Georgia State at Troy - 2016 Matchup Preview
Georgia State logo   Georgia State Panthers at Troy Trojans  Troy logo
Saturday, October 15th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Troy -16.5 (54.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Troy 31 - Georgia State: 21  (Sun Belt)

 
Panthers (3 - 9) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 20 - 38 (18 - 45 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TROY coming off BYE
Our Line: -9  (SP+ TROY -13)
Projected Score: GAST: 21 - TROY: 33 (54)
TROY Win prob: 90% | Cover: 54%
GAST Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Georgia State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Georgia State vs Ball State+5.556.0L 21 - 31UN
Sat 9/10 Georgia State at Air Force+22.552.5L 14 - 48ON
Sat 9/17 Georgia State at Wisconsin+30.051.5L 17 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 Georgia State at App State+21.052.0L 3 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Georgia State vs Texas State-8.558.0W 41 - 21OY
Sat 10/15 Georgia State at Troy+16.554.0L 21 - 31UY
Sat 10/22 Georgia State vs UT Martin-12.5
Sat 10/29 Georgia State at South Alabama+3.547.5L 10 - 13UY
Thu 11/3 Georgia State vs Arkansas State+2.048.0L 16 - 31UN
Sat 11/12 Georgia State vs UL Monroe-12.551.5L 23 - 37ON
Sat 11/19 Georgia State vs Georgia Southern+3.547.5W 30 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/3 Georgia State at Idaho+7.053.5L 12 - 37UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Georgia State's Schedule
Troy's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Troy vs Austin Peay-37.0
Sat 9/10 Troy at Clemson+34.062.0L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/17 Troy at Southern Miss+11.561.0W 37 - 31OY
Sat 9/24 Troy vs New Mexico State-17.566.0W 52 - 6UY
Sat 10/1 Troy at Idaho-13.557.5W 34 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Troy vs Georgia State-16.554.0W 31 - 21UN
Thu 10/20 Troy at South Alabama-9.049.0W 28 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Troy vs Massachusetts-23.056.5W 52 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Troy vs App State-1.549.0W 28 - 24OY
Thu 11/17 Troy vs Arkansas State-8.553.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 11/26 Troy at Texas State-26.557.5W 40 - 7UY
Sat 12/3 Troy at Georgia Southern-9.053.0L 24 - 28UN
Fri 12/23 Troy vs Ohio-5.050.0W 28 - 23ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST.242%19.837%2.339745%3363.78.1345%37.843%44%3.1165.51.81.7
TROY.1643%23.540%2.4311943%2412.93.1946%23.946%43%3.3557.61.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
GAST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Offense1319.81842.4%3.781.820433973363.140%58%37%45%2%.2
TROY Defense1223.922.845.5%3.351.6 - - - - - 59%39%46%43%1%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
GAST Defense1337.845.344.8%3.111.7 - - - - - 53%45%43%44%2%.13
TROY Offense1223.525.343.1%2.931.6193601192413.841%56%40%43%3%.16

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Georgia State1329:0120.144%11%7.165.51.81.700225.8
Troy1226:1718.835%37%6.757.61.61.600230.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Offense1340%37%31.396.93.115-.122.3360%0%0.75
TROY Defense1259%46% - - - - .133.0272%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
GAST Defense1353%43% - - - - .12.9371%0%0.88
TROY Offense1241%40%31.8119.13.814.022.4362%0%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Offense1358%45%23.738.2335.98.814.22812.421.832%41%.442%1.8
TROY Defense1239%43% - - - - - - 6.311.731%29%.241%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
GAST Defense1345%44% - - - - - - 15.181.429%30%.122%1.6
TROY Offense1256%43%20.834.8240.86.911.62111.291.532%30%.33%1.8

Georgia State's Power Ratings
Georgia State's Power Rating: NR
Georgia State's Offense Rating: NR
Georgia State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Georgia State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Georgia State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.1  #108
Georgia State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.3  #122
Georgia State's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.7  #49

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Georgia State:    Troy: 3.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Georgia State: -12.1   Troy: 1.1




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 3.05 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2016 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1  #63
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #87
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #43

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Georgia State Scoring
Offense: 19.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 18
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 45.3

Georgia State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 33
Georgia State 21

Projected Total Points: 54
Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Troy31Georgia State19Troy -9.5Troy51.0Under
202309/30Georgia State7Troy28Georgia State -1Troy50.5Under
202111/27Georgia State37Troy10Georgia State -6.5Georgia State49.5Under
202010/24Troy34Georgia State36Troy -1.5Georgia State68.5Over
201910/26Georgia State52Troy33Troy -1Georgia State67.0Over
201810/04Troy37Georgia State20Troy -17Push55.5Over
201710/21Georgia State10Troy34Troy -7Troy51.5Under
201610/15Troy31Georgia State21Troy -16.5Georgia State54.0Under
201511/27Georgia State31Troy21Georgia State -1Georgia State56.0Under
201411/08Troy45Georgia State21Troy -8.5Troy0
201310/12Georgia State28Troy35Troy -16Georgia State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy743 Overs
Georgia State466 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 46 - 44 - 32 - 1
Road Teams4 - 74 - 61 - 23 - 4

(#) GAST at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatGASTTROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #108 #63
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #122 #100
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Georgia State on Offense
CategoryCat
GAST OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #122 #43
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Georgia State Run Game
CategoryCat
GAST OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Georgia State Pass Game
CategoryCat
GAST OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffGAST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #49
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffGAST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffGAST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

GAST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Troy -16.5 (54.0)
Troy won vs Georgia State this year (31-21)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Georgia State last year (31-19)
Troy beat Georgia State in 2023 (28-7)

  
GAST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Georgia State's Full Roster

GAST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD