Ohio at Miami (OH) - 2016 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo   Ohio Bobcats at Miami (OH) RedHawks  Miami (OH) logo
Saturday, October 1st 2016 (2:30 PM EDT)
Ohio -3.5 (50.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ohio 17 - Miami (OH): 7  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (8 - 6) (6 - 6 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 26 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
M-OH is playing their 5th straight game
OHIO is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ OHIO -4)
Projected Score: OHIO: 23 - M-OH: 26 (49)
OHIO Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
OHIO Travel: 141 miles
RedHawks (6 - 7) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (32 - 23 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ohio vs Texas State-19.058.5L 54 - 56ON
Sat 9/10 Ohio at Kansas-9.061.0W 37 - 21UY
Sat 9/17 Ohio at Tennessee+27.557.5L 19 - 28UY
Sat 9/24 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-27.0
Sat 10/1 Ohio at Miami (OH)-3.550.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 10/8 Ohio vs Bowling Green-15.560.0W 30 - 24UN
Sat 10/15 Ohio vs Eastern Michigan-10.054.0L 20 - 27UN
Sat 10/22 Ohio at Kent State-4.043.5W 14 - 10UN
Thu 10/27 Ohio at Toledo+17.557.0W 31 - 26UY
Thu 11/3 Ohio vs Buffalo-19.051.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/15 Ohio at Central Michigan+1.051.0L 20 - 27UN
Tue 11/22 Ohio vs Akron-7.553.0W 9 - 3UN
Fri 12/2 Ohio vs Western Michigan+17.058.0L 23 - 29UY
Fri 12/23 Ohio vs Troy+5.050.0L 23 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Miami (OH) at Iowa+32.052.5L 21 - 45OY
Sat 9/10 Miami (OH) vs Eastern Illinois-10.0
Sat 9/17 Miami (OH) vs Western Kentucky+15.064.5L 24 - 31UY
Sat 9/24 Miami (OH) at Cincinnati+19.555.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/1 Miami (OH) vs Ohio+3.550.0L 7 - 17UN
Sat 10/8 Miami (OH) at Akron+7.554.0L 13 - 35UN
Sat 10/15 Miami (OH) vs Kent State+2.043.0W 18 - 14UY
Sat 10/22 Miami (OH) at Bowling Green+3.552.0W 40 - 26OY
Sat 10/29 Miami (OH) at Eastern Michigan+7.050.0W 28 - 15UY
Fri 11/4 Miami (OH) vs Central Michigan+6.046.5W 37 - 17OY
Sat 11/12 Miami (OH) at Buffalo-12.050.5W 35 - 24ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/22 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-6.055.0W 21 - 20UN
Mon 12/26 Miami (OH) vs Mississippi State+11.558.0L 16 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO.1341%27.841%3.118139%2333.2.139%21.936%40%3.766.81.31.7
M-OH.0435%23.535%2.6313034%2092.7.1341%21.736%45%3.69602.61.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
M-OH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1327.82141.3%3.21.3224141812334.353%45%41%39%2%.13
M-OH Defense1221.722.741.5%3.691.4 - - - - - 52%46%36%45%2%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1321.925.839.4%3.71.7 - - - - - 47%51%36%40%3%.1
M-OH Offense1223.532.335.3%2.72.6173381302093.648%51%35%34%3%.04

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1332:1621.941%55%6.966.81.31.700330.6
Miami (OH)1228:4216.631%44%7.4602.61.400225.7
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1353%41%42.1180.94.322.093.175%0%0.85
M-OH Defense1252%36% - - - - .032.576%0%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1347%36% - - - - .052.5466%0%1.16
M-OH Offense1248%35%35.7129.73.67-.032.6360%0%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1345%39%18.531232.67.512.61813.191.733%32%.332%1.7
M-OH Defense1246%45% - - - - - - 10.221.533%35%.22%1.6
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1351%40% - - - - - - 12.151.434%32%.263%1.7
M-OH Offense1251%34%14.831.2208.56.714.11819.121.839%27%.173%1.7

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.1  #75
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0  #110
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #45

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio:    Miami (OH): -0.55

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -2.1   Miami (OH): -6.1




Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: -0.55 NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #89
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.1  #91
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #100
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0  #72

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Ohio's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 2
Over/Under Record: 2 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 26
Ohio 23

Projected Total Points: 49
Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.3
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.7

Miami (OH)'s 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 8 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/04Ohio24Miami (OH)20Ohio -2.5Ohio50.5Under
202410/19Miami (OH)30Ohio20Miami (OH) -3.5Miami (OH)43.5Over
202412/07Miami (OH)3Ohio38Miami (OH) -2.5Ohio43.5Under
202310/28Ohio16Miami (OH)30Ohio -7.5Miami (OH)39.0Over
202211/08Miami (OH)21Ohio37Ohio -2.5Ohio52.0Over
202111/02Ohio35Miami (OH)33Miami (OH) -7Ohio54.5Over
201911/06Ohio21Miami (OH)24Ohio -7Miami (OH)57.5Under
201811/07Miami (OH)30Ohio28Ohio -4.5Miami (OH)59.0Under
201710/31Ohio45Miami (OH)28Ohio -7Ohio53.5Over
201610/01Miami (OH)7Ohio17Ohio -3.5Ohio50.0Under
201510/10Ohio34Miami (OH)3Ohio -17.5Ohio50.5Under
201411/25Miami (OH)21Ohio24Ohio -3NA52.5Under
201310/26Ohio41Miami (OH)16Ohio -24Ohio0
201210/27Miami (OH)23Ohio20
201111/22Ohio21Miami (OH)14
201010/23Miami (OH)13Ohio34
200910/17Ohio28Miami (OH)7
200811/28Miami (OH)26Ohio41
200711/24Ohio38Miami (OH)29
200611/24Miami (OH)24Ohio34
200511/21Ohio7Miami (OH)38
200409/18Miami (OH)40Ohio20
200311/22Ohio31Miami (OH)49
200211/02Miami (OH)38Ohio20
200110/20Ohio24Miami (OH)36
200011/03Miami (OH)27Ohio24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Miami (OH)1145 Overs
Ohio1587 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 127 - 55 - 32 - 2
Road Teams12 - 145 - 72 - 23 - 5

(#) OHIO at (#) M-OH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIOM-OH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #91
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #107 #89
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCat
OHIO OffM-OH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #72
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffM-OH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCatM-OH OffOHIO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #100 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffOHIO Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCatM-OH OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
M-OH 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yager Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Ohio 3.5 (50.0)
Ohio won at Miami (OH) this year (17-7)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Miami (OH) last year (24-20)
Ohio beat Miami (OH) in 2024 (38-3)
Miami (OH) beat Ohio in 2023 (30-16)

  
OHIO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

M-OH's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD