Florida at LSU - 2016 Matchup Preview
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Florida Gators at LSU Tigers

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Saturday, November 19th 2016 (1:00 PM EST)
LSU -10.5 (38.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida 16 - LSU: 10  (SEC)

 
Gators (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (13 - 30 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ LSU -10)
Projected Score: FLA: 18 - LSU: 26 (44)
LSU Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
FLA Travel: 531 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Tigers (8 - 4) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (26 - 17 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Florida vs Massachusetts-37.051.5W 24 - 7UN
Sat 9/10 Florida vs Kentucky-16.548.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/17 Florida vs North Texas-35.052.5W 32 - 0UN
Sat 9/24 Florida at Tennessee+8.042.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 10/1 Florida at Vanderbilt-8.540.5W 13 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Florida vs Missouri-13.051.0W 40 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Florida vs Georgia-7.543.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/5 Florida at Arkansas-3.544.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/12 Florida vs South Carolina-16.038.5W 20 - 7UN
Sat 11/19 Florida at LSU+10.538.0W 16 - 10UY
Sat 11/26 Florida at Florida State+5.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 12/3 Florida vs Alabama+21.540.5L 16 - 54ON
Mon 1/2 Florida vs Iowa-2.041.0W 30 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
LSU's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 LSU vs Wisconsin-9.543.5L 14 - 16UN
Sat 9/10 LSU vs Jacksonville State-30.0
Sat 9/17 LSU vs Mississippi State-13.047.0W 23 - 20UN
Sat 9/24 LSU at Auburn-4.046.5L 13 - 18UN
Sat 10/1 LSU vs Missouri-14.051.0W 42 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 LSU vs Southern Miss-21.055.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 10/22 LSU vs Ole Miss-4.559.0W 38 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 LSU vs Alabama+7.046.0L 0 - 10UN
Sat 11/12 LSU at Arkansas-7.046.5W 38 - 10OY
Sat 11/19 LSU vs Florida-10.538.0L 10 - 16UN
Thu 11/24 LSU at Texas A&M-4.048.5W 54 - 39OY
Sat 12/31 LSU vs Louisville-3.059.0W 29 - 9UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for LSU's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA.1239%21.639%2.7612738%2073.07.0237%2437%34%2.9252.61.21.8
LSU.2846%22.850%3.225738%1803.85.1241%19.843%39%3.5465.30.81.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1421.61339.3%3.071.2173341272073.550%49%39%38%2%.12
LSU Defense1219.816.941.5%3.541.4 - - - - - 43%56%43%39%2%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense142430.436.7%2.921.8 - - - - - 50%48%37%34%2%.02
LSU Offense1222.825.746%3.850.8214372571806.161%37%50%38%2%.28

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1430:5816.736%52%6.552.61.21.800432.9
LSU1231:2020.540%56%8.165.30.81.400228.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1450%39%36.4126.93.519.072.7676%0%0.96
LSU Defense1243%43% - - - - .112.8280%0%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1450%37% - - - - .022.6267%0%0.89
LSU Offense1261%50%42.1256.86.136.283.279%0%1.08

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1449%38%16.428.9207.17.212.72010.171.634%25%.152%1.9
LSU Defense1256%39% - - - - - - 10.141.533%28%.192%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 14.081.537%26%.12%1.7
LSU Offense1237%38%12.423.2180.47.814.5136.321.932%32%.412%2.1

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #84
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.0  #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida:    LSU: 15.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 15.4   LSU: 25.3




LSU's Power Ratings
LSU's Power Rating: 15.15 NR
LSU's Offense Rating: NR
LSU's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
LSU's 2016 Expected Record: -
LSU's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.3  #5
LSU's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.2  #40
LSU's Defense SP+ Rating: 9.0  #2

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.4

Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
LSU 26
Florida 18

Projected Total Points: 44
LSU Scoring
Offense: 22.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.9

LSU's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13LSU20Florida10LSU -5.5LSU47.5Under
202411/16Florida27LSU16LSU -3Florida57.0Under
202311/11LSU52Florida35LSU -14LSU68.5Over
202210/15Florida35LSU45Florida -2LSU51.5Over
202110/16LSU49Florida42Florida -12.5LSU61.0Over
202012/12Florida34LSU37Florida -23LSU65.5Over
201910/12LSU42Florida28LSU -14Push55.5Over
201810/06Florida27LSU19LSU -1Florida44.0Over
201710/07Florida16LSU17LSU -1.5Florida44.0Under
201611/19LSU10Florida16LSU -10.5Florida38.0Under
201510/17LSU35Florida28LSU -6.5LSU43.5Over
201410/11Florida27LSU30LSU -1LSU0
201310/12LSU17Florida6LSU -5LSU0
201210/06Florida14LSU6
201110/08LSU41Florida11
201010/09Florida29LSU33
200910/10LSU3Florida13
200810/11Florida51LSU21
200710/06LSU28Florida24
200610/07Florida23LSU10
200510/15LSU21Florida17
200410/09Florida21LSU24
200310/11LSU7Florida19
200210/12Florida7LSU36
200110/06LSU15Florida44
200010/06Florida41LSU9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
LSU1687 Overs
Florida1044 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 118 - 44 - 34 - 1
Road Teams11 - 154 - 81 - 43 - 4

(#) FLA at (#) LSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFLALSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #5
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #16 #3
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
FLA OffLSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #84 #2
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffLSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffLSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
LSU on Offense
CategoryCatLSU OffFLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #40 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
LSU Run Game
CategoryCat
LSU OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
LSU Pass Game
CategoryCatLSU OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
LSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFB Elites

FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Tiger Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 12
LSU -10.5 (38.0)
Florida won at LSU this year (16-10)

Previous Matchups
LSU beat Florida last year (20-10)
Florida beat LSU in 2024 (27-16)
LSU beat Florida in 2023 (52-35)

  
FLA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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FLA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

LSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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LSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD