Alabama at Texas A&M - 2021 Matchup Preview

Alabama Crimson Tide at Texas A&M Aggies

Saturday, October 9th 2021 (8:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -18.5 (50.5)
Texas A&M 41 - Alabama: 38 (SEC)

Crimson Tide (13 - 2) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (167 - 23)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (26 - 24 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TA&M 2nd straight Home Game
TA&M is playing their 6th straight game
ALA is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -0 (SP+ ALA -5)
Projected Score: ALA: 23 - TA&M: 27 (50)
ALA Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
ALA Travel: 546 miles

Aggies (8 - 4) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jimbo Fisher (29 - 10)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (31 - 15 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ALA Players
TA&M Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Alabama's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Alabama vs Miami	-19.5	61.5	W 44 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Alabama vs Mercer	-54.0	60.5	W 48 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/18	Alabama at Florida	-14.0	59.5	W 31 - 29	O	N
Sat 9/25	Alabama vs Southern Miss	-45.0	57.5	W 63 - 14	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Alabama vs Ole Miss	-15.0	79.5	W 42 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Alabama at Texas A&M	-18.5	50.5	L 38 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/16	Alabama at Mississippi State	-17.5	59.5	W 49 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Alabama vs Tennessee	-24.5	68.0	W 52 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Alabama vs LSU	-29.5	66.5	W 20 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/13	Alabama vs New Mexico State	-50.0	67.0	W 59 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Alabama vs Arkansas	-20.5	58.5	W 42 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/27	Alabama at Auburn	-21.0	57.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
Sat 12/4	Alabama vs Georgia	+6.0	48.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Fri 12/31	Alabama vs Cincinnati	-13.0	57.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y
Mon 1/10	Alabama vs Georgia	+3.0	53.5	L 18 - 33	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule

Texas A&M's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Texas A&M vs Kent State	-29.5	67.0	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Texas A&M vs Colorado	-17.5	51.0	W 10 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/18	Texas A&M vs New Mexico	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-4.5	47.0	L 10 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	Texas A&M vs Mississippi State	-7.0	45.5	L 22 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/9	Texas A&M vs Alabama	+18.5	50.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Texas A&M at Missouri	-11.5	59.0	W 35 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/23	Texas A&M vs South Carolina	-19.0	46.0	W 44 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6	Texas A&M vs Auburn	-4.5	49.5	W 20 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/13	Texas A&M at Ole Miss	-1.0	57.5	L 19 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/20	Texas A&M vs Prairie View A&M	-41.5	50.0	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Texas A&M at LSU	-6.0	47.0	L 24 - 27	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA	.49	58%	29.5	54%	3.29	183	61%	358	5.18	.12	38%	19.2	37%	38%	2.88	48.1	0.9	1.7
TA&M	.28	49%	33.8	51%	3.17	205	48%	227	3.92	.13	39%	21	38%	40%	3.63	56.4	0.8	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ALA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TA&M		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Offense	13	29.5	26.3	57.9%	5.18	0.9	28	541	183	358	5	47%	53%	54%	61%	11%	.49
TA&M Defense	10	21	15.3	39.3%	3.63	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	42%	58%	38%	40%	19%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ALA Defense	13	19.2	23.7	37.5%	2.88	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	37%	38%	18%	.12
TA&M Offense	10	33.8	31.1	49.4%	3.92	0.8	23	432	205	227	5.5	53%	47%	51%	48%	13%	.28

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Alabama	13	30:48	28.1	60%	67%	6	48.1	0.9	1.7	5.5	2.1	4	30
Texas A&M	10	33:47	23.2	55%	38%	6.1	56.4	0.8	1.4	6.3	2.7	1	29.9

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Offense	13	47%	54%	36.5	182.9	5	37	.23	3.29	81%	7%	0.89
TA&M Defense	10	42%	38%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.97	74%	11%	0.83

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ALA Defense	13	47%	37%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.63	71%	11%	1.03
TA&M Offense	10	53%	51%	37.4	205	5.5	21	.21	3.17	80%	7%	0.92

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Offense	13	53%	61%	24.9	32.7	358.2	11	14.4	42	4	.71	1.6	22%	48%	.87	4%	2.3
TA&M Defense	10	58%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.21	1.7	34%	26%	.22	7%	2.3

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ALA Defense	13	53%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.16	1.7	34%	32%	.3	8%	2
TA&M Offense	10	47%	48%	18.9	30.1	226.7	7.5	12	20	4	.37	1.5	30%	39%	.39	6%	1.8

Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.9 #4
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Alabama: Texas A&M: 13.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Alabama: 26.0 Texas A&M: 21.1

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 13.05 NR
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: NR
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Texas A&M's 2021 Expected Record: -
Texas A&M's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.1 #6
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6 #35
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #7

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.7

Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 27
Alabama 23

Projected Total Points: 50

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.1
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.3

Texas A&M's 2021 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 6 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Texas A&M	20	Alabama	26	Alabama -2.5	Alabama	45.0	Over
2022	10/08	Alabama	24	Texas A&M	20	Alabama -24	Texas A&M	48.0	Under
2021	10/09	Texas A&M	41	Alabama	38	Alabama -18.5	Texas A&M	50.5	Over
2020	10/03	Alabama	52	Texas A&M	24	Alabama -18	Alabama	54.0	Over
2019	10/12	Texas A&M	28	Alabama	47	Alabama -17	Alabama	61.0	Over
2018	09/22	Alabama	45	Texas A&M	23	Alabama -24	Texas A&M	58.5	Over
2017	10/07	Texas A&M	19	Alabama	27	Alabama -26.5	Texas A&M	56.5	Under
2016	10/22	Alabama	33	Texas A&M	14	Alabama -16.5	Alabama	59.0	Under
2015	10/17	Texas A&M	23	Alabama	41	Alabama -3	Alabama	54.5	Over
2014	10/18	Alabama	59	Texas A&M	0	Alabama -12	Alabama	0
2013	09/14	Texas A&M	42	Alabama	49	Alabama -7	NA	0
2012	11/10	Alabama	24	Texas A&M	29

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Texas A&M	2	4	6 Overs
Alabama	10	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	5 - 5	3 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 6	5 - 5	3 - 2	2 - 3

(#) ALA at (#) TA&M

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ALA	TA&M
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#3	#6
Perf GradeGrade	#6	#22
OffenseOff	#15	#43
DefenseDef	#12	#21
Spec TeamsST	#72	#60
TalentTal	#1	#7
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Alabama Injury Report

Texas A&M Injury Report

Alabama on Offense


CategoryCat	ALA Off	TA&M Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#15	#21
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#4	#7
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Alabama Run Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#26	#27
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#54	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#22

Alabama Pass Game


CategoryCat	ALA Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#3	#31
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#80	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Texas A&M on Offense


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	ALA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#43	#12
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#35	#9
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas A&M Run Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	ALA Def
Run GameRun	#9	#4
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#28	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#3

Texas A&M Pass Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	ALA Def
Pass GamePass	#43	#40
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#108	#37
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kyle Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Alabama 18.5 (50.5)
Texas A&M won vs Alabama this year (41-38)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat Texas A&M in 2023 (26-20)

ALA's OC Bill O'Brien (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Pete Golding (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

TA&M's OC Darrell Dickey (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC Mike Elko (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD