Duke at Virginia - 2020 Matchup Preview
Duke logo   Duke Blue Devils at Virginia Cavaliers  Virginia logo
Saturday, September 26th 2020 (4:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -3.5 (44.5)
Virginia 38 - Duke: 20  (ACC)

 
Blue Devils (2 - 9) (4 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 29 (37 - 28 on Road)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -9  (SP+ UVA -13)
Projected Score: DUKE: 27 - UVA: 31 (58)
UVA Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
DUKE Travel: 143 miles
Cavaliers (5 - 5) (7 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
'20 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Duke's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/12 Duke at Notre Dame+22.551.5L 13 - 27UY
Sat 9/19 Duke vs Boston College-3.549.5L 6 - 26UN
Sat 9/26 Duke at Virginia+3.544.5L 20 - 38ON
Sat 10/3 Duke vs Virginia Tech+11.554.5L 31 - 38OY
Sat 10/10 Duke at Syracuse-2.553.5W 38 - 24OY
Sat 10/17 Duke at NC State+3.559.5L 20 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/31 Duke vs Charlotte-10.5
Sat 11/7 Duke vs North Carolina+11.563.0L 24 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/28 Duke at Georgia Tech-1.557.0L 33 - 56ON
Sat 12/5 Duke vs Miami+14.562.0L 0 - 48UN
Sat 12/12 Duke at Florida State+3.056.5L 35 - 56ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Duke's Schedule
Virginia's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Virginia vs Duke-3.544.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 10/3 Virginia at Clemson+28.055.0L 23 - 41OY
Sat 10/10 Virginia vs NC State-7.059.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 10/17 Virginia at Wake Forest+2.557.5L 23 - 40ON
Sat 10/24 Virginia at Miami+13.554.5L 14 - 19UY
Sat 10/31 Virginia vs North Carolina+7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Virginia vs Louisville-5.564.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/21 Virginia vs Abilene Christian-38.561.5W 55 - 15OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Virginia vs Boston College-6.553.0W 43 - 32OY
Sat 12/12 Virginia at Virginia Tech+3.064.0L 15 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE.0638%34.639%2.7315035%1793.96.1539%29.440%35%3.6145.32.42
UVA.1646%30.844%2.9512145%2683.93.1941%19.643%37%3.5843.71.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
DUKE0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UVA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Offense1234.63738.3%3.962.4193301501793.649%49%39%35%21%.06
UVA Defense1419.617.741%3.581.6 - - - - - 50%49%43%37%22%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
DUKE Defense1229.427.539%3.612 - - - - - 52%46%40%35%20%.15
UVA Offense1430.836.445.5%3.931.5213891212683.840%58%44%45%21%.16

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Duke1229:0118.733%61%5.345.32.427.22.9331.1
Virginia1433:0321.145%56%4.743.71.51.68.34.3434.3
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Offense1249%39%41.3150.33.616.042.7365%12%0.91
UVA Defense1450%43% - - - - .22.9477%14%1.08
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
DUKE Defense1252%40% - - - - .132.7168%12%1.06
UVA Offense1440%44%31.6121.23.828.122.9569%12%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Offense1249%35%17.831.5179.35.710.11814.081.536%29%.179%1.7
UVA Defense1449%37% - - - - - - 12.181.736%33%.359%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
DUKE Defense1246%35% - - - - - - 9.181.835%32%.218%1.7
UVA Offense1458%45%24.137.1267.77.211.12315.191.432%32%.29%1.7

Duke's Power Ratings
Duke's Power Rating: NR
Duke's Offense Rating: NR
Duke's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #50
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Duke's 2020 Expected Record: -
Duke's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.8  #104
Duke's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.7  #114
Duke's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #83

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Duke:    Virginia: 4.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Duke: -9.8   Virginia: 3.3




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 4.15 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2020 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3  #55
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #54
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Duke Scoring
Offense: 34.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

Duke's 2020 Record
Record: 2 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 5
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 31
Duke 27

Projected Total Points: 58
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.4
Defense: 19.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Virginia's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202512/06Virginia20Duke27Virginia -3.5Duke58.5Under
202511/15Duke17Virginia34Duke -5.5Virginia59.5Under
202311/18Virginia30Duke27Duke -4Virginia48.5Over
202210/01Duke38Virginia17Duke -2Duke55.0Push
202110/16Virginia48Duke0Virginia -10.5Virginia69.5Under
202009/26Virginia38Duke20Virginia -3.5Virginia44.5Over
201910/19Virginia48Duke14Virginia -3.5Virginia45.0Over
201810/20Duke14Virginia28Duke -6.5Virginia45.5Under
201710/07Virginia28Duke21Duke -1.5Virginia53.0Under
201610/01Duke20Virginia34Duke -5Virginia60.5Under
201511/21Virginia42Duke34Virginia -2.5Virginia53.5Over
201410/18Duke20Virginia13Duke -5Duke0
201310/19Virginia22Duke35Virginia -4Duke0
201210/06Duke42Virginia17
201111/12Virginia31Duke21
201011/06Duke55Virginia48
200910/31Virginia17Duke28
200809/27Duke31Virginia3
200709/08Virginia24Duke13
200609/30Duke0Virginia37
200509/24Virginia38Duke7
200410/23Duke16Virginia37
200308/30Virginia27Duke0
200210/05Duke22Virginia27
200109/29Virginia31Duke10
200009/15Duke10Virginia26
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia1894 Overs
Duke846 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams16 - 108 - 56 - 52 - 0
Road Teams10 - 165 - 80 - 25 - 6

(#) DUKE at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatDUKEUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #104 #55
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #50 #63
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Duke on Offense
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Duke Run Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Duke Pass Game
CategoryCat
DUKE OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffDUKE Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #54 #83
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffDUKE Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffDUKE Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

DUKE 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'20 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 4
Virginia -3.5 (44.5)
Virginia won vs Duke this year (38-20)

Previous Matchups
Virginia beat Duke last year (34-17)
Virginia beat Duke in 2023 (30-27)

  
DUKE's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Duke's Full Roster

DUKE's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD