Florida at LSU - 2021 Matchup Preview
Florida logo   Florida Gators at LSU Tigers  LSU logo
Saturday, October 16th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida -12.5 (61.0)
LSU 49 - Florida: 42  (SEC)

 
Gators (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach Dan Mullen (31 - 10)
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
LSU is playing their 7th straight game
FLA is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -1  (SP+ FLA -7)
Projected Score: FLA: 18 - LSU: 26 (44)
FLA Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
FLA Travel: 531 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (6 - 7) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Ed Orgeron (47 - 15)
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Florida vs Florida Atlantic-23.551.5W 35 - 14UN
Sat 9/11 Florida at South Florida-29.057.0W 42 - 20ON
Sat 9/18 Florida vs Alabama+14.059.5L 29 - 31OY
Sat 9/25 Florida vs Tennessee-19.065.0W 38 - 14UY
Sat 10/2 Florida at Kentucky-7.556.5L 13 - 20UN
Sat 10/9 Florida vs Vanderbilt-39.060.5W 42 - 0UY
Sat 10/16 Florida at LSU-12.561.0L 42 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30 Florida vs Georgia+14.050.0L 7 - 34UN
Sat 11/6 Florida at South Carolina-20.552.0L 17 - 40ON
Sat 11/13 Florida vs Samford-36.068.5W 70 - 52ON
Sat 11/20 Florida at Missouri-9.569.0L 23 - 24UN
Sat 11/27 Florida vs Florida State-4.058.5W 24 - 21UN
Thu 12/23 Florida vs UCF-7.056.0L 17 - 29UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
LSU's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 LSU at UCLA-2.064.0L 27 - 38ON
Sat 9/11 LSU vs McNeese-39.066.0W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/18 LSU vs Central Michigan-19.561.0W 49 - 21OY
Sat 9/25 LSU at Mississippi State-1.554.5W 28 - 25UY
Sat 10/2 LSU vs Auburn-2.557.0L 19 - 24UN
Sat 10/9 LSU at Kentucky+2.050.5L 21 - 42ON
Sat 10/16 LSU vs Florida+12.561.0W 49 - 42OY
Sat 10/23 LSU at Ole Miss+9.076.5L 17 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/6 LSU at Alabama+29.566.5L 14 - 20UY
Sat 11/13 LSU vs Arkansas+3.059.5L 13 - 16UY
Sat 11/20 LSU vs UL Monroe-29.057.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 11/27 LSU vs Texas A&M+6.047.0W 27 - 24OY
Tue 1/4 LSU vs Kansas State+9.547.0L 20 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA.3250%21.645%3.1913154%3794.51.2446%2448%43%4.0446.41.61.3
LSU.1743%22.845%2.8312242%3123.22.2847%19.849%45%3.6246.21.32.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1221.61350.3%4.511.6265101313794.341%59%45%54%15%.32
LSU Defense1019.816.946.9%3.622.3 - - - - - 46%54%49%45%19%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense122430.445.8%4.041.3 - - - - - 49%51%48%43%16%.24
LSU Offense1022.825.743.4%3.221.3244341223123.443%57%45%42%14%.17

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1231:0226.350%58%5.546.41.61.362.8128.4
LSU1030:5623.534%71%6.146.21.32.36.22.4528.2
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1241%45%30.6131.34.312.133.1977%8%0.88
LSU Defense1046%49% - - - - .183.0156%11%1.01
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1249%48% - - - - .23.2175%10%0.87
LSU Offense1043%45%36.2121.93.48.022.8370%7%0.71

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1259%54%26.839.4378.69.614.24610.461.628%42%.518%2
LSU Defense1054%45% - - - - - - 14.361.827%33%.478%2.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1251%43% - - - - - - 9.281.629%35%.396%1.8
LSU Offense1057%42%24.742.1312.17.412.6249.281.631%36%.47%1.9

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2021 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.0  #29
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.0  #22
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.2  #39

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida:    LSU: 4.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 11.0   LSU: 4.1




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 4.55 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #5
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2021 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #65
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.0  #72
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #57

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 26
Florida 18

Projected Total Points: 44
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13LSU20Florida10LSU -5.5LSU47.5Under
202411/16Florida27LSU16LSU -3Florida57.0Under
202311/11LSU52Florida35LSU -14LSU68.5Over
202210/15Florida35LSU45Florida -2LSU51.5Over
202110/16LSU49Florida42Florida -12.5LSU61.0Over
202012/12Florida34LSU37Florida -23LSU65.5Over
201910/12LSU42Florida28LSU -14Push55.5Over
201810/06Florida27LSU19LSU -1Florida44.0Over
201710/07Florida16LSU17LSU -1.5Florida44.0Under
201611/19LSU10Florida16LSU -10.5Florida38.0Under
201510/17LSU35Florida28LSU -6.5LSU43.5Over
201410/11Florida27LSU30LSU -1LSU0
201310/12LSU17Florida6LSU -5LSU0
201210/06Florida14LSU6
201110/08LSU41Florida11
201010/09Florida29LSU33
200910/10LSU3Florida13
200810/11Florida51LSU21
200710/06LSU28Florida24
200610/07Florida23LSU10
200510/15LSU21Florida17
200410/09Florida21LSU24
200310/11LSU7Florida19
200210/12Florida7LSU36
200110/06LSU15Florida44
200010/06Florida41LSU9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1687 Overs
Florida1044 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 118 - 44 - 34 - 1
Road Teams11 - 154 - 81 - 43 - 4

(#) FLA at (#) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFLALSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #65
Perf GradeGrade #89 #50
OffenseOff #73 #80
DefenseDef #90 #35
Spec TeamsST #84 #42
TalentTal #9 #5
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
FLA OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #73 #35
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #22 #57
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffLSU Def
Run GameRun #3 #47
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #127 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #19
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffLSU Def
Pass GamePass #84 #61
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #52 #35
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCatLSU OffFLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #90
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #72 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffFLA Def
Run GameRun #119 #61
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #62
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCatLSU OffFLA Def
Pass GamePass #70 #115
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #17 #29
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'21 Profile: Down to Top G5

FLA 5 Year Profile: Declining CFP Hopefuls
'21 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Florida 12.5 (61.0)
LSU won vs Florida this year (49-42)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Florida last year (20-10)
Florida beat LSU in 2024 (27-16)
LSU beat Florida in 2023 (52-35)

  
FLA's OC Dan Mullen (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC Todd Grantham (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LSU's OC Jake Peetz (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View LSU's Full Roster

LSU's DC Daronte Jones (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD