North Texas at Florida - 2016 Matchup Preview
North Texas logo North Texas Mean Green at Florida GatorsFlorida logo
Saturday, September 17th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Florida -35 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida 32 - North Texas: 0

 
Mean Green (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (21 - 36 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
FLA 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -17.5  (SP+ FLA -30)
Projected Score: UNT: 14 - FLA: 27 (41)
FLA Win prob: 99% | Cover: 47%
UNT Travel: 906 miles, 1 hrs behind
Gators (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 17 (32 - 7 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Texas's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 North Texas vs SMU+12.068.0L 21 - 34UN
Sat 9/10 North Texas vs Bethune-Cookman-13.0
Sat 9/17 North Texas at Florida+35.052.5L 0 - 32UY
Sat 9/24 North Texas at Rice+7.555.0W 42 - 35OY
Sat 10/1 North Texas vs Middle Tennessee+16.065.0L 13 - 30UN
Sat 10/8 North Texas vs Marshall+11.059.5W 38 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 North Texas at Army+17.548.0W 35 - 18OY
Sat 10/29 North Texas at UTSA+4.051.0L 17 - 31UN
Sat 11/5 North Texas vs Louisiana Tech+21.063.5L 24 - 45OY
Sat 11/12 North Texas at Western Kentucky+30.066.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 11/19 North Texas vs Southern Miss+5.558.5W 29 - 23UY
Sat 11/26 North Texas at UTEP-3.052.5L 24 - 52ON
Tue 12/27 North Texas vs Army+9.547.0L 31 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Texas's Schedule
Florida's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Florida vs Massachusetts-37.051.5W 24 - 7UN
Sat 9/10 Florida vs Kentucky-16.548.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/17 Florida vs North Texas-35.052.5W 32 - 0UN
Sat 9/24 Florida at Tennessee+8.042.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 10/1 Florida at Vanderbilt-8.540.5W 13 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Florida vs Missouri-13.051.0W 40 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Florida vs Georgia-7.543.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/5 Florida at Arkansas-3.544.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/12 Florida vs South Carolina-16.038.5W 20 - 7UN
Sat 11/19 Florida at LSU+10.538.0W 16 - 10UY
Sat 11/26 Florida at Florida State+5.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 12/3 Florida vs Alabama+21.540.5L 16 - 54ON
Mon 1/2 Florida vs Iowa-2.041.0W 30 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT.141%24.843%2.5913438%2083.24.1342%32.645%36%3.2268.31.61.7
FLA.0742%23.944%2.8312838%2162.81-.0736%16.839%31%2.4758.31.71.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNT#45 (.23)42% (70)40% (109)2.75 (111)15344% (39)2983.91 (69)#98 (.22)44% (98)47% (106)42% (79)4.03 (93)52.51.51.1
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)45% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)49% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Offense1324.820.841%3.241.6183421342084.144%55%43%38%20%.1
FLA Defense1316.8735.9%2.471.9 - - - - - 54%44%39%31%19%-.07
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNT Defense1332.635.542.3%3.221.7 - - - - - 58%40%45%36%15%.13
FLA Offense1323.932.242.1%2.811.7183441282163.746%51%44%38%17%.07

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Texas1327:3018.535%36%7.568.31.61.75.72328.9
Florida1331:1318.142%47%6.858.31.71.96.22.4530.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Offense1344%43%32.8133.54.124.122.5970%13%1.1
FLA Defense1354%39% - - - - -.042.7563%12%0.84
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNT Defense1358%45% - - - - .153.0374%10%0.97
FLA Offense1346%44%34.8128.23.7112.8375%10%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Offense1355%38%20.134.5208.3610.41513.091.432%27%.177%2
FLA Defense1344%31% - - - - - - 17-.11.836%29%.097%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNT Defense1340%36% - - - - - - 14.121.833%34%.225%1.8
FLA Offense1351%38%18.531.5215.86.811.61815.141.635%36%.287%1.5

North Texas's Power Ratings
North Texas's Power Rating: NR
North Texas's Offense Rating: NR
North Texas's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Texas's 2016 Expected Record: -
North Texas's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.6  #114
North Texas's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0  #110
North Texas's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #114

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Texas:    Florida: 10.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Texas: -14.6   Florida: 15.4




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 10.2 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #84
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.0  #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Texas Scoring
Offense: 24.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

North Texas's 2016 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 27
North Texas 14

Total Points: 41

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida 23
North Texas 12

Total Points: 34

Based on Entire Season
Florida 31
North Texas 17

Total Points: 48
Florida Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.2
Defense: 16.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/17Florida32North Texas0Florida -35North Texas52.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida100 Overs
North Texas011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) UNT at (#) FLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNTFLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #114 #20
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #113 #16
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Texas on Offense
CategoryCat
UNT OffFLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Texas Run Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Texas Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNT OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCatFLA OffUNT Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #84 #114
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffUNT Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatFLA OffUNT Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UNT 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 3
Florida -35.0 (52.5)
Florida won vs North Texas this year (32-0)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UNT's OC ()
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Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
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UNT's DC ()
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FLA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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FLA's DC ()
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