Duke at Florida State - 2020 Matchup Preview
Duke logo   Duke Blue Devils at Florida State Seminoles  Florida State logo
Saturday, December 12th 2020 (4:00 PM EST)
Florida State -3 (56.5)
Florida State 56 - Duke: 35  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (2 - 9) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (37 - 28 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -6  (SP+ FSU -7)
Projected Score: DUKE: 27 - FSU: 33 (60)
FSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
DUKE Travel: 493 miles
Seminoles (3 - 6) (3 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (43 - 16 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Duke at Notre Dame+22.551.5L 13 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Duke vs Boston College-3.549.5L 6 - 26UN
Sat 9/26 Duke at Virginia+3.544.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/3 Duke vs Virginia Tech+11.554.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 10/10 Duke at Syracuse-2.553.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 Duke at NC State+3.559.5L 20 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Duke vs Charlotte-10.5
Sat 11/7 Duke vs North Carolina+11.563.0L 24 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Duke at Georgia Tech-1.557.0L 33 - 56ON
Sat 12/5 Duke vs Miami+14.562.0L 0 - 48UN
Sat 12/12 Duke at Florida State+3.056.5L 35 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Florida State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Florida State vs Georgia Tech-13.549.0L 13 - 16UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Florida State at Miami+12.554.0L 10 - 52ON
Sat 10/3 Florida State vs Jacksonville State-27.052.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 10/10 Florida State at Notre Dame+21.054.0L 26 - 42OY
Sat 10/17 Florida State vs North Carolina+13.565.0W 31 - 28UY
Sat 10/24 Florida State at Louisville+5.063.0L 16 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Florida State vs Pittsburgh+2.052.5L 17 - 41ON
Sat 11/14 Florida State at NC State+12.061.0L 22 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/12 Florida State vs Duke-3.056.5W 56 - 35OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.0638%34.639%2.7315035%1793.96.1539%29.440%35%3.6145.32.42
FSU.1941%3340%2.6214141%2683.7.1344%2244%42%3.373.31.61.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1234.63738.3%3.962.4193301501793.649%49%39%35%21%.06
FSU Defense132216.144.4%3.31.9 - - - - - 46%51%44%42%18%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1229.427.539%3.612 - - - - - 52%46%40%35%20%.15
FSU Offense133343.341.2%3.71.6204081412683.848%52%40%41%23%.19

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1229:0118.733%61%5.345.32.427.22.9331.1
Florida State1326:1520.435%58%9.273.31.61.96.53.2127.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1249%39%41.3150.33.616.042.7365%12%0.91
FSU Defense1346%44% - - - - .032.8764%10%0.75
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1252%40% - - - - .132.7168%12%1.06
FSU Offense1348%40%36.7140.73.824.072.6260%15%1.1

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1249%35%17.831.5179.35.710.11814.081.536%29%.179%1.7
FSU Defense1351%42% - - - - - - 8.251.533%36%.328%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1246%35% - - - - - - 9.181.835%32%.218%1.7
FSU Offense1352%41%21.533.2267.68.112.52413.291.734%30%.348%2

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2020 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8  #104
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7  #114
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Florida State: 1.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -9.8   Florida State: -2.9




Florida State's Power Ratings
Florida State's Power Rating: 1.05 NR
Florida State's Offense Rating: NR
Florida State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #15
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida State's 2020 Expected Record: -
Florida State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.9  #84
Florida State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.7  #69
Florida State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #85

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Duke's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Florida State 33
Duke 27

Projected Total Points: 60
Florida State Scoring
Offense: 33 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.3
Defense: 22 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.1

Florida State's 2020 Record
Record: 3 - 6
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 3
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/18Duke23Florida State16Duke -2.5Duke43.0Under
202310/21Florida State38Duke20Florida State -14.0Florida State49.0Over
202012/12Florida State56Duke35Florida State -3Florida State56.5Over
201710/14Duke10Florida State17Florida State -7NA45.5Under
201312/07Florida State45Duke7Florida State -27.5Florida State0
201210/27Florida State48Duke7
201110/15Duke16Florida State41
200710/27Florida State25Duke6
200610/14Duke24Florida State51
200510/22Duke24Florida State55
200411/06Florida State29Duke7
200309/27Duke7Florida State56
200209/21Florida State48Duke17
200109/01Duke13Florida State55
200010/13Florida State63Duke14
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida State1432 Overs
Duke112 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 64 - 04 - 00 - 0
Road Teams6 - 90 - 40 - 00 - 4

(#) DUKE at (#) FSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEFSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #84
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #50 #15
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffFSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #85
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffFSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffFSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida State on Offense
CategoryCatFSU OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #69 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida State Run Game
CategoryCat
FSU OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida State Pass Game
CategoryCatFSU OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Down to Average G5

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Field at Doak Campbell Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 15
Florida State -3.0 (56.5)
Florida State won vs Duke this year (56-35)

Previous Matchups
Duke beat Florida State in 2024 (23-16)
Florida State beat Duke in 2023 (38-20)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD