Missouri at Florida - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 15th 2016 (4:00 PM EDT)
Florida -13 (51.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida 40 - Missouri: 14 (SEC)

Tigers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 32 (18 - 40 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MIZ coming off BYE
FLA coming off BYE
Our Line: -10.5 (SP+ FLA -16)
Projected Score: MIZ: 17 - FLA: 33 (50)
FLA Win prob: 80% | Cover: 46%
MIZ Travel: 857 miles, 1 hrs behind

Gators (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 17 (32 - 7 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MIZ Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Missouri's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Missouri at West Virginia	+11.5	51.5	L 11 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/10	Missouri vs Eastern Michigan	-24.5	58.5	W 61 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Missouri vs Georgia	+6.0	53.5	L 27 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Missouri vs Delaware State	-50.5
Sat 10/1	Missouri at LSU	+14.0	51.0	L 7 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Missouri at Florida	+13.0	51.0	L 14 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/22	Missouri vs Middle Tennessee	-4.0	72.0	L 45 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/29	Missouri vs Kentucky	-4.5	69.0	L 21 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/5	Missouri at South Carolina	+5.0	56.5	L 21 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	Missouri vs Vanderbilt	-1.0	53.0	W 26 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Missouri at Tennessee	+14.5	69.5	L 37 - 63	O	N
Fri 11/25	Missouri vs Arkansas	+7.5	72.0	W 28 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Missouri's Schedule

Florida's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Florida vs Massachusetts	-37.0	51.5	W 24 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/10	Florida vs Kentucky	-16.5	48.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Florida vs North Texas	-35.0	52.5	W 32 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/24	Florida at Tennessee	+8.0	42.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/1	Florida at Vanderbilt	-8.5	40.5	W 13 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Florida vs Missouri	-13.0	51.0	W 40 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida vs Georgia	-7.5	43.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida at Arkansas	-3.5	44.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	Florida vs South Carolina	-16.0	38.5	W 20 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/19	Florida at LSU	+10.5	38.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Florida at Florida State	+5.0	47.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/3	Florida vs Alabama	+21.5	40.5	L 16 - 54	O	N
Mon 1/2	Florida vs Iowa	-2.0	41.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	.18	44%	31.4	47%	2.97	205	41%	295	3.43	.2	45%	31.5	48%	41%	3.35	54.8	1.9	1.7
FLA	.07	42%	23.9	44%	2.83	128	38%	216	2.81	-.07	36%	16.8	39%	31%	2.47	58.3	1.7	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MIZ	#70 (.19)	44% (54)		47% (28)	3.04 (67)	159	41% (80)	202	3.91 (68)	#32 (.11)	41% (54)		42% (57)	39% (56)	3.38 (28)	46	0.7	1.2
FLA	#72 (.18)	43% (64)		45% (54)	3.04 (66)	164	41% (82)	226	4.17 (46)	#53 (.14)	44% (95)		49% (118)	39% (44)	3.12 (14)	54	1.4	1.9

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Offense	12	31.4	18	44.4%	3.43	1.9	24	501	205	295	4.9	51%	49%	47%	41%	12%	.18
FLA Defense	13	16.8	7	35.9%	2.47	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	39%	31%	19%	-.07

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MIZ Defense	12	31.5	40.4	45.3%	3.35	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	48%	41%	15%	.2
FLA Offense	13	23.9	32.2	42.1%	2.81	1.7	18	344	128	216	3.7	46%	51%	44%	38%	17%	.07

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Missouri	12	23:27	24.3	43%	54%	6.7	54.8	1.9	1.7	6	2.3	3	26.2
Florida	13	31:13	18.1	42%	47%	6.8	58.3	1.7	1.9	6.2	2.4	5	30.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Offense	12	51%	47%	41.7	205.1	4.9	24	.13	2.97	76%	7%	0.95
FLA Defense	13	54%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.75	63%	12%	0.84

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MIZ Defense	12	53%	48%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.21	71%	8%	0.96
FLA Offense	13	46%	44%	34.8	128.2	3.7	11		2.83	75%	10%	0.75

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Offense	12	49%	41%	20.8	37.3	295.4	7.9	14.2	25	10	.23	1.7	32%	30%	.17	6%	1.8
FLA Defense	13	44%	31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	-.1	1.8	36%	29%	.09	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MIZ Defense	12	46%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.22	1.6	30%	36%	.37	7%	1.9
FLA Offense	13	51%	38%	18.5	31.5	215.8	6.8	11.6	18	15	.14	1.6	35%	36%	.28	7%	1.5

Missouri's Power Ratings
Missouri's Power Rating: NR
Missouri's Offense Rating: NR
Missouri's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Missouri's 2016 Expected Record: -
Missouri's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.0 #70
Missouri's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2 #53
Missouri's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #85

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri: Florida: 10.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri: -1.0 Florida: 15.4

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 10.2 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #84
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Missouri Scoring
Offense: 31.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 31.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 40.4

Missouri's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Florida 33
Missouri 17

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida 33
Missouri 17

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Florida 32
Missouri 18

Total Points: 50

Florida Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 16.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/18	Missouri	33	Florida	31	Missouri -12.5	Florida	56.5	Over
2022	10/08	Florida	24	Missouri	17	Florida -11	Missouri	53.5	Under
2021	11/20	Missouri	24	Florida	23	Florida -9.5	Missouri	69.0	Under
2020	10/31	Florida	41	Missouri	17	Florida -13.5	Florida	64.0	Under
2019	11/16	Missouri	6	Florida	23	Florida -7.0	Florida	51.0	Under
2018	11/03	Florida	17	Missouri	38	Florida -6	Missouri	59.5	Under
2017	11/04	Missouri	45	Florida	16	Missouri -1.5	Missouri	61.5	Under
2016	10/15	Florida	40	Missouri	14	Florida -13	Florida	51.0	Over
2015	10/10	Missouri	3	Florida	21	Florida -3.5	Florida	38.5	Under
2014	10/18	Florida	13	Missouri	42	Florida -3	Missouri	0
2013	10/19	Missouri	36	Florida	17	Florida -1.5	Missouri	0
2012	11/03	Florida	14	Missouri	7

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	6	5	2 Overs
Missouri	6	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 4	5 - 6	3 - 4	2 - 2
Road Teams	4 - 8	6 - 5	2 - 2	4 - 3

(#) MIZ at (#) FLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MIZ	FLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#70	#20
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#38	#16
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Missouri Injury Report

Florida Injury Report

Missouri on Offense


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	FLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#53	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Missouri Run Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Missouri Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIZ Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	MIZ Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#85
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	MIZ Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	MIZ Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

MIZ 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 76° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.012

Rematch from Week 7
Florida -13.0 (51.0)
Florida won vs Missouri this year (40-14)

Previous Matchups
Missouri beat Florida in 2023 (33-31)
Florida beat Missouri in 2022 (24-17)

MIZ's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Missouri's Full Roster

MIZ's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FLA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD