Bowling Green at Ohio - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 8th 2016 (2:00 PM EDT)
Ohio -15.5 (60.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Ohio 30 - Bowling Green: 24 (Mid-American)

Falcons (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

OHIO is playing their 6th straight game
BGSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ OHIO -5)
Projected Score: BGSU: 22 - OHIO: 29 (51)
OHIO Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BGSU Travel: 163 miles

Bobcats (8 - 6) (6 - 6 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
BGSU Players
OHIO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Bowling Green's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Bowling Green at Ohio State	+27.0	64.0	L 10 - 77	O	N
Sat 9/10	Bowling Green vs North Dakota	-20.0
Sat 9/17	Bowling Green vs Middle Tennessee	+3.5	73.0	L 21 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/24	Bowling Green at Memphis	+16.5	67.5	L 3 - 77	O	N
Sat 10/1	Bowling Green vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	64.5	L 25 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/8	Bowling Green at Ohio	+15.5	60.0	L 24 - 30	U	Y
Sat 10/15	Bowling Green at Toledo	+24.0	71.0	L 35 - 42	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Bowling Green vs Miami (OH)	-3.5	52.0	L 26 - 40	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1	Bowling Green at Northern Illinois	+17.0	72.0	L 20 - 45	U	N
Wed 11/9	Bowling Green at Akron	+11.5	73.0	W 38 - 28	U	Y
Tue 11/15	Bowling Green vs Kent State	+3.0	54.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	-11.0	60.0	W 27 - 19	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Ohio's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Ohio vs Texas State	-19.0	58.5	L 54 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ohio at Kansas	-9.0	61.0	W 37 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Ohio at Tennessee	+27.5	57.5	L 19 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Ohio vs Gardner-Webb	-27.0
Sat 10/1	Ohio at Miami (OH)	-3.5	50.0	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Ohio vs Bowling Green	-15.5	60.0	W 30 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/15	Ohio vs Eastern Michigan	-10.0	54.0	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ohio at Kent State	-4.0	43.5	W 14 - 10	U	N
Thu 10/27	Ohio at Toledo	+17.5	57.0	W 31 - 26	U	Y
Thu 11/3	Ohio vs Buffalo	-19.0	51.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/15	Ohio at Central Michigan	+1.0	51.0	L 20 - 27	U	N
Tue 11/22	Ohio vs Akron	-7.5	53.0	W 9 - 3	U	N
Fri 12/2	Ohio vs Western Michigan	+17.0	58.0	L 23 - 29	U	Y
Fri 12/23	Ohio vs Troy	+5.0	50.0	L 23 - 28	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU	.35	50%	20.5	50%	3.18	180	50%	367	4.58	.16	44%	24.3	45%	41%	3.41	80.2	1.1	1.9
OHIO	.13	41%	27.8	41%	3.1	181	39%	233	3.2	.1	39%	21.9	36%	40%	3.7	66.8	1.3	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Offense	14	20.5	24	50.3%	4.58	1.1	28	547	180	367	4.7	44%	56%	50%	50%	2%	.35
OHIO Defense	13	21.9	20	39.4%	3.7	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	36%	40%	3%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BGSU Defense	14	24.3	29	44.2%	3.41	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	45%	41%	2%	.16
OHIO Offense	13	27.8	36.3	41.3%	3.2	1.3	22	414	181	233	4.3	53%	45%	41%	39%	2%	.13

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Bowling Green	14	27:55	27.8	50%	53%	8.8	80.2	1.1	1.9	0	0	1	29.7
Ohio	13	32:16	21.9	41%	55%	6.9	66.8	1.3	1.7	0	0	3	30.6

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense	14	44%	50%	38.7	180	4.7	34	.28	3.18	74%	0%	1.07
OHIO Defense	13	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.54	66%	0%	1.16

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense	14	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.15	2.99	69%	0%	1
OHIO Offense	13	53%	41%	42.1	180.9	4.3	22	.09	3.1	75%	0%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense	14	56%	50%	28.4	42.4	366.8	8.6	12.9	47	8	.41	1.6	28%	42%	.71	2%	2.3
OHIO Defense	13	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.4	34%	32%	.26	3%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense	14	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.18	1.6	35%	42%	.44	2%	1.6
OHIO Offense	13	45%	39%	18.5	31	232.6	7.5	12.6	18	13	.19	1.7	33%	32%	.33	2%	1.7

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: NR
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Bowling Green's 2016 Expected Record: -
Bowling Green's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.6 #93
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #93
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.8 #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: Ohio: 1.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -6.6 Ohio: -2.1

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 1.45 NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.1 #75
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #110
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2016 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 29
Bowling Green 22

Projected Total Points: 51

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 2
Over/Under Record: 2 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Ohio	35	Bowling Green	20	Ohio -7.5	Ohio	49.5	Over
2023	09/23	Bowling Green	7	Ohio	38	Ohio -13	Ohio	45.0	Push
2022	11/22	Ohio	38	Bowling Green	14	Ohio -5.5	Ohio	52.5	Under
2021	11/26	Bowling Green	21	Ohio	10	Ohio -6	Bowling Green	48.0	Under
2020	11/28	Ohio	52	Bowling Green	10	Ohio -22.5	Ohio	55.0	Over
2019	11/19	Bowling Green	24	Ohio	66	Ohio -21	Ohio	55.5	Over
2018	10/20	Ohio	49	Bowling Green	14	Ohio -16.5	Ohio	67.0	Under
2017	10/14	Bowling Green	30	Ohio	48	Ohio -9.5	Ohio	62.0	Over
2016	10/08	Ohio	30	Bowling Green	24	Ohio -15.5	Bowling Green	60.0	Under
2015	11/04	Bowling Green	62	Ohio	24	Bowling Green -13.5	Bowling Green	66.0	Over
2014	10/11	Ohio	13	Bowling Green	31	Ohio -2	Bowling Green	0
2013	11/12	Bowling Green	49	Ohio	0	Bowling Green -9	Bowling Green	0
2012	11/07	Ohio	14	Bowling Green	26
2011	11/16	Bowling Green	28	Ohio	29
2010	10/09	Ohio	49	Bowling Green	25
2009	10/03	Bowling Green	37	Ohio	44
2008	11/08	Ohio	3	Bowling Green	28
2007	10/27	Bowling Green	27	Ohio	38
2006	09/30	Ohio	9	Bowling Green	21
2005	10/08	Bowling Green	38	Ohio	14
2004	10/23	Ohio	16	Bowling Green	41
2002	10/05	Bowling Green	72	Ohio	21
2001	11/10	Ohio	0	Bowling Green	17
2000	11/10	Bowling Green	21	Ohio	23

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio	13	7	5 Overs
Bowling Green	11	5	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 13	7 - 5	6 - 2	1 - 3
Road Teams	13 - 11	5 - 7	3 - 1	2 - 6

(#) BGSU at (#) OHIO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	BGSU	OHIO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#75
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#98	#107
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Bowling Green Injury Report

Ohio Injury Report

Bowling Green on Offense


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	OHIO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#93	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Bowling Green Run Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game


CategoryCat	BGSU Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ohio on Offense


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BGSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#87
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio Run Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ohio Pass Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Ohio -15.5 (60.0)
Ohio won vs Bowling Green this year (30-24)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Bowling Green last year (35-20)
Ohio beat Bowling Green in 2023 (38-7)

BGSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

OHIO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD