North Texas at Rice - 2021 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 30th 2021 (2:00 PM EDT)
Rice -1.5 (55.0)
North Texas 30 - Rice: 24 (Conference USA)

Mean Green (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Seth Littrell (32 - 33)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UNT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5.5 (SP+ UNT -16.5)
Projected Score: UNT: 38 - RICE: 25 (63)
RICE Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
UNT Travel: 262 miles

Owls (4 - 8) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Mike Bloomgren (7 - 26)
Avg Score : 19 - 33 (24 - 32 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
RICE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	North Texas vs Northwestern State	-20.0	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/11	North Texas at SMU	+22.5	75.5	L 12 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	North Texas vs UAB	+12.5	58.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/25	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+9.5	65.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	North Texas at Missouri	+18.5	69.0	L 35 - 48	O	Y
Fri 10/15	North Texas vs Marshall	+11.0	66.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/23	North Texas vs Liberty	+21.0	61.0	L 26 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/30	North Texas at Rice	+1.5	55.0	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/6	North Texas at Southern Miss	-5.5	49.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/13	North Texas vs UTEP	-1.0	55.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/20	North Texas at Florida International	-10.0	57.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/27	North Texas vs UTSA	+8.5	60.0	W 45 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/23	North Texas vs Miami (OH)	+2.0	56.5	L 14 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Rice's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Rice at Arkansas	+19.5	50.0	L 17 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/11	Rice vs Houston	+7.5	50.0	L 7 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/18	Rice at Texas	+26.0	52.0	L 0 - 58	O	N
Sat 9/25	Rice vs Texas Southern	-37.0	53.5	W 48 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/2	Rice vs Southern Miss	-1.5	45.0	W 24 - 19	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Rice at UTSA	+17.0	53.0	L 0 - 45	U	N
Sat 10/23	Rice at UAB	+23.5	44.5	W 30 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Rice vs North Texas	-1.5	55.0	L 24 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/6	Rice at Charlotte	+6.5	51.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/13	Rice vs Western Kentucky	+19.0	61.0	L 21 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/20	Rice at UTEP	+9.0	47.0	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/27	Rice vs Louisiana Tech	+3.5	52.5	W 35 - 31	O	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	.29	46%	45.1	49%	3.27	230	42%	283	4.03	.33	47%	26.5	48%	44%	4.67	53.6	1.5	0.9
RICE	.12	42%	19.1	39%	2.84	120	46%	215	3.35	.08	41%	32.9	40%	42%	2.38	23.8	1.6	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
RICE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	10	45.1	43.7	46.1%	4.03	1.5	25	513	230	283	5.2	54%	46%	49%	42%	12%	.29
RICE Defense	5	32.9	32	40.8%	2.38	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	40%	42%	15%	.08

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	10	26.5	28.3	46.6%	4.67	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	48%	44%	13%	.33
RICE Offense	5	19.1	23.9	42%	3.35	1.6	21	335	120	215	2.8	57%	43%	39%	46%	17%	.12

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	10	25:00	24.8	47%	46%	6.8	53.6	1.5	0.9	5.1	2.2	0	28.3
Rice	5	35:19	21.4	37%	55%	3.4	23.8	1.6	1.8	4.4	1.4	1	32.1

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	10	54%	49%	44.3	230.2	5.2	18	.21	3.27	70%	6%	0.99
RICE Defense	5	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.99	55%	9%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	10	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.42	80%	8%	1.19
RICE Offense	5	57%	39%	42.8	120.2	2.8	1	-.09	2.84	81%	13%	0.6

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	10	46%	42%	18.5	33.6	283	8.4	15.3	28	9	.38	1.9	31%	37%	.49	6%	2.2
RICE Defense	5	45%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.14	1.6	31%	33%	.2	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	10	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.34	1.6	29%	32%	.43	4%	2.2
RICE Offense	5	43%	46%	16.4	26.6	215.2	8.1	13.1	11	2	.39	1.7	28%	26%	.17	5%	2.1

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5 #95
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #100
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: Rice: -8.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -6.5 Rice: -22.9

Rice's Power Ratings
Rice's Power Rating: -8.95 NR
Rice's Offense Rating: NR
Rice's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Rice's 2021 Expected Record: -
Rice's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -22.9 #127
Rice's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #123
Rice's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.3 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 38
Rice 25

Projected Total Points: 63

Rice Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 23.9
Defense: 32.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 32

Rice's 2021 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Rice	24	North Texas	56	North Texas -18.5	North Texas	57.0	Over
2022	11/26	North Texas	21	Rice	17	North Texas -14.5	Rice	57.0	Under
2021	10/30	Rice	24	North Texas	30	Rice -1.5	North Texas	55.0	Under
2020	11/21	North Texas	27	Rice	17	North Texas -2.5	North Texas	65.5	Under
2019	11/23	Rice	20	North Texas	14	North Texas -6.5	Rice	55.0	Under
2018	10/27	North Texas	41	Rice	17	North Texas -30	Rice	58.0	Push
2017	11/25	Rice	14	North Texas	30	North Texas -12.5	North Texas	62.5	Under
2016	09/24	Rice	35	North Texas	42	Rice -7.5	North Texas	55.0	Over
2015	09/19	North Texas	24	Rice	38	Rice -6	Rice	54.0	Over
2014	10/25	Rice	41	North Texas	21	Rice -13	Rice	0
2013	10/31	North Texas	28	Rice	16	North Texas -2.5	North Texas	0
2010	09/11	North Texas	31	Rice	32
2008	09/27	Rice	77	North Texas	20

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rice	5	5	3 Overs
North Texas	8	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	4 - 7	3 - 4	1 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 7	7 - 4	3 - 1	4 - 3

(#) UNT at (#) RICE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNT	RICE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#127
Perf GradeGrade	#83	#113
OffenseOff	#104	#110
DefenseDef	#36	#108
Spec TeamsST	#25	#60
TalentTal	#79	#99
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Texas Injury Report

Rice Injury Report

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	RICE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	#108
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#124
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	RICE Def
Run GameRun	#32	#111
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#116	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#122

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	RICE Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#96
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#117	#57
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Rice on Offense


CategoryCat	RICE Off	UNT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#110	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#123	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Rice Run Game


CategoryCat	RICE Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	#94	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#110	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#89

Rice Pass Game


CategoryCat	RICE Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	#105	#102
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#97	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
RICE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Poor G5

UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rice Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Rice -1.5 (55.0)
North Texas won at Rice this year (30-24)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Rice last year (56-24)

UNT's OC Mike Bloesch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Phil Bennett (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

RICE's OC Marques Tuiasosopo (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Rice's Full Roster

RICE's DC Brian Smith (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD