Duke at Notre Dame - 2020 Matchup Preview
Duke logo   Duke Blue Devils at Notre Dame Fighting Irish  Notre Dame logo
Saturday, September 12th 2020 (2:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -22.5 (51.5)
Notre Dame 27 - Duke: 13  (FBS Independents)

 
Blue Devils (2 - 9) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (37 - 28 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -15.5  (SP+ ND -26)
Projected Score: DUKE: 27 - ND: 36 (63)
ND Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
DUKE Travel: 556 miles
Fighting Irish (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Duke at Notre Dame+22.551.5L 13 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Duke vs Boston College-3.549.5L 6 - 26UN
Sat 9/26 Duke at Virginia+3.544.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/3 Duke vs Virginia Tech+11.554.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 10/10 Duke at Syracuse-2.553.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 Duke at NC State+3.559.5L 20 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Duke vs Charlotte-10.5
Sat 11/7 Duke vs North Carolina+11.563.0L 24 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Duke at Georgia Tech-1.557.0L 33 - 56ON
Sat 12/5 Duke vs Miami+14.562.0L 0 - 48UN
Sat 12/12 Duke at Florida State+3.056.5L 35 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Notre Dame vs Duke-22.551.5W 27 - 13UN
Sat 9/19 Notre Dame vs South Florida-23.549.5W 52 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10 Notre Dame vs Florida State-21.054.0W 42 - 26ON
Sat 10/17 Notre Dame vs Louisville-16.062.5W 12 - 7UN
Sat 10/24 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-10.043.5W 45 - 3OY
Sat 10/31 Notre Dame at Georgia Tech-19.5
Sat 11/7 Notre Dame vs Clemson+5.050.0W 47 - 40OY
Sat 11/14 Notre Dame at Boston College-13.051.5W 45 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/27 Notre Dame at North Carolina-4.569.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 12/5 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-34.551.0W 45 - 21ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/19 Notre Dame vs Clemson+11.058.0L 10 - 34UN
Fri 1/1 Notre Dame vs Alabama+20.066.0L 14 - 31UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.0638%34.639%2.7315035%1793.96.1539%29.440%35%3.6145.32.42
ND.2445%4244%2.617844%2524.08.0540%17.641%36%3.1251.20.82.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1234.63738.3%3.962.4193301501793.649%49%39%35%21%.06
ND Defense1317.61839.9%3.122.8 - - - - - 51%47%41%36%26%.05
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1229.427.539%3.612 - - - - - 52%46%40%35%20%.15
ND Offense134244.744.9%4.080.8214301782524.948%50%44%44%19%.24

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1229:0118.733%61%5.345.32.427.22.9331.1
Notre Dame1328:2920.940%68%6.551.20.82.810.73.6131
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1249%39%41.3150.33.616.042.7365%12%0.91
ND Defense1351%41% - - - - .062.7765%19%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1252%40% - - - - .132.7168%12%1.06
ND Offense1348%44%36.3177.84.920.142.662%12%1.09

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1249%35%17.831.5179.35.710.11814.081.536%29%.179%1.7
ND Defense1347%36% - - - - - - 9.061.334%28%.227%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1246%35% - - - - - - 9.181.835%32%.218%1.7
ND Offense1350%44%19.532252.27.913376.341.633%40%.467%1.7

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2020 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8  #104
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7  #114
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Notre Dame: 10.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -9.8   Notre Dame: 15.7




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 10.35 NR
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: NR
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Notre Dame's 2020 Expected Record: -
Notre Dame's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.7  #16
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 36.3  #18
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.1  #19

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Duke's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 36
Duke 27

Projected Total Points: 63
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2020 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Duke14Notre Dame21Notre Dame -5.5Notre Dame52.5Under
202009/12Notre Dame27Duke13Notre Dame -22.5Duke51.5Under
201911/09Duke7Notre Dame38Notre Dame -7Notre Dame50.5Under
201609/24Notre Dame35Duke38Notre Dame -20Duke60.5Over
200711/17Notre Dame28Duke7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame421 Overs
Duke123 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 30 - 40 - 20 - 2
Road Teams3 - 24 - 02 - 02 - 0

(#) DUKE at (#) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEND
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #16
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #50 #9
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffND Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #19
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffND Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffND Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Notre Dame on Offense
CategoryCatND OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #18 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Notre Dame Run Game
CategoryCat
ND OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Notre Dame Pass Game
CategoryCatND OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'20 Profile: Remains CFP Hopefuls

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 2
Notre Dame -22.5 (51.5)
Notre Dame won vs Duke this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Duke in 2023 (21-14)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
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ND's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ND's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD