Florida at Tennessee - 2016 Matchup Preview
Florida logo Florida Gators at Tennessee Volunteers(#15)Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 24th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Tennessee -8 (42.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Tennessee 38 - Florida: 28  (SEC)

 
Gators (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 17 (16 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 91.2° (38% Hum)
TENN 4th straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 4th straight game
FLA is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -3  (SP+ TENN -1)
Projected Score: FLA: 21 - TENN: 22 (43)
TENN Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
FLA Travel: 445 miles
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 29 (38 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Florida vs Massachusetts-37.051.5W 24 - 7UN
Sat 9/10 Florida vs Kentucky-16.548.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 9/17 Florida vs North Texas-35.052.5W 32 - 0UN
Sat 9/24 Florida at Tennessee+8.042.5L 28 - 38ON
Sat 10/1 Florida at Vanderbilt-8.540.5W 13 - 6UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Florida vs Missouri-13.051.0W 40 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Florida vs Georgia-7.543.0W 24 - 10UY
Sat 11/5 Florida at Arkansas-3.544.0L 10 - 31UN
Sat 11/12 Florida vs South Carolina-16.038.5W 20 - 7UN
Sat 11/19 Florida at LSU+10.538.0W 16 - 10UY
Sat 11/26 Florida at Florida State+5.047.0L 13 - 31UN
Sat 12/3 Florida vs Alabama+21.540.5L 16 - 54ON
Mon 1/2 Florida vs Iowa-2.041.0W 30 - 3UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule
Tennessee's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Tennessee vs App State-23.058.0W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/10 Tennessee vs Virginia Tech-9.052.5W 45 - 24OY
Sat 9/17 Tennessee vs Ohio-27.557.5W 28 - 19UN
Sat 9/24 Tennessee vs Florida-8.042.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 10/1 Tennessee at Georgia-2.551.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 10/8 Tennessee at Texas A&M+6.560.5L 38 - 45ON
Sat 10/15 Tennessee vs Alabama+9.054.5L 10 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Tennessee at South Carolina-14.052.0L 21 - 24UN
Sat 11/5 Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech-44.0
Sat 11/12 Tennessee vs Kentucky-10.558.0W 49 - 36OY
Sat 11/19 Tennessee vs Missouri-14.569.5W 63 - 37OY
Sat 11/26 Tennessee at Vanderbilt-10.050.0L 34 - 45ON
Fri 12/30 Tennessee vs Nebraska-3.059.0W 38 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA.0742%23.944%2.8312838%2162.81-.0736%16.839%31%2.4758.31.71.9
TENN.247%36.447%3.2820544%2383.37.1744%28.848%37%2.6356.521.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FLA#72 (.18)43% (64)45% (54)3.04 (66)16441% (82)2264.17 (46)#53 (.14)44% (95)49% (118)39% (44)3.12 (14)541.41.9
TENN#46 (.23)47% (18)48% (23)3.4 (13)22747% (19)2214.02 (55)#13 (.07)38% (17)36% (9)39% (48)3.03 (10)66.81.21.6



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Offense1323.91642.1%2.811.7183441282163.746%51%44%38%17%.07
TENN Defense1328.82643.6%2.631.9 - - - - - 53%45%48%37%18%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FLA Defense1316.823.235.9%2.471.9 - - - - - 54%44%39%31%19%-.07
TENN Offense1336.437.646.7%3.372224442052385.255%44%47%44%17%.2

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida1331:1318.142%47%6.858.31.71.96.22.4530.8
Tennessee1327:2421.541%22%6.256.521.97.72.3334.7
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Offense1346%44%34.8128.23.7112.8375%10%0.75
TENN Defense1353%48% - - - - .192.9568%12%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FLA Defense1354%39% - - - - -.042.7563%12%0.84
TENN Offense1355%47%39.8205.25.231.163.2875%11%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Offense1351%38%18.531.5215.86.811.61815.141.635%36%.287%1.5
TENN Defense1345%37% - - - - - - 11.171.634%31%.226%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FLA Defense1344%31% - - - - - - 17-.11.836%29%.097%1.8
TENN Offense1344%44%18.329.2238.58.2132812.271.729%35%.296%1.8

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #84
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.0  #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida:    Tennessee: 10.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 15.4   Tennessee: 16.3




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 10.65 NR
Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Tennessee's 2016 Expected Record: -
Tennessee's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.3  #15
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.9  #15
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #44

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Florida Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 16.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 22
Florida 21

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Florida 17
Tennessee 15

Total Points: 32

Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 29
Florida 24

Total Points: 53
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 36.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.6
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Tennessee's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Florida11Tennessee31Tennessee -3.5Tennessee57.5Under
202410/12Tennessee23Florida17Tennessee -13.5Florida54.5Under
202309/16Florida29Tennessee16Tennessee -5Florida57.0Under
202209/24Tennessee38Florida33Tennessee -11Florida62.0Over
202109/25Florida38Tennessee14Florida -19Florida65.0Under
202012/05Tennessee19Florida31Florida -18.5Tennessee63.0Under
201909/21Florida34Tennessee3Florida -12.5Florida49.5Under
201809/22Tennessee21Florida47Florida -3.5Florida46.0Over
201709/16Florida26Tennessee20Florida -6.5Tennessee50.5Under
201609/24Tennessee38Florida28Tennessee -8Tennessee42.5Over
201509/26Florida28Tennessee27Florida -3Tennessee50.5Over
201410/04Tennessee9Florida10Florida -1.5Tennessee0
201309/21Florida31Tennessee17Florida -15.5Tennessee0
201209/15Tennessee20Florida37
201109/17Florida33Tennessee23
201009/18Tennessee17Florida31
200909/19Florida23Tennessee13
200809/20Tennessee6Florida30
200709/15Florida59Tennessee20
200609/16Tennessee20Florida21
200509/17Florida16Tennessee7
200409/18Tennessee30Florida28
200309/20Florida10Tennessee24
200209/21Tennessee13Florida30
200112/01Florida32Tennessee34
200009/15Tennessee23Florida27
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee774 Overs
Florida1967 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 126 - 73 - 53 - 2
Road Teams12 - 147 - 62 - 35 - 3

(#) FLA at (#) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatFLATENN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #20 #15
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #16 #14
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Florida on Offense
CategoryCat
FLA OffTENN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #84 #44
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Florida Run Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffTENN Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Florida Pass Game
CategoryCat
FLA OffTENN Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatTENN OffFLA Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #15 #5
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffFLA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatTENN OffFLA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 91°
Rematch from Week 4
Tennessee -8.0 (42.5)
Tennessee won vs Florida this year (38-28)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Florida last year (23-17)
Florida beat Tennessee in 2023 (29-16)
Tennessee beat Florida in 2022 (38-33)

  
FLA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TENN's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD