Florida at Vanderbilt - 2016 Matchup Preview

Florida Gators at Vanderbilt Commodores(#18)

Saturday, October 1st 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Florida -8.5 (40.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida 13 - Vanderbilt: 6 (SEC)

Gators (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 17 (16 - 23 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FLA 2nd straight Road Game
VAN is playing their 5th straight game
FLA is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -6 (SP+ FLA -16.5)
Projected Score: FLA: 25 - VAN: 27 (52)
FLA Win prob: 71% | Cover: 46%
FLA Travel: 518 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Commodores (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (30 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
FLA Players
VAN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Florida's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Florida vs Massachusetts	-37.0	51.5	W 24 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/10	Florida vs Kentucky	-16.5	48.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Florida vs North Texas	-35.0	52.5	W 32 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/24	Florida at Tennessee	+8.0	42.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/1	Florida at Vanderbilt	-8.5	40.5	W 13 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Florida vs Missouri	-13.0	51.0	W 40 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida vs Georgia	-7.5	43.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida at Arkansas	-3.5	44.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	Florida vs South Carolina	-16.0	38.5	W 20 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/19	Florida at LSU	+10.5	38.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Florida at Florida State	+5.0	47.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/3	Florida vs Alabama	+21.5	40.5	L 16 - 54	O	N
Mon 1/2	Florida vs Iowa	-2.0	41.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida's Schedule

Vanderbilt's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Vanderbilt vs South Carolina	+4.0	40.5	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Vanderbilt vs Middle Tennessee	-5.0	51.0	W 47 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Vanderbilt at Georgia Tech	+7.5	45.0	L 7 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/24	Vanderbilt at Western Kentucky	+7.5	49.0	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Vanderbilt vs Florida	+8.5	40.5	L 6 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Vanderbilt at Kentucky	+2.0	48.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/15	Vanderbilt at Georgia	+14.5	42.5	W 17 - 16	U	Y
Sat 10/22	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee State	-27.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Vanderbilt at Auburn	+26.0	47.0	L 16 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Vanderbilt at Missouri	+1.0	53.0	L 17 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/19	Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss	+9.5	50.0	W 38 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Vanderbilt vs Tennessee	+10.0	50.0	W 45 - 34	O	Y
Mon 12/26	Vanderbilt vs NC State	+4.0	47.0	L 17 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	.07	42%	23.9	44%	2.83	128	38%	216	2.81	-.07	36%	16.8	39%	31%	2.47	58.3	1.7	1.9
VAN	.11	42%	23	44%	3.03	164	37%	191	3.59	.13	44%	24	43%	42%	2.59	44.2	1.2	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
FLA	#72 (.18)	43% (64)		45% (54)	3.04 (66)	164	41% (82)	226	4.17 (46)	#53 (.14)	44% (95)		49% (118)	39% (44)	3.12 (14)	54	1.4	1.9
VAN	#76 (.17)	42% (75)		42% (93)	2.8 (105)	129	43% (53)	166	4.25 (34)	#111 (.25)	47% (121)		46% (96)	48% (125)	4.22 (109)	48.3	0.5	1.1

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Offense	13	23.9	16	42.1%	2.81	1.7	18	344	128	216	3.7	46%	51%	44%	38%	17%	.07
VAN Defense	13	24	19.7	43.5%	2.59	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	50%	43%	42%	17%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
FLA Defense	13	16.8	23.2	35.9%	2.47	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	54%	44%	39%	31%	19%	-.07
VAN Offense	13	23	30.2	41.6%	3.59	1.2	19	356	164	191	4.3	52%	46%	44%	37%	18%	.11

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Florida	13	31:13	18.1	42%	47%	6.8	58.3	1.7	1.9	6.2	2.4	5	30.8
Vanderbilt	13	31:48	19.5	36%	33%	5.2	44.2	1.2	1.5	5.3	1.2	0	28.8

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Offense	13	46%	44%	34.8	128.2	3.7	11		2.83	75%	10%	0.75
VAN Defense	13	48%	43%	-	-	-	-		2.99	63%	10%	0.87

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
FLA Defense	13	54%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.75	63%	12%	0.84
VAN Offense	13	52%	44%	38.2	164.5	4.3	26	.13	3.03	65%	10%	0.95

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Offense	13	51%	38%	18.5	31.5	215.8	6.8	11.6	18	15	.14	1.6	35%	36%	.28	7%	1.5
VAN Defense	13	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.26	1.5	33%	34%	.35	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
FLA Defense	13	44%	31%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	-.1	1.8	36%	29%	.09	7%	1.8
VAN Offense	13	46%	37%	16.2	30.3	191.2	6.3	11.8	9	11	.12	1.5	34%	30%	.16	7%	1.7

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #84
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida: Vanderbilt: 1.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida: 15.4 Vanderbilt: -1.2

Vanderbilt's Power Ratings
Vanderbilt's Power Rating: 1.9 NR
Vanderbilt's Offense Rating: NR
Vanderbilt's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Vanderbilt's 2016 Expected Record: -
Vanderbilt's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #71
Vanderbilt's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.3 #89
Vanderbilt's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #48

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Florida Scoring
Offense: 23.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 16
Defense: 16.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.2

Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Vanderbilt 27
Florida 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Vanderbilt 31
Florida 30

Total Points: 60

Based on Entire Season
Vanderbilt 23
Florida 21

Total Points: 44

Vanderbilt Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.2
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.7

Vanderbilt's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/07	Florida	38	Vanderbilt	14	Florida -18	Florida	51.0	Over
2022	11/19	Vanderbilt	31	Florida	24	Florida -14	Vanderbilt	58.0	Under
2021	10/09	Florida	42	Vanderbilt	0	Florida -39	Florida	60.5	Under
2020	11/21	Vanderbilt	17	Florida	38	Florida -31.5	Vanderbilt	68.5	Under
2019	11/09	Florida	56	Vanderbilt	0	Florida -26.5	Florida	50.0	Over
2018	10/13	Vanderbilt	27	Florida	37	Florida -9.5	Florida	51.0	Over
2017	09/30	Florida	38	Vanderbilt	24	Florida -9	Florida	39.0	Over
2016	10/01	Vanderbilt	6	Florida	13	Florida -8.5	Vanderbilt	40.5	Under
2015	11/07	Florida	9	Vanderbilt	7	Florida -19	Vanderbilt	38.5	Under
2014	11/08	Vanderbilt	10	Florida	34	Florida -13.5	Florida	0
2013	11/09	Florida	17	Vanderbilt	34	Florida -10	Vanderbilt	0
2012	10/13	Vanderbilt	17	Florida	31
2011	11/05	Florida	26	Vanderbilt	21
2010	11/06	Vanderbilt	14	Florida	55
2009	11/07	Florida	27	Vanderbilt	3
2008	11/08	Vanderbilt	14	Florida	42
2007	11/03	Florida	49	Vanderbilt	22
2006	11/04	Vanderbilt	19	Florida	25
2005	11/05	Florida	49	Vanderbilt	42
2004	11/06	Vanderbilt	17	Florida	34
2003	11/08	Florida	35	Vanderbilt	17
2002	11/09	Vanderbilt	17	Florida	21
2001	11/03	Florida	71	Vanderbilt	13
2000	11/03	Vanderbilt	20	Florida	43

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Vanderbilt	2	5	4 Overs
Florida	22	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	12 - 12	7 - 4	4 - 2	3 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 12	4 - 7	2 - 3	2 - 4

(#) FLA at (#) VAN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	FLA	VAN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#20	#71
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#16	#41
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Florida Injury Report

Vanderbilt Injury Report

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	VAN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#48
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	VAN Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	VAN Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Vanderbilt on Offense


CategoryCat	VAN Off	FLA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#89	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Vanderbilt Run Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Vanderbilt Pass Game


CategoryCat	VAN Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
VAN 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Vanderbilt Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Florida 8.5 (40.5)
Florida won at Vanderbilt this year (13-6)

Previous Matchups
Florida beat Vanderbilt in 2023 (38-14)
Vanderbilt beat Florida in 2022 (31-24)

FLA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

VAN's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Vanderbilt's Full Roster

VAN's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD