Duke at NC State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Duke logo Duke Blue Devils at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Saturday, October 17th 2020 (3:30 PM EDT)
NC State -3.5 (59.5)
NC State 31 - Duke: 20  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (2 - 9) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 38 (27 - 39 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
DUKE 2nd straight Road Game
NCST is playing their 5th straight game
DUKE is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -9  (SP+ NCST -13)
Projected Score: DUKE: 30 - NCST: 35 (65)
NCST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 18 miles
Wolfpack (8 - 4) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (32 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Duke at Notre Dame+22.551.5L 13 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Duke vs Boston College-3.549.5L 6 - 26UN
Sat 9/26 Duke at Virginia+3.544.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/3 Duke vs Virginia Tech+11.554.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 10/10 Duke at Syracuse-2.553.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 Duke at NC State+3.559.5L 20 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Duke vs Charlotte-10.5
Sat 11/7 Duke vs North Carolina+11.563.0L 24 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Duke at Georgia Tech-1.557.0L 33 - 56ON
Sat 12/5 Duke vs Miami+14.562.0L 0 - 48UN
Sat 12/12 Duke at Florida State+3.056.5L 35 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
NC State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 NC State vs Wake Forest+2.054.0W 45 - 42OY
Sat 9/26 NC State at Virginia Tech+6.557.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 10/3 NC State at Pittsburgh+14.045.5W 30 - 29OY
Sat 10/10 NC State at Virginia+7.059.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 10/17 NC State vs Duke-3.559.5W 31 - 20UY
Sat 10/24 NC State at North Carolina+15.062.0L 21 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/6 NC State vs Miami+10.057.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 11/14 NC State vs Florida State-12.061.0W 38 - 22UY
Sat 11/21 NC State vs Liberty-4.066.5W 15 - 14UN
Sat 11/28 NC State at Syracuse-17.550.5W 36 - 29ON
Sat 12/5 NC State vs Georgia Tech-7.061.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 1/2 NC State vs Kentucky+3.050.5L 21 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.0639%24.839%2.3315740%2222.68.2843%38.145%40%4.5550.43.51.8
NCST.1642%30.343%2.6112342%2623.87.1641%29.240%41%3.8274.31.61
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1124.826.539.1%2.683.5223791572223.947%53%39%40%20%.06
NCST Defense1229.225.840.7%3.821 - - - - - 49%50%40%41%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1138.138.742.8%4.551.8 - - - - - 53%47%45%40%16%.28
NCST Offense1230.332.242.5%3.871.6223851232623.450%50%43%42%17%.16

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1128:2921.539%48%5.650.43.51.86.12.8129.3
NC State1229:5722.344%67%8.174.31.617.62.8329.7
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1147%39%39.8156.73.919.032.3368%13%1.05
NCST Defense1249%40% - - - - .072.7159%12%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1153%45% - - - - .263.1578%11%1.24
NCST Offense1250%43%36.2123.33.420.032.6171%11%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1153%40%19.935.5221.96.311.21119.121.531%33%.287%1.9
NCST Defense1250%41% - - - - - - 9.251.634%32%.47%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1147%40% - - - - - - 9.31.832%35%.515%2.1
NCST Offense1250%42%20.933.3261.97.912.52415.31.831%36%.396%2.1

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2020 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8  #104
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7  #114
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    NC State: 4.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -9.8   NC State: 3.6




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 4.3 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2020 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6  #54
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #62
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #52

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Duke Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.5
Defense: 38.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.7

Duke's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
NC State 35
Duke 30

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
NC State 35
Duke 32

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
NC State 35
Duke 27

Total Points: 62
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

NC State's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Duke45NC State33Duke -3Duke57.5Over
202411/09NC State19Duke29NC State -3.5Duke51.5Under
202310/14Duke24NC State3Duke -3.5Duke44.0Under
202010/17NC State31Duke20NC State -3.5NC State59.5Under
201311/09Duke38NC State20Duke -9Duke0
200910/10NC State28Duke49
200811/08Duke17NC State27
200310/25Duke21NC State28
200210/19NC State24Duke22
200111/03Duke31NC State55
200011/10NC State35Duke31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State611 Overs
Duke543 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 54 - 14 - 10 - 0
Road Teams5 - 61 - 40 - 01 - 4

(#) DUKE at (#) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKENCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #54
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #50 #31
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #52
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCatNCST OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCatNCST OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 62° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 7
NC State -3.5 (59.5)
NC State won vs Duke this year (31-20)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat NC State last year (29-19)
Duke beat NC State in 2023 (24-3)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD