Liberty at NC State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Liberty logo Liberty Flames at NC State WolfpackNC State logo
Saturday, November 21st 2020 (7:30 PM EST)
NC State -4.0 (66.5)
NC State 15 - Liberty: 14

 
Flames (10 - 1) (9 - 2 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 38 - 21 (30 - 24 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NCST 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ LIB -2)
Projected Score: LIB: 34 - NCST: 29 (63)
NCST Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
LIB Travel: 110 miles
Wolfpack (8 - 4) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (32 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Liberty's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 Liberty at Western Kentucky+15.552.0W 30 - 24OY
Sat 9/26 Liberty vs Florida International-10.061.0W 36 - 34ON
Sat 10/3 Liberty vs North Alabama-33.065.0W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/10 Liberty vs UL Monroe-17.063.5W 40 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Liberty at Syracuse-3.055.0W 38 - 21OY
Sat 10/24 Liberty vs Southern Miss-14.059.5W 56 - 35OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Liberty at Virginia Tech+16.567.5W 38 - 35OY
Sat 11/14 Liberty vs Western Carolina-39.063.0W 58 - 14OY
Sat 11/21 Liberty at NC State+4.066.5L 14 - 15UY
Fri 11/27 Liberty vs Massachusetts-35.057.5W 45 - 0UY
Sat 12/26 Liberty vs Coastal Carolina+6.560.0W 37 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Liberty's Schedule
NC State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 NC State vs Wake Forest+2.054.0W 45 - 42OY
Sat 9/26 NC State at Virginia Tech+6.557.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 10/3 NC State at Pittsburgh+14.045.5W 30 - 29OY
Sat 10/10 NC State at Virginia+7.059.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 10/17 NC State vs Duke-3.559.5W 31 - 20UY
Sat 10/24 NC State at North Carolina+15.062.0L 21 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/6 NC State vs Miami+10.057.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 11/14 NC State vs Florida State-12.061.0W 38 - 22UY
Sat 11/21 NC State vs Liberty-4.066.5W 15 - 14UN
Sat 11/28 NC State at Syracuse-17.550.5W 36 - 29ON
Sat 12/5 NC State vs Georgia Tech-7.061.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 1/2 NC State vs Kentucky+3.050.5L 21 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB.3250%38.253%3.2725347%2303.73.1742%20.546%37%2.9855.41.51.5
NCST.1642%30.343%2.6112342%2623.87.1641%29.240%41%3.8274.31.61
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LIB#24 (.26)50% (7)54% (2)3.56 (7)23843% (60)1614.21 (43)#24 (.1)39% (39)39% (30)40% (66)3.68 (58)64.41.31.3
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Offense1138.23050.4%3.731.5254822532305.858%42%53%47%16%.32
NCST Defense1229.225.840.7%3.821 - - - - - 49%50%40%41%18%.16
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LIB Defense1120.523.841.6%2.981.5 - - - - - 50%50%46%37%17%.17
NCST Offense1230.332.242.5%3.871.6223851232623.450%50%43%42%17%.16

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Liberty1132:1824.848%76%5.955.41.51.55.42.4130.8
NC State1229:5722.344%67%8.174.31.617.62.8329.7
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Offense1158%53%43.8252.65.827.283.2775%11%1.04
NCST Defense1249%40% - - - - .072.7159%12%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LIB Defense1150%46% - - - - .153.1970%11%0.96
NCST Offense1250%43%36.2123.33.420.032.6171%11%0.84

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Offense1142%47%17.527.8229.68.313.2257.381.627%38%.565%2.2
NCST Defense1250%41% - - - - - - 9.251.634%32%.47%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LIB Defense1150%37% - - - - - - 11.21.634%29%.266%1.8
NCST Offense1250%42%20.933.3261.97.912.52415.31.831%36%.396%2.1

Liberty's Power Ratings
Liberty's Power Rating: NR
Liberty's Offense Rating: NR
Liberty's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #127
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Liberty's 2020 Expected Record: -
Liberty's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.6  #44
Liberty's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.6  #34
Liberty's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.2  #62

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Liberty:    NC State: 4.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Liberty: 5.6   NC State: 3.6




NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: 4.3 NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
NC State's 2020 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6  #54
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #62
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #52

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Liberty Scoring
Offense: 38.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.8

Liberty's 2020 Record
Record: 10 - 1
Record vs Spread: 9 - 2 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 4
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Liberty 34
NC State 29

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Liberty 37
NC State 31

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Liberty 31
NC State 27

Total Points: 58
NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.8

NC State's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202011/21NC State15Liberty14NC State -4.0Liberty66.5Under
201109/03NC State43Liberty21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
NC State200 Overs
Liberty011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) LIB at (#) NCST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLIBNCST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #44 #54
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #127 #31
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Liberty on Offense
CategoryCat
LIB OffNCST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #34 #52
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Liberty Run Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Liberty Pass Game
CategoryCat
LIB OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCatNCST OffLIB Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #62
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffLIB Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCatNCST OffLIB Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

LIB 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carter-Finley Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 53°
Rematch from Week 12
NC State -4.0 (66.5)
NC State won vs Liberty this year (15-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
LIB's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LIB's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
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NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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NCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD