LSU at Alabama - 2021 Matchup Preview
LSU logo   LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide  Alabama logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (7:00 PM EDT)
Alabama -29.5 (66.5)
Alabama 20 - LSU: 14  (SEC)

 
Tigers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ed Orgeron (47 - 15)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (16 - 20 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LSU coming off BYE
ALA coming off BYE
Our Line: -13.5  (SP+ ALA -22)
Projected Score: LSU: 17 - ALA: 27 (44)
ALA Win prob: 99% | Cover: 51%
LSU Travel: 288 miles
Crimson Tide (13 - 2) (8 - 7 - 0)
Coach Nick Saban (167 - 23)
Avg Score : 30 - 19 (39 - 11 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
LSU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 LSU at UCLA-2.064.0L 27 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 LSU vs McNeese-39.066.0W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/18 LSU vs Central Michigan-19.561.0W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/25 LSU at Mississippi State-1.554.5W 28 - 25UY
Sat 10/2 LSU vs Auburn-2.557.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 LSU at Kentucky+2.050.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 10/16 LSU vs Florida+12.561.0W 49 - 42OY
Sat 10/23 LSU at Ole Miss+9.076.5L 17 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 LSU at Alabama+29.566.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 11/13 LSU vs Arkansas+3.059.5L 13 - 16UY
Sat 11/20 LSU vs UL Monroe-29.057.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 11/27 LSU vs Texas A&M+6.047.0W 27 - 24OY
Tue 1/4 LSU vs Kansas State+9.547.0L 20 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Alabama's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Alabama vs Miami-19.561.5W 44 - 13UY
Sat 9/11 Alabama vs Mercer-54.060.5W 48 - 14ON
Sat 9/18 Alabama at Florida-14.059.5W 31 - 29ON
Sat 9/25 Alabama vs Southern Miss-45.057.5W 63 - 14OY
Sat 10/2 Alabama vs Ole Miss-15.079.5W 42 - 21UY
Sat 10/9 Alabama at Texas A&M-18.550.5L 38 - 41ON
Sat 10/16 Alabama at Mississippi State-17.559.5W 49 - 9UY
Sat 10/23 Alabama vs Tennessee-24.568.0W 52 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 Alabama vs LSU-29.566.5W 20 - 14UN
Sat 11/13 Alabama vs New Mexico State-50.067.0W 59 - 3UY
Sat 11/20 Alabama vs Arkansas-20.558.5W 42 - 35ON
Sat 11/27 Alabama at Auburn-21.057.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 12/4 Alabama vs Georgia+6.048.5W 41 - 24OY
Fri 12/31 Alabama vs Cincinnati-13.057.5W 27 - 6UY
Mon 1/10 Alabama vs Georgia+3.053.5L 18 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU.1743%22.845%2.8312242%3123.22.2847%19.849%45%3.6246.21.32.3
ALA.4958%29.554%3.2918361%3585.18.1238%19.237%38%2.8848.10.91.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ALA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Offense1022.816.443.4%3.221.3244341223123.443%57%45%42%14%.17
ALA Defense1319.211.437.5%2.881.7 - - - - - 47%53%37%38%18%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LSU Defense1019.820.446.9%3.622.3 - - - - - 46%54%49%45%19%.28
ALA Offense1329.539.357.9%5.180.928541183358547%53%54%61%11%.49

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
LSU1030:5623.534%71%6.146.21.32.36.22.4528.2
Alabama1330:4828.160%67%648.10.91.75.52.1430
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Offense1043%45%36.2121.93.48.022.8370%7%0.71
ALA Defense1347%37% - - - - .072.6371%11%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LSU Defense1046%49% - - - - .183.0156%11%1.01
ALA Offense1347%54%36.5182.9537.233.2981%7%0.89

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Offense1057%42%24.742.1312.17.412.6249.281.631%36%.47%1.9
ALA Defense1353%38% - - - - - - 12.161.734%32%.38%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LSU Defense1054%45% - - - - - - 14.361.827%33%.478%2.7
ALA Offense1353%61%24.932.7358.21114.4424.711.622%48%.874%2.3

LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
LSU's 2021 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #65
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #72
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #57

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
LSU:    Alabama: 15.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
LSU: 4.1   Alabama: 26.0




Alabama's Power Ratings
Alabama's Power Rating: 15.5 NR
Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Alabama's 2021 Expected Record: -
Alabama's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0  #3
Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.9  #4
Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.6  #9

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.4

LSU's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Alabama 27
LSU 17

Projected Total Points: 44
Alabama Scoring
Offense: 29.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.3
Defense: 19.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Alabama's 2021 Record
Record: 13 - 2
Record vs Spread: 8 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/08Alabama20LSU9Alabama -10.5Alabama49.5Under
202411/09LSU13Alabama42Alabama -2.5Alabama57.5Under
202311/04Alabama42LSU28Alabama -3Alabama61.5Over
202211/05LSU32Alabama31Alabama -13.5LSU56.5Over
202111/06Alabama20LSU14Alabama -29.5LSU66.5Under
202012/05LSU17Alabama55Alabama -29Alabama64.5Over
201911/09Alabama41LSU46Alabama -5LSU65.5Over
201811/03LSU0Alabama29Alabama -14Alabama51.5Under
201711/04Alabama24LSU10Alabama -20.5LSU45.5Under
201611/05LSU0Alabama10Alabama -7Alabama46.0Under
201511/07Alabama30LSU16Alabama -7Alabama47.0Under
201411/08LSU13Alabama20Alabama -6Alabama0
201311/09Alabama38LSU17Alabama -9.5Alabama0
201211/03LSU17Alabama21
201111/05Alabama6LSU9
201101/09LSU0Alabama21
201011/06LSU24Alabama21
200911/07Alabama24LSU15
200811/08LSU21Alabama27
200711/03Alabama34LSU41
200611/11LSU28Alabama14
200511/12Alabama13LSU16
200411/13LSU26Alabama10
200311/15Alabama3LSU27
200111/03Alabama21LSU35
200011/03LSU30Alabama28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Alabama1594 Overs
LSU1147 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 145 - 84 - 31 - 5
Road Teams14 - 128 - 55 - 13 - 4

(#) LSU at (#) ALA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLSUALA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #65 #3
Perf GradeGrade #50 #6
OffenseOff #80 #15
DefenseDef #35 #12
Spec TeamsST #42 #72
TalentTal #5 #1
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCat
LSU OffALA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #12
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #72 #9
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffALA Def
Run GameRun #119 #4
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #3
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffALA Def
Pass GamePass #70 #40
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #17 #37
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatALA OffLSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #15 #35
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #4 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
ALA OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #26 #47
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #54 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #19
Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatALA OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #3 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #80 #35
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ALA 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'21 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

LSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bryant Denny Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Alabama -29.5 (66.5)
Alabama won vs LSU this year (20-14)

Previous Matchups
Alabama beat LSU last year (20-9)
Alabama beat LSU in 2024 (42-13)
Alabama beat LSU in 2023 (42-28)

  
LSU's OC Jake Peetz (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Daronte Jones (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ALA's OC Bill O'Brien (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Alabama's Full Roster

ALA's DC Pete Golding (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD