Ohio at Troy - 2016 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo Ohio Bobcats vs Troy TrojansTroy logo
Friday, December 23rd 2016 (8:00 PM EST)
Troy -5 (50.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Troy 28 - Ohio: 23  (DOLLAR GENERAL BOWL)

 
Bobcats (8 - 6) (6 - 6 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 23 (23 - 20 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ TROY -3)

Projected Score: OHIO: 26 - TROY: 30 (56)
TROY Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
OHIO Travel: 686 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 34 - 22 (37 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ohio vs Texas State-19.058.5L 54 - 56ON
Sat 9/10 Ohio at Kansas-9.061.0W 37 - 21UY
Sat 9/17 Ohio at Tennessee+27.557.5L 19 - 28UY
Sat 9/24 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-27.0
Sat 10/1 Ohio at Miami (OH)-3.550.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 10/8 Ohio vs Bowling Green-15.560.0W 30 - 24UN
Sat 10/15 Ohio vs Eastern Michigan-10.054.0L 20 - 27UN
Sat 10/22 Ohio at Kent State-4.043.5W 14 - 10UN
Thu 10/27 Ohio at Toledo+17.557.0W 31 - 26UY
Thu 11/3 Ohio vs Buffalo-19.051.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/15 Ohio at Central Michigan+1.051.0L 20 - 27UN
Tue 11/22 Ohio vs Akron-7.553.0W 9 - 3UN
Fri 12/2 Ohio vs Western Michigan+17.058.0L 23 - 29UY
Fri 12/23 Ohio vs Troy+5.050.0L 23 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Troy's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Troy vs Austin Peay-37.0
Sat 9/10 Troy at Clemson+34.062.0L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/17 Troy at Southern Miss+11.561.0W 37 - 31OY
Sat 9/24 Troy vs New Mexico State-17.566.0W 52 - 6UY
Sat 10/1 Troy at Idaho-13.557.5W 34 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Troy vs Georgia State-16.554.0W 31 - 21UN
Thu 10/20 Troy at South Alabama-9.049.0W 28 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Troy vs Massachusetts-23.056.5W 52 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Troy vs App State-1.549.0W 28 - 24OY
Thu 11/17 Troy vs Arkansas State-8.553.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 11/26 Troy at Texas State-26.557.5W 40 - 7UY
Sat 12/3 Troy at Georgia Southern-9.053.0L 24 - 28UN
Fri 12/23 Troy vs Ohio-5.050.0W 28 - 23ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO.1241%26.340%2.6516839%2252.95.0841%22.638%42%3.0154.11.81.9
TROY.1143%33.741%2.5616944%2604.01.137%22.136%36%3.1161.81.52.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO#40 (.24)46% (30)47% (35)3.1 (52)21445% (35)1934.15 (47)#23 (.1)37% (10)34% (3)40% (57)3.79 (68)44.91.61.5
TROY#50 (.22)44% (49)42% (94)2.88 (95)15748% (15)2134.43 (22)#77 (.18)43% (87)45% (87)42% (76)3.77 (65)58.81.30.7



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1426.32341%2.951.8213931682254.352%45%40%39%17%.12
TROY Defense1322.122.336.7%3.112.3 - - - - - 44%54%36%36%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1422.619.840.8%3.011.9 - - - - - 46%53%38%42%20%.08
TROY Offense1333.737.243.4%4.011.5234301692604.548%50%41%44%14%.11

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1431:0220.938%44%5.654.11.81.97.43.1030.5
Troy1330:5623.137%65%6.861.81.52.37.12.2234.7
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1452%40%39167.94.317.052.6568%10%1
TROY Defense1344%36% - - - - .022.3469%11%0.99
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1446%38% - - - - -.022.4266%13%0.83
TROY Offense1348%41%37.3169.24.5282.5667%9%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1445%39%17.932.8224.86.912.52212.211.637%34%.246%1.6
TROY Defense1354%36% - - - - - - 22.181.837%30%.319%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1453%42% - - - - - - 15.21.535%31%.217%1.7
TROY Offense1350%44%24.237.8260.56.910.82513.231.329%28%.125%1.5

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.1  #75
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0  #110
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #45

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio:    Troy: 0.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -2.1   Troy: 1.1




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 0.55 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2016 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1  #63
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #87
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #43

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.8

Ohio's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 2
Over/Under Record: 2 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 30
Ohio 26


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Troy 33
Ohio 28

Total Points: 61

Based on Entire Season
Troy 28
Ohio 23

Total Points: 51
Troy Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.2
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.3

Troy's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201612/23Troy28Ohio23Troy -5Push50.0Over
201012/18Troy48Ohio21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy201 Overs
Ohio000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 20 - 00 - 00 - 0

Ohio Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016General Bowl Ohio vs Troy+5.050.0L 23 - 28
2015Camellia Bowl Ohio vs App State+9.5L 29 - 31
2013S Bowl Ohio vs East Carolina-14.563.0L 20 - 37
2012Independence Bowl Ohio vs UL Monroe  W 45 - 14
2011Potato Bowl Ohio vs Utah State  W 24 - 23
2010Orleans Bowl Ohio vs Troy  L 21 - 48
Troy Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2016General Bowl Troy vs Ohio-5.050.0W 28 - 23
2010Orleans Bowl Troy vs Ohio  W 48 - 21
  
(#) OHIO at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIOTROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #63
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #107 #100
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCat
OHIO OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #43
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffOHIO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffOHIO Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ladd Peebles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64°
Rematch from Week 1
Troy -5.0 (50.0)
Troy won vs Ohio this year (28-23)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
OHIO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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OHIO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD