North Texas at Louisiana Tech - 2021 Matchup Preview

North Texas Mean Green at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Saturday, September 25th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -9.5 (65.0)
Louisiana Tech 24 - North Texas: 17 (Conference USA)

Mean Green (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Seth Littrell (32 - 33)
Avg Score : 45 - 27 (44 - 28 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

LT 3rd straight Home Game
LT is playing their 4th straight game
UNT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -0 (SP+ UNT -5)
Projected Score: UNT: 32 - LT: 30 (62)
LT Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
UNT Travel: 265 miles

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Skip Holtz (62 - 43)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (37 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UNT Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Texas's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	North Texas vs Northwestern State	-20.0	66.0	W 44 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/11	North Texas at SMU	+22.5	75.5	L 12 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	North Texas vs UAB	+12.5	58.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 9/25	North Texas at Louisiana Tech	+9.5	65.0	L 17 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/9	North Texas at Missouri	+18.5	69.0	L 35 - 48	O	Y
Fri 10/15	North Texas vs Marshall	+11.0	66.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/23	North Texas vs Liberty	+21.0	61.0	L 26 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/30	North Texas at Rice	+1.5	55.0	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/6	North Texas at Southern Miss	-5.5	49.0	W 38 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/13	North Texas vs UTEP	-1.0	55.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/20	North Texas at Florida International	-10.0	57.0	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/27	North Texas vs UTSA	+8.5	60.0	W 45 - 23	O	Y
Thu 12/23	North Texas vs Miami (OH)	+2.0	56.5	L 14 - 27	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Louisiana Tech at Mississippi State	+20.5	52.5	L 34 - 35	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana	-11.5	70.5	W 45 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/18	Louisiana Tech vs SMU	+11.0	65.0	L 37 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Louisiana Tech vs North Texas	-9.5	65.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/2	Louisiana Tech at NC State	+18.5	56.0	L 27 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-6.5	55.5	L 3 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/23	Louisiana Tech vs UTSA	+5.5	59.5	L 16 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/30	Louisiana Tech at Old Dominion	-4.0	52.0	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/6	Louisiana Tech at UAB	+14.0	49.5	L 38 - 52	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Louisiana Tech vs Charlotte	-7.0	58.0	W 42 - 32	O	Y
Fri 11/19	Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss	-15.0	47.5	L 19 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/27	Louisiana Tech at Rice	-3.5	52.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT	.29	46%	45.1	49%	3.27	230	42%	283	4.03	.33	47%	26.5	48%	44%	4.67	53.6	1.5	0.9
LT	.07	39%	27.3	42%	2.78	99	37%	217	4.05	.2	45%	20.8	46%	43%	3.93	45.6	1.6	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UNT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Offense	10	45.1	43.7	46.1%	4.03	1.5	25	513	230	283	5.2	54%	46%	49%	42%	12%	.29
LT Defense	10	20.8	17.3	44.8%	3.93	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	46%	43%	13%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UNT Defense	10	26.5	28.3	46.6%	4.67	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	48%	44%	13%	.33
LT Offense	10	27.3	36.5	38.8%	4.05	1.6	20	316	99	217	2.9	46%	54%	42%	37%	18%	.07

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Texas	10	25:00	24.8	47%	46%	6.8	53.6	1.5	0.9	5.1	2.2	0	28.3
Louisiana Tech	10	30:16	19.8	39%	89%	5	45.6	1.6	1.4	5.2	1.7	1	33.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Offense	10	54%	49%	44.3	230.2	5.2	18	.21	3.27	70%	6%	0.99
LT Defense	10	54%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.93	70%	8%	0.95

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UNT Defense	10	55%	48%	-	-	-	-	.31	3.42	80%	8%	1.19
LT Offense	10	46%	42%	34.2	99.2	2.9	10	.1	2.78	71%	12%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Offense	10	46%	42%	18.5	33.6	283	8.4	15.3	28	9	.38	1.9	31%	37%	.49	6%	2.2
LT Defense	10	46%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.24	1.6	30%	33%	.28	4%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UNT Defense	10	45%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.34	1.6	29%	32%	.43	4%	2.2
LT Offense	10	54%	37%	22.1	35.9	216.6	6	9.8	21	14	.05	1.5	31%	30%	.26	7%	1.9

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #79
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Texas's 2021 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.5 #95
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #100
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #87

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas: Louisiana Tech: -3.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -6.5 Louisiana Tech: -11.6

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -3.3 NR
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #75
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Expected Record: -
Louisiana Tech's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #109
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.6 #94
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4 #113

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Texas Scoring
Offense: 45.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 43.7
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.3

North Texas's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
North Texas 32
Louisiana Tech 30

Projected Total Points: 62

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.5
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Louisiana Tech's 2021 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Louisiana Tech	37	North Texas	40	Louisiana Tech -4.5	North Texas	66.5	Over
2022	10/15	North Texas	47	Louisiana Tech	27	North Texas -6.5	North Texas	68.0	Over
2021	09/25	Louisiana Tech	24	North Texas	17	Louisiana Tech -9.5	North Texas	65.0	Under
2020	12/03	North Texas	31	Louisiana Tech	42	Louisiana Tech -1	Louisiana Tech	64.5	Over
2019	11/09	Louisiana Tech	52	North Texas	17	Louisiana Tech -5.5	Louisiana Tech	71.5	Under
2018	09/29	North Texas	27	Louisiana Tech	29	North Texas -7	Louisiana Tech	62.5	Under
2017	11/04	Louisiana Tech	23	North Texas	24	Louisiana Tech -1.5	North Texas	67.0	Under
2016	11/05	North Texas	24	Louisiana Tech	45	Louisiana Tech -21	NA	63.5	Over
2015	11/07	Louisiana Tech	56	North Texas	13	Louisiana Tech -30	Louisiana Tech	62.0	Over
2014	09/11	North Texas	21	Louisiana Tech	42	North Texas -4	Louisiana Tech	0
2013	10/19	Louisiana Tech	13	North Texas	28	North Texas -7	North Texas	0
2006	11/04	North Texas	31	Louisiana Tech	34
2005	10/22	Louisiana Tech	40	North Texas	14

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	9	5	5 Overs
North Texas	4	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 8	3 - 7	3 - 5	0 - 2
Road Teams	8 - 5	7 - 3	2 - 0	5 - 3

(#) UNT at (#) LT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UNT	LT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#95	#109
Perf GradeGrade	#83	#102
OffenseOff	#104	#102
DefenseDef	#36	#89
Spec TeamsST	#25	#74
TalentTal	#79	#75
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

North Texas Injury Report

Louisiana Tech Injury Report

North Texas on Offense


CategoryCat	UNT Off	LT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	#89
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#113
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

North Texas Run Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#32	#82
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#116	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#115

North Texas Pass Game


CategoryCat	UNT Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#94	#79
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#117	#87
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	LT Off	UNT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#102	#36
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#94	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	UNT Def
Run GameRun	#91	#31
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#108	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#89

Louisiana Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	UNT Def
Pass GamePass	#77	#102
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#128	#1
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

UNT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 72°

Rematch from Week 4
Louisiana Tech -9.5 (65.0)
Louisiana Tech won vs North Texas this year (24-17)

Previous Matchups
North Texas beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (40-37)

UNT's OC Mike Bloesch (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View North Texas's Full Roster

UNT's DC Phil Bennett (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LT's OC Joe Sloan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC David Blackwell (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD