Miami at Duke - 2020 Matchup Preview
Miami logo (#12)Miami Hurricanes at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, December 5th 2020 (8:00 PM EST)
Miami -14.5 (62.0)
Miami 48 - Duke: 0  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (8 - 3) (5 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 27 (36 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MIAMI coming off BYE
Our Line: -9  (SP+ MIAMI -23.5)
Projected Score: MIAMI: 36 - DUKE: 29 (65)
MIAMI Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
MIAMI Travel: 698 miles
Blue Devils (2 - 9) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 38 (23 - 37 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/10 Miami vs UAB-15.555.0W 31 - 14UY
Sat 9/19 Miami at Louisville-2.565.5W 47 - 34OY
Sat 9/26 Miami vs Florida State-12.554.0W 52 - 10OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Miami at Clemson+14.059.5L 17 - 42UN
Sat 10/17 Miami vs Pittsburgh-12.547.5W 31 - 19ON
Sat 10/24 Miami vs Virginia-13.554.5W 19 - 14UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/6 Miami at NC State-10.057.5W 44 - 41ON
Sat 11/14 Miami at Virginia Tech+2.067.5W 25 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Miami at Duke-14.562.0W 48 - 0UY
Sat 12/12 Miami vs North Carolina-3.072.5L 26 - 62ON
Sat 12/19 Miami vs Georgia Tech-9.5
Tue 12/29 Miami vs Oklahoma State+2.558.5L 34 - 37ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Duke's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Duke at Notre Dame+22.551.5L 13 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Duke vs Boston College-3.549.5L 6 - 26UN
Sat 9/26 Duke at Virginia+3.544.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/3 Duke vs Virginia Tech+11.554.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 10/10 Duke at Syracuse-2.553.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 Duke at NC State+3.559.5L 20 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Duke vs Charlotte-10.5
Sat 11/7 Duke vs North Carolina+11.563.0L 24 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Duke at Georgia Tech-1.557.0L 33 - 56ON
Sat 12/5 Duke vs Miami+14.562.0L 0 - 48UN
Sat 12/12 Duke at Florida State+3.056.5L 35 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI.2442%3441%2.7516443%2774.27.243%2746%40%3.7972.21.11.5
DUKE.0639%24.839%2.3315740%2222.68.2843%38.145%40%4.5550.43.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI#2 (.4)52% (1)56% (1)3.59 (4)16550% (7)3324.96 (2)#69 (.16)38% (26)38% (16)38% (40)4.02 (91)63.111.4
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense113436.242.2%4.271.1234411642774.349%51%41%43%20%.24
DUKE Defense1138.137.442.8%4.551.8 - - - - - 53%47%45%40%16%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense112728.242.9%3.791.5 - - - - - 48%52%46%40%20%.2
DUKE Offense1124.822.839.1%2.683.5223791572223.947%53%39%40%20%.06

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1127:1122.740%68%7.872.21.11.58.52.8027.8
Duke1128:2921.539%48%5.650.43.51.86.12.8129.3
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1149%41%38.1163.64.318.142.7577%13%1.06
DUKE Defense1153%45% - - - - .263.1578%11%1.24
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1148%46% - - - - .182.7276%14%1.04
DUKE Offense1147%39%39.8156.73.919.032.3368%13%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1151%43%21.734.6277.3812.8266.351.734%34%.448%2.1
DUKE Defense1147%40% - - - - - - 9.31.832%35%.515%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1152%40% - - - - - - 7.211.533%29%.256%1.9
DUKE Offense1153%40%19.935.5221.96.311.21119.121.531%33%.287%1.9

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami's 2020 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.5  #21
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.7  #33
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.3  #30

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami:    Duke: -2.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 13.5   Duke: -9.8




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: -2.4 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2020 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8  #104
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7  #114
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Miami Scoring
Offense: 34 PPG
Offense on Road: 36.2
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.2

Miami's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 36
Duke 29

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Miami 36
Duke 32

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Miami 36
Duke 26

Total Points: 62
Duke Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.8
Defense: 38.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.4

Duke's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Miami53Duke31Miami -21Miami55.5Over
202210/22Miami21Duke45Miami -10Duke59.0Over
202111/27Duke10Miami47Miami -20.5Miami67.0Under
202012/05Duke0Miami48Miami -14.5Miami62.0Under
201911/30Duke27Miami17Miami -9.5Duke44.0Push
201811/03Miami12Duke20Miami -9.5Duke51.0Under
201709/29Duke6Miami31Miami -5.5Miami55.5Under
201611/26Miami40Duke21Miami -14Miami55.0Over
201510/31Duke27Miami30Duke -8Miami51.5Over
201409/27Miami22Duke10Miami -5.5Miami0
201311/16Duke48Miami30Miami -3Duke0
201211/24Duke45Miami52
201111/05Miami49Duke14
201010/16Duke13Miami28
200911/21Miami34Duke16
200810/18Duke31Miami49
200709/29Miami24Duke14
200610/21Duke15Miami20
200510/08Miami52Duke7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke444 Overs
Miami1574 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 105 - 63 - 32 - 3
Road Teams10 - 96 - 53 - 23 - 3

(#) MIAMI at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMIDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #104
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #16 #50
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Miami on Offense
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #33 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami Run Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Miami Pass Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffMIAMI Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #30
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'20 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 42°
Rematch from Week 14
Miami 14.5 (62.0)
Miami won at Duke this year (48-0)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Duke last year (53-31)
Duke beat Miami in 2022 (45-21)

  
MIAMI's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD