New Mexico State at Alabama - 2021 Matchup Preview
New Mexico State logo   New Mexico State Aggies at Alabama Crimson Tide  Alabama logo
Saturday, November 13th 2021 (12:00 PM EST)
Alabama -50.0 (67.0)
Alabama 59 - New Mexico State: 3

 
Aggies (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Doug Martin (23 - 67)
Avg Score : 22 - 28 (20 - 38 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ALA 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -27.5  (SP+ ALA -50)
Projected Score: NMSU: 18 - ALA: 34 (52)
ALA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 30%
NMSU Travel: 1116 miles, 1 hrs behind
Crimson Tide (13 - 2) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (167 - 23)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
New Mexico State's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/28 New Mexico State vs UTEP+9.559.0L 3 - 30UN
Sat 9/4 New Mexico State at San Diego State+31.051.0L 10 - 28UY
Sat 9/11 New Mexico State at New Mexico+19.555.5L 25 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 New Mexico State vs South Carolina State-3.554.5W 43 - 35OY
Sat 9/25 New Mexico State vs Hawai'i+17.063.0L 21 - 41UN
Sat 10/2 New Mexico State at San José State+25.551.5L 31 - 37OY
Sat 10/9 New Mexico State at Nevada+28.564.5L 28 - 55OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23 New Mexico State at Hawai'i+18.062.5L 34 - 48OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 New Mexico State vs Utah State+18.072.0L 13 - 35UN
Sat 11/13 New Mexico State at Alabama+50.067.0L 3 - 59UN
Sat 11/20 New Mexico State at Kentucky+35.561.0L 16 - 56ON
Sat 11/27 New Mexico State vs Massachusetts-7.058.5W 44 - 27OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Alabama's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Alabama vs Miami-19.561.5W 44 - 13UY
Sat 9/11 Alabama vs Mercer-54.060.5W 48 - 14ON
Sat 9/18 Alabama at Florida-14.059.5W 31 - 29ON
Sat 9/25 Alabama vs Southern Miss-45.057.5W 63 - 14OY
Sat 10/2 Alabama vs Ole Miss-15.079.5W 42 - 21UY
Sat 10/9 Alabama at Texas A&M-18.550.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/16 Alabama at Mississippi State-17.559.5W 49 - 9UY
Sat 10/23 Alabama vs Tennessee-24.568.0W 52 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Alabama vs LSU-29.566.5W 20 - 14UN
Sat 11/13 Alabama vs New Mexico State-50.067.0W 59 - 3UY
Sat 11/20 Alabama vs Arkansas-20.558.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 11/27 Alabama at Auburn-21.057.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 12/4 Alabama vs Georgia+6.048.5W 41 - 24OY
Fri 12/31 Alabama vs Cincinnati-13.057.5W 27 - 6UY
Mon 1/10 Alabama vs Georgia+3.053.5L 18 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU-.1227%21.643%2.11023%01.11.3839%27.646%33%3.15000
ALA.4958%29.554%3.2918361%3585.18.1238%19.237%38%2.8848.10.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NMSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Offense021.62027.3%1.1100000032%59%43%23%0%-.12
ALA Defense1319.211.437.5%2.881.7 - - - - - 47%53%37%38%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NMSU Defense027.637.539.1%3.150 - - - - - 52%46%46%33%0%.38
ALA Offense1329.539.357.9%5.180.928541183358547%53%54%61%11%.49

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
New Mexico State00:000NAN%0%000000025.5
Alabama1330:4828.160%67%648.10.91.75.52.1430
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Offense032%43%0000-.12.1150%0%0.49
ALA Defense1347%37% - - - - .072.6371%11%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NMSU Defense052%46% - - - - .692.97100%0%2.13
ALA Offense1347%54%36.5182.9537.233.2981%7%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Offense059%23%0000000-.071.827%0%-.530%0
ALA Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 12.161.734%32%.38%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NMSU Defense046%33% - - - - - - 0.071.443%25%.460%3
ALA Offense1353%61%24.932.7358.21114.4424.711.622%48%.874%2.3

New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: NR
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #147
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
New Mexico State's 2021 Expected Record: -
New Mexico State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.2  #129
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #112
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.7  #130

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State:    Alabama: 15.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -24.2   Alabama: 26.0




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 15.5 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0  #3
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.9  #4
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 27.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.5

New Mexico State's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 34
New Mexico State 18

Projected Total Points: 52
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/13Alabama59New Mexico State3Alabama -50.0Alabama67.0Under
201909/07Alabama62New Mexico State10Alabama -54.5New Mexico State65.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama211 Overs
New Mexico State011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 01 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) NMSU at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNMSUALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #129 #3
Perf GradeGrade #135 #6
OffenseOff #130 #15
DefenseDef #136 #12
Spec TeamsST #109 #72
TalentTal #147 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
New Mexico State on Offense
CategoryCat
NMSU OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #130 #12
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #112 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
New Mexico State Run Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffALA Def
Run GameRun #133 #4
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #99 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #3
New Mexico State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NMSU OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #103 #40
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #135 #37
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffNMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #15 #136
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #130
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffNMSU Def
Run GameRun #26 #133
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #136
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffNMSU Def
Pass GamePass #3 #136
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #80 #135
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

NMSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'21 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Alabama -50.0 (67.0)
Alabama won vs New Mexico State this year (59-3)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NMSU's OC Doug Martin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View New Mexico State's Full Roster

NMSU's DC Frank Spaziani (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC Bill O'Brien (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Pete Golding (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD