NC State at Pittsburgh - 2020 Matchup Preview
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at Pittsburgh PanthersPittsburgh logo
Saturday, October 3rd 2020 (12:00 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -14 (45.5)
NC State 30 - Pittsburgh: 29  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (8 - 4) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (30 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NCST 2nd straight Road Game
PITT 4th straight Home Game
PITT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ PITT -3)

Projected Score: NCST: 23 - PITT: 33 (56)
PITT Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
NCST Travel: 329 miles
Panthers (6 - 5) (5 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (30 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 NC State vs Wake Forest+2.054.0W 45 - 42OY
Sat 9/26 NC State at Virginia Tech+6.557.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 10/3 NC State at Pittsburgh+14.045.5W 30 - 29OY
Sat 10/10 NC State at Virginia+7.059.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 10/17 NC State vs Duke-3.559.5W 31 - 20UY
Sat 10/24 NC State at North Carolina+15.062.0L 21 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/6 NC State vs Miami+10.057.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 11/14 NC State vs Florida State-12.061.0W 38 - 22UY
Sat 11/21 NC State vs Liberty-4.066.5W 15 - 14UN
Sat 11/28 NC State at Syracuse-17.550.5W 36 - 29ON
Sat 12/5 NC State vs Georgia Tech-7.061.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 1/2 NC State vs Kentucky+3.050.5L 21 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Pittsburgh vs Austin Peay-30.548.5W 55 - 0OY
Sat 9/19 Pittsburgh vs Syracuse-21.546.5W 21 - 10UN
Sat 9/26 Pittsburgh vs Louisville-3.053.0W 23 - 20UN
Sat 10/3 Pittsburgh vs NC State-14.045.5L 29 - 30ON
Sat 10/10 Pittsburgh at Boston College-6.042.5L 30 - 31ON
Sat 10/17 Pittsburgh at Miami+12.547.5L 19 - 31OY
Sat 10/24 Pittsburgh vs Notre Dame+10.043.5L 3 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Pittsburgh at Florida State-2.052.5W 41 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/21 Pittsburgh vs Virginia Tech+6.552.5W 47 - 14OY
Sat 11/28 Pittsburgh at Clemson+23.558.5L 17 - 52ON
BYE WEEK
Thu 12/10 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech-7.555.5W 34 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.1642%30.343%2.6112342%2623.87.1641%29.240%41%3.8274.31.61
PITT.1441%2942%2.2912240%2603.41.1337%24.537%38%3.1668.51.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
PITT#91 (.15)42% (85)45% (56)3.1 (53)11939% (97)2564.11 (49)#35 (.12)38% (25)38% (20)38% (38)3.68 (57)58.21.31.2



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1230.329.842.5%3.871.6223851232623.450%50%43%42%17%.16
PITT Defense1124.519.837.3%3.161.7 - - - - - 44%56%37%38%23%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1229.234.440.7%3.821 - - - - - 49%50%40%41%18%.16
PITT Offense112929.740.6%3.411.5213821222603.544%55%42%40%20%.14

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1229:5722.344%67%8.174.31.617.62.8329.7
Pittsburgh1131:0820.536%50%7.868.51.51.7104.1229.9
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1250%43%36.2123.33.420.032.6171%11%0.84
PITT Defense1144%37% - - - - .012.2669%16%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1249%40% - - - - .072.7159%12%0.99
PITT Offense1144%42%35.3122.13.520.032.2969%13%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1250%42%20.933.3261.97.912.52415.31.831%36%.396%2.1
PITT Defense1156%38% - - - - - - 14.221.837%30%.337%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1250%41% - - - - - - 9.251.634%32%.47%2.1
PITT Offense1155%40%22.438.7259.76.711.61412.251.634%31%.297%1.9

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2020 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6  #54
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #62
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #52

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    Pittsburgh: 5.75

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 3.6   Pittsburgh: 6.5




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 5.75 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2020 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5  #41
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.2  #86
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.5  #27

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

NC State's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Pittsburgh 33
NC State 23


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Pittsburgh 35
NC State 19

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Pittsburgh 31
NC State 26

Total Points: 57
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

Pittsburgh's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 8 - 3
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Pittsburgh53NC State34Pittsburgh -5.5Pittsburgh52.5Over
202010/03Pittsburgh29NC State30Pittsburgh -14NC State45.5Over
201710/14Pittsburgh17NC State35NC State -11NC State55.0Under
200909/26NC State38Pittsburgh31
200112/20NC State19Pittsburgh34
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh212 Overs
NC State321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 31 - 21 - 10 - 1
Road Teams3 - 22 - 11 - 01 - 1

(#) NCST at (#) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTPITT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #54 #41
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #31 #36
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCat
NCST OffPITT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #27
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffPITT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffPITT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCatPITT OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #86 #52
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCatPITT OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 56°
Rematch from Week 5
Pittsburgh -14.0 (45.5)
NC State won at Pittsburgh this year (30-29)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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NCST's DC ()
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PITT's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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PITT's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD