.8  #62
UCF's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #60
UCF's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #40

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 32.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.8

Memphis's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Memphis 27
UCF 25

Projected Total Points: 52
UCF Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

UCF's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/05Memphis28UCF35UCF -3UCF60.5Over
202110/22UCF24Memphis7UCF -1.5UCF63.5Under
202010/17Memphis50UCF49UCF -3Memphis76.5Over
201810/13Memphis30UCF31UCF -5Memphis80.5Under
201812/01UCF56Memphis41UCF -1UCF65.0Over
201712/02UCF62Memphis55UCF -7Push82.0Over
201709/30UCF40Memphis13UCF -5.5UCF68.5Under
201310/05Memphis17UCF24UCF -10.5Memphis0
201210/20Memphis17UCF35
201110/29UCF41Memphis0
201011/27Memphis17UCF37
200910/03UCF32Memphis14
200811/22Memphis21UCF28
200709/22UCF56Memphis20
200611/11Memphis24UCF26
200510/08UCF38Memphis17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UCF1544 Overs
Memphis133 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 76 - 13 - 03 - 1
Road Teams7 - 91 - 61 - 30 - 3

(#) MEM at (#) UCF
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMEMUCF
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #74 #62
Perf GradeGrade #74 #61
OffenseOff #81 #69
DefenseDef #45 #39
Spec TeamsST #76 #131
TalentTal #65 #49
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCat
MEM OffUCF Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #81 #39
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffUCF Def
Run GameRun #94 #49
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #87 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #113
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffUCF Def
Pass GamePass #90 #23
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #88 #75
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UCF on Offense
CategoryCatUCF OffMEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #69 #45
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #60 #78
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UCF Run Game
CategoryCat
UCF OffMEM Def
Run GameRun #47 #64
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #74 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #30
UCF Pass Game
CategoryCatUCF OffMEM Def
Pass GamePass #88 #22
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #6 #92
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UCF 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

MEM 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bright House Networks Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 77° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 8
UCF -1.5 (63.5)
UCF won vs Memphis this year (24-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MEM's OC Kevin Johns (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC Mike MacIntyre (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UCF's OC G. J. Kinne (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UCF's Full Roster

UCF's DC Travis Williams (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD