Kentucky at Florida - 2016 Matchup Preview

Kentucky Wildcats at Florida Gators

Saturday, September 10th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Florida -16.5 (48.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Florida 45 - Kentucky: 7 (SEC)

Wildcats (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 26 (11 - 32 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FLA 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -11.5 (SP+ FLA -18)
Projected Score: UK: 19 - FLA: 27 (46)
FLA Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
UK Travel: 592 miles

Gators (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 22 - 24 (29 - 19 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UK Players
FLA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Kentucky's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Kentucky vs Southern Miss	-7.5	62.0	L 35 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/10	Kentucky at Florida	+16.5	48.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-21.5	65.5	W 62 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/24	Kentucky vs South Carolina	-1.5	57.5	W 17 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Kentucky at Alabama	+32.5	54.5	L 6 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Kentucky vs Vanderbilt	-2.0	48.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Kentucky vs Mississippi State	+1.5	54.5	W 40 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Kentucky at Missouri	+4.5	69.0	W 35 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Kentucky vs Georgia	+2.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/12	Kentucky at Tennessee	+10.5	58.0	L 36 - 49	O	N
Sat 11/19	Kentucky vs Austin Peay	-43.0
Sat 11/26	Kentucky at Louisville	+26.0	70.5	W 41 - 38	O	Y
Sat 12/31	Kentucky vs Georgia Tech	+5.0	61.0	L 18 - 33	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Kentucky's Schedule

Florida's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Florida vs Massachusetts	-37.0	51.5	W 24 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/10	Florida vs Kentucky	-16.5	48.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Florida vs North Texas	-35.0	52.5	W 32 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/24	Florida at Tennessee	+8.0	42.5	L 28 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/1	Florida at Vanderbilt	-8.5	40.5	W 13 - 6	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Florida vs Missouri	-13.0	51.0	W 40 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Florida vs Georgia	-7.5	43.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Florida at Arkansas	-3.5	44.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/12	Florida vs South Carolina	-16.0	38.5	W 20 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/19	Florida at LSU	+10.5	38.0	W 16 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Florida at Florida State	+5.0	47.0	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 12/3	Florida vs Alabama	+21.5	40.5	L 16 - 54	O	N
Mon 1/2	Florida vs Iowa	-2.0	41.0	W 30 - 3	U	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK	.14	39%	23	41%	2.65	163	35%	209	3.26	.13	45%	26.4	45%	43%	3.15	56.3	1.8	1.7
FLA	.12	39%	21.6	39%	2.76	127	38%	207	3.07	.02	37%	24	37%	34%	2.92	52.6	1.2	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UK		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Offense	12	23	10.8	39.4%	3.26	1.8	19	372	163	209	4.7	47%	51%	41%	35%	2%	.14
FLA Defense	14	24	18.7	36.7%	2.92	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	37%	34%	2%	.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UK Defense	12	26.4	31.8	45.1%	3.15	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	45%	43%	2%	.13
FLA Offense	14	21.6	29	39.3%	3.07	1.2	17	334	127	207	3.5	50%	49%	39%	38%	2%	.12

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Kentucky	12	29:16	18.5	37%	68%	5.8	56.3	1.8	1.7	0	0	2	26.7
Florida	14	30:58	16.7	36%	52%	6.5	52.6	1.2	1.8	0	0	4	32.9

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Offense	12	47%	41%	34.9	162.7	4.7	22	.19	2.65	65%	0%	1.24
FLA Defense	14	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.02	2.62	67%	0%	0.89

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UK Defense	12	56%	45%	-	-	-	-	.1	2.89	81%	0%	0.89
FLA Offense	14	50%	39%	36.4	126.9	3.5	19	.07	2.76	76%	0%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Offense	12	51%	35%	18.2	33.1	209.3	6.3	11.5	10	16	.12	1.6	37%	33%	.35	2%	1.9
FLA Defense	14	48%	34%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.08	1.5	37%	26%	.1	2%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UK Defense	12	43%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.2	1.5	30%	37%	.17	2%	1.5
FLA Offense	14	49%	38%	16.4	28.9	207.1	7.2	12.7	20	10	.17	1.6	34%	25%	.15	2%	1.9

Kentucky's Power Ratings
Kentucky's Power Rating: NR
Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Kentucky's 2016 Expected Record: -
Kentucky's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #78
Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.8 #56
Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #93

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: Florida: 10.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kentucky: -2.6 Florida: 15.4

Florida's Power Ratings
Florida's Power Rating: 10.2 NR
Florida's Offense Rating: NR
Florida's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Florida's 2016 Expected Record: -
Florida's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #20
Florida's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #84
Florida's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.0 #5

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 10.8
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.8

Kentucky's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Florida 27
Kentucky 19

Projected Total Points: 46

Florida Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.7

Florida's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/08	Kentucky	38	Florida	7	Florida -4.5	Kentucky	44.5	Over
2024	10/19	Florida	48	Kentucky	20	Kentucky -2.5	Florida	42.5	Over
2023	09/30	Kentucky	33	Florida	14	Kentucky -1	Kentucky	44.0	Over
2022	09/10	Florida	16	Kentucky	26	Florida -6	Kentucky	53.0	Under
2021	10/02	Kentucky	20	Florida	13	Florida -7.5	Kentucky	56.5	Under
2020	11/28	Florida	34	Kentucky	10	Florida -23.5	Florida	60.5	Under
2019	09/14	Kentucky	21	Florida	29	Florida -10	Kentucky	46.5	Over
2018	09/08	Florida	16	Kentucky	27	Florida -13.5	Kentucky	52.5	Under
2017	09/23	Kentucky	27	Florida	28	Florida -3	Kentucky	44.0	Over
2016	09/10	Florida	45	Kentucky	7	Florida -16.5	Florida	48.5	Over
2015	09/19	Kentucky	9	Florida	14	Florida -4.5	Florida	52.5	Under
2014	09/13	Florida	36	Kentucky	30	Florida -17	Kentucky	0
2013	09/28	Kentucky	7	Florida	24	Florida -12.5	Florida	0
2012	09/22	Florida	38	Kentucky	0
2011	09/24	Kentucky	10	Florida	48
2010	09/25	Florida	48	Kentucky	14
2009	09/26	Kentucky	7	Florida	41
2008	10/25	Florida	63	Kentucky	5
2007	10/20	Kentucky	37	Florida	45
2006	09/23	Florida	26	Kentucky	7
2005	09/24	Kentucky	28	Florida	49
2004	09/25	Florida	20	Kentucky	3
2003	09/27	Kentucky	21	Florida	24
2002	09/28	Florida	41	Kentucky	34
2001	09/22	Kentucky	10	Florida	44
2000	09/22	Florida	59	Kentucky	31

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida	21	5	6 Overs
Kentucky	5	8	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	14 - 12	8 - 5	3 - 3	5 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 14	5 - 8	2 - 5	3 - 3

(#) UK at (#) FLA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UK	FLA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#78	#20
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#33	#16
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Kentucky Injury Report

Florida Injury Report

Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	UK Off	FLA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#56	#5
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	FLA Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	UK Off	FLA Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida on Offense


CategoryCat	FLA Off	UK Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#84	#93
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida Run Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	UK Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Florida Pass Game


CategoryCat	FLA Off	UK Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FLA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top 25 Contenders

UK 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 2
Florida -16.5 (48.5)
Florida won vs Kentucky this year (45-7)

Previous Matchups
Kentucky beat Florida last year (38-7)
Florida beat Kentucky in 2024 (48-20)
Kentucky beat Florida in 2023 (33-14)

UK's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Kentucky's Full Roster

UK's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

FLA's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Florida's Full Roster

FLA's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD