NC State at Virginia - 2020 Matchup Preview
NC State logo NC State Wolfpack at Virginia Cavaliers(#24)Virginia logo
Saturday, October 10th 2020 (12:00 PM EDT)
Virginia -7 (59.0)
NC State 38 - Virginia: 21  (ACC)

 
Wolfpack (8 - 4) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 30 - 29 (30 - 34 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Light Rain Predicted
NCST 3rd straight Road Game
NCST is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ NCST -0.5)
Projected Score: NCST: 30 - UVA: 34 (64)
UVA Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
NCST Travel: 155 miles
Cavaliers (5 - 5) (7 - 3 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (39 - 27 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
NC State's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19 NC State vs Wake Forest+2.054.0W 45 - 42OY
Sat 9/26 NC State at Virginia Tech+6.557.5L 24 - 45ON
Sat 10/3 NC State at Pittsburgh+14.045.5W 30 - 29OY
Sat 10/10 NC State at Virginia+7.059.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 10/17 NC State vs Duke-3.559.5W 31 - 20UY
Sat 10/24 NC State at North Carolina+15.062.0L 21 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/6 NC State vs Miami+10.057.5L 41 - 44OY
Sat 11/14 NC State vs Florida State-12.061.0W 38 - 22UY
Sat 11/21 NC State vs Liberty-4.066.5W 15 - 14UN
Sat 11/28 NC State at Syracuse-17.550.5W 36 - 29ON
Sat 12/5 NC State vs Georgia Tech-7.061.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 1/2 NC State vs Kentucky+3.050.5L 21 - 23UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for NC State's Schedule
Virginia's 2020 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Virginia vs Duke-3.544.5W 38 - 20OY
Sat 10/3 Virginia at Clemson+28.055.0L 23 - 41OY
Sat 10/10 Virginia vs NC State-7.059.0L 21 - 38UN
Sat 10/17 Virginia at Wake Forest+2.557.5L 23 - 40ON
Sat 10/24 Virginia at Miami+13.554.5L 14 - 19UY
Sat 10/31 Virginia vs North Carolina+7.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14 Virginia vs Louisville-5.564.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/21 Virginia vs Abilene Christian-38.561.5W 55 - 15OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/5 Virginia vs Boston College-6.553.0W 43 - 32OY
Sat 12/12 Virginia at Virginia Tech+3.064.0L 15 - 33UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Virginia's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST.1642%30.343%2.6112342%2623.87.1641%29.240%41%3.8274.31.61
UVA.1944%30.748%3.4216340%2614.05.241%29.637%44%3.0448.31.91.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
NCST#26 (.25)45% (36)44% (68)3.24 (36)13047% (20)2153.97 (61)#86 (.19)41% (59)39% (31)43% (87)3.78 (67)451.71.4
UVA#102 (.13)40% (103)43% (77)3.29 (25)13337% (113)2293.47 (106)#116 (.27)43% (80)44% (77)42% (77)4.04 (94)45.31.61.3



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Offense1230.329.842.5%3.871.6223851232623.450%50%43%42%17%.16
UVA Defense1029.627.240.6%3.041.8 - - - - - 50%50%37%44%18%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
NCST Defense1229.234.440.7%3.821 - - - - - 49%50%40%41%18%.16
UVA Offense1030.738.744%4.051.9244231632614.546%54%48%40%14%.19

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
NC State1229:5722.344%67%8.174.31.617.62.8329.7
Virginia1031:0423.637%64%5.348.31.91.87.23.2229.2
Run Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Offense1250%43%36.2123.33.420.032.6171%11%0.84
UVA Defense1050%37% - - - - .042.676%12%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
NCST Defense1249%40% - - - - .072.7159%12%0.99
UVA Offense1046%48%36.6162.94.516.23.4277%7%0.93

Pass Game Stats (2020)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Offense1250%42%20.933.3261.97.912.52415.31.831%36%.396%2.1
UVA Defense1050%44% - - - - - - 11.351.934%32%.356%2.3
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
NCST Defense1250%41% - - - - - - 9.251.634%32%.47%2.1
UVA Offense1054%40%22.137.9260.56.911.82214.171.629%31%.338%1.9

NC State's Power Ratings
NC State's Power Rating: NR
NC State's Offense Rating: NR
NC State's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
NC State's 2020 Expected Record: -
NC State's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.6  #54
NC State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #62
NC State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3  #52

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
NC State:    Virginia: 4.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
NC State: 3.6   Virginia: 3.3




Virginia's Power Ratings
Virginia's Power Rating: 4.15 NR
Virginia's Offense Rating: NR
Virginia's Defense Rating: NR
2020 Talent Rating:  #63
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Virginia's 2020 Expected Record: -
Virginia's 2020 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.3  #55
Virginia's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #54
Virginia's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.9  #58

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


NC State Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

NC State's 2020 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Virginia 34
NC State 30

Total Points: 64

Based on Last 4 Games
Virginia 35
NC State 30

Total Points: 65

Based on Entire Season
Virginia 33
NC State 29

Total Points: 62
Virginia Scoring
Offense: 30.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.7
Defense: 29.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Virginia's 2020 Record
Record: 5 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 5
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06NC State35Virginia31NC State -3.0NC State53.0Over
202309/22Virginia21NC State24NC State -8.5Virginia47.5Under
202010/10Virginia21NC State38Virginia -7NC State59.0Push
201809/29NC State35Virginia21NC State -5.5NC State52.5Over
201211/03NC State6Virginia33
201110/22Virginia14NC State28
200710/27NC State29Virginia24
200610/28Virginia14NC State7
200311/01NC State51Virginia37
200211/16Virginia14NC State9
200110/27NC State24Virginia0
200011/17Virginia24NC State17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Virginia412 Overs
NC State831 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 43 - 12 - 11 - 0
Road Teams4 - 81 - 30 - 11 - 2

(#) NCST at (#) UVA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNCSTUVA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #54 #55
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #31 #63
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
NC State on Offense
CategoryCat
NCST OffUVA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #62 #58
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
NC State Run Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUVA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
NC State Pass Game
CategoryCat
NCST OffUVA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Virginia on Offense
CategoryCatUVA OffNCST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #54 #52
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Virginia Run Game
CategoryCat
UVA OffNCST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Virginia Pass Game
CategoryCatUVA OffNCST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UVA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

NCST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'20 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scott Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 63° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.012
Rematch from Week 6
Virginia -7.0 (59.0)
NC State won at Virginia this year (38-21)

Previous Matchups
NC State beat Virginia in 2023 (24-21)

  
NCST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View NC State's Full Roster

NCST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UVA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Virginia's Full Roster

UVA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD