Boston College at Duke - 2020 Matchup Preview
Boston College logo Boston College Eagles at Duke Blue DevilsDuke logo
Saturday, September 19th 2020 (12:00 PM EDT)
Duke -3.5 (49.5)
Boston College 26 - Duke: 6  (ACC)

 
Eagles (6 - 5) (6 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (23 - 27 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.5 MPH
Our Line: -2  (SP+ BC -9)
Projected Score: BC: 32 - DUKE: 25 (57)
DUKE Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BC Travel: 604 miles
Blue Devils (2 - 9) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 38 (23 - 37 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Boston College's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Boston College at Duke+3.549.5W 26 - 6UY
Sat 9/26 Boston College vs Texas State-21.557.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/3 Boston College vs North Carolina+14.552.5L 22 - 26UY
Sat 10/10 Boston College vs Pittsburgh+6.042.5W 31 - 30OY
Sat 10/17 Boston College at Virginia Tech+13.061.5L 14 - 40UN
Sat 10/24 Boston College vs Georgia Tech-3.557.0W 48 - 27OY
Sat 10/31 Boston College at Clemson+31.5
Sat 11/7 Boston College at Syracuse-15.053.5W 16 - 13UN
Sat 11/14 Boston College vs Notre Dame+13.051.5L 31 - 45ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Boston College vs Louisville-1.057.0W 34 - 27OY
Sat 12/5 Boston College at Virginia+6.553.0L 32 - 43ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Duke's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Duke at Notre Dame+22.551.5L 13 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Duke vs Boston College-3.549.5L 6 - 26UN
Sat 9/26 Duke at Virginia+3.544.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/3 Duke vs Virginia Tech+11.554.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 10/10 Duke at Syracuse-2.553.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 Duke at NC State+3.559.5L 20 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Duke vs Charlotte-10.5
Sat 11/7 Duke vs North Carolina+11.563.0L 24 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Duke at Georgia Tech-1.557.0L 33 - 56ON
Sat 12/5 Duke vs Miami+14.562.0L 0 - 48UN
Sat 12/12 Duke at Florida State+3.056.5L 35 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC.244%27.842%2.5110246%2843.67.2247%28.449%45%3.4167.31.31.9
DUKE.0639%24.839%2.3315740%2222.68.2843%38.145%40%4.5550.43.51.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8
DUKE#109 (.12)39% (116)35% (129)2.47 (131)8942% (69)2263.7 (90)#10 (.06)38% (16)41% (51)34% (5)3.19 (17)48.91.42



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Offense1127.823.244.1%3.671.3223861022843.145%55%42%46%16%.2
DUKE Defense1138.137.442.8%4.551.8 - - - - - 53%47%45%40%16%.28
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BC Defense1128.427.247%3.411.9 - - - - - 49%50%49%45%15%.22
DUKE Offense1124.822.839.1%2.683.5223791572223.947%53%39%40%20%.06

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Boston College1130:2821.744%64%7.767.31.31.94.72.2029
Duke1128:2921.539%48%5.650.43.51.86.12.8129.3
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Offense1145%42%32.8101.73.111-.032.5180%10%0.73
DUKE Defense1153%45% - - - - .263.1578%11%1.24
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BC Defense1149%49% - - - - .133.0871%9%1
DUKE Offense1147%39%39.8156.73.919.032.3368%13%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Offense1155%46%2235.5284.2812.9238.391.731%35%.456%2.1
DUKE Defense1147%40% - - - - - - 9.31.832%35%.515%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BC Defense1150%45% - - - - - - 9.341.528%36%.356%1.9
DUKE Offense1153%40%19.935.5221.96.311.21119.121.531%33%.287%1.9

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: NR
Boston College's Offense Rating: NR
Boston College's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #57
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Boston College's 2020 Expected Record: -
Boston College's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0  #79
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.1  #48
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.4  #98

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College:    Duke: -2.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: -1.0   Duke: -9.8




Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: -2.4 NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Duke's 2020 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8  #104
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7  #114
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Boston College Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 28.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.2

Boston College's 2020 Record
Record: 6 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Boston College 32
Duke 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Boston College 32
Duke 24

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Boston College 32
Duke 26

Total Points: 58
Duke Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.8
Defense: 38.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 37.4

Duke's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/04Boston College31Duke38Duke -11.5Boston College47.0Over
202009/19Duke6Boston College26Duke -3.5Boston College49.5Under
201510/03Duke9Boston College7Duke -7Boston College37.0Under
201109/17Boston College19Duke20
201011/13Duke16Boston College21
200611/11Boston College28Duke7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Duke301 Overs
Boston College332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 41 - 20 - 21 - 0
Road Teams4 - 22 - 10 - 12 - 0

(#) BC at (#) DUKE
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBCDUKE
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #79 #104
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #57 #50
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Boston College on Offense
CategoryCat
BC OffDUKE Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Boston College Run Game
CategoryCat
BC OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Boston College Pass Game
CategoryCat
BC OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCatDUKE OffBC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #98
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffBC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCatDUKE OffBC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'20 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Wallace Wade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 60° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Duke -3.5 (49.5)
Boston College won at Duke this year (26-6)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Boston College in 2022 (38-31)

  
BC's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BC's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD