Massachusetts at Florida - 2016 Matchup Preview
Massachusetts logo   Massachusetts Minutemen at Florida Gators  Florida logo
Saturday, September 3rd 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Florida -37 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida 24 - Massachusetts: 7

 
Minutemen (2 - 10) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (9 - 43 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -18  (SP+ FLA -31)
Projected Score: UMASS: 16 - FLA: 33 (49)
FLA Win prob: 100% | Cover: 57%
UMASS Travel: 1035 miles
Gators (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Massachusetts's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Massachusetts at Florida+37.051.5L 7 - 24UY
Sat 9/10 Massachusetts vs Boston College+16.537.5L 7 - 26UN
Sat 9/17 Massachusetts vs Florida International+1.048.0W 21 - 13UY
Sat 9/24 Massachusetts vs Mississippi State+25.049.5L 35 - 47OY
Sat 10/1 Massachusetts vs Tulane+2.541.5L 24 - 31ON
Fri 10/7 Massachusetts at Old Dominion+7.055.0L 16 - 36UN
Sat 10/15 Massachusetts vs Louisiana Tech+16.064.0L 28 - 56ON
Sat 10/22 Massachusetts at South Carolina+21.046.0L 28 - 34OY
Sat 10/29 Massachusetts vs Wagner-21.0
Sat 11/5 Massachusetts at Troy+23.056.5L 31 - 52OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 Massachusetts at BYU+30.054.0L 9 - 51ON
Sat 11/26 Massachusetts at Hawai'i+10.557.0L 40 - 46OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Florida's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Florida vs Massachusetts-37.051.5W 24 - 7UN
Sat 9/10 Florida vs Kentucky-16.548.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/17 Florida vs North Texas-35.052.5W 32 - 0UN
Sat 9/24 Florida at Tennessee+8.042.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 10/1 Florida at Vanderbilt-8.540.5W 13 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Florida vs Missouri-13.051.0W 40 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Florida vs Georgia-7.543.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/5 Florida at Arkansas-3.544.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/12 Florida vs South Carolina-16.038.5W 20 - 7UN
Sat 11/19 Florida at LSU+10.538.0W 16 - 10UY
Sat 11/26 Florida at Florida State+5.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 12/3 Florida vs Alabama+21.540.5L 16 - 54ON
Mon 1/2 Florida vs Iowa-2.041.0W 30 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS.0940%11.144%2.8614236%2583.28.1846%38.643%48%3.8763.91.61.5
FLA.1239%21.639%2.7612738%2073.07.0237%2437%34%2.9252.61.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
FLA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Offense1211.19.339.8%3.281.6214001422584.441%57%44%36%2%.09
FLA Defense142418.736.7%2.921.8 - - - - - 50%48%37%34%2%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UMASS Defense1238.642.546.2%3.871.5 - - - - - 53%45%43%48%2%.18
FLA Offense1421.62939.3%3.071.2173341272073.550%49%39%38%2%.12

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Massachusetts1226:5921.334%38%7.463.91.61.500128.4
Florida1430:5816.736%52%6.552.61.21.800432.9
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Offense1241%44%32.7142.34.415.152.8672%0%0.99
FLA Defense1450%37% - - - - .022.6267%0%0.89
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UMASS Defense1253%43% - - - - .063.0365%0%0.88
FLA Offense1450%39%36.4126.93.519.072.7676%0%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Offense1257%36%23.441.3257.56.2111813.081.535%30%.182%1.7
FLA Defense1448%34% - - - - - - 14.081.537%26%.12%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UMASS Defense1245%48% - - - - - - 13.341.530%38%.42%1.7
FLA Offense1449%38%16.428.9207.17.212.72010.171.634%25%.152%1.9

Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: NR
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Massachusetts's 2016 Expected Record: -
Massachusetts's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.3  #117
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #101
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7  #108

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts:    Florida: 10.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Massachusetts: -15.3   Florida: 15.4




Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 10.2 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #84
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.0  #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 42.5

Massachusetts's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Florida 33
Massachusetts 16


Projected Total Points: 49
Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/03Florida24Massachusetts7Florida -37Massachusetts51.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida100 Overs
Massachusetts011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) UMASS at (#) FLA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUMASSFLA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #117 #20
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #108 #16
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Massachusetts on Offense
CategoryCat
UMASS OffFLA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #101 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Massachusetts Run Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Massachusetts Pass Game
CategoryCat
UMASS OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCatFLA OffUMASS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #84 #108
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffUMASS Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCatFLA OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UMASS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Florida -37.0 (51.5)
Florida won vs Massachusetts this year (24-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UMASS's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

FLA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD