Texas State at Ohio - 2016 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 3rd 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Ohio -19 (58.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Texas State 56 - Ohio: 54

Bobcats (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 29 (34 - 33 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -14 (SP+ OHIO -23)
Projected Score: TXST: 28 - OHIO: 31 (59)
OHIO Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
TXST Travel: 1108 miles, 1 hrs behind

Bobcats (8 - 6) (6 - 6 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TXST Players
OHIO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Texas State at Ohio	+19.0	58.5	W 56 - 54	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Texas State at Arkansas	+32.5	59.5	L 3 - 42	U	N
Sat 9/24	Texas State vs Houston	+33.0	63.5	L 3 - 64	O	N
Sat 10/1	Texas State vs Incarnate Word	-17.0
Sat 10/8	Texas State at Georgia State	+8.5	58.0	L 21 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/15	Texas State at UL Monroe	+4.5	66.5	L 34 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/22	Texas State vs Louisiana	+11.5	65.0	L 3 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Texas State at App State	+30.0	53.0	L 10 - 35	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Texas State vs Idaho	+8.0	62.0	L 14 - 47	U	N
Sat 11/19	Texas State at New Mexico State	+6.5	66.0	L 10 - 50	U	N
Sat 11/26	Texas State vs Troy	+26.5	57.5	L 7 - 40	U	N
Sat 12/3	Texas State vs Arkansas State	+21.5	54.0	L 14 - 36	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas State's Schedule

Ohio's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Ohio vs Texas State	-19.0	58.5	L 54 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/10	Ohio at Kansas	-9.0	61.0	W 37 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Ohio at Tennessee	+27.5	57.5	L 19 - 28	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Ohio vs Gardner-Webb	-27.0
Sat 10/1	Ohio at Miami (OH)	-3.5	50.0	W 17 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Ohio vs Bowling Green	-15.5	60.0	W 30 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/15	Ohio vs Eastern Michigan	-10.0	54.0	L 20 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/22	Ohio at Kent State	-4.0	43.5	W 14 - 10	U	N
Thu 10/27	Ohio at Toledo	+17.5	57.0	W 31 - 26	U	Y
Thu 11/3	Ohio vs Buffalo	-19.0	51.5	W 34 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/15	Ohio at Central Michigan	+1.0	51.0	L 20 - 27	U	N
Tue 11/22	Ohio vs Akron	-7.5	53.0	W 9 - 3	U	N
Fri 12/2	Ohio vs Western Michigan	+17.0	58.0	L 23 - 29	U	Y
Fri 12/23	Ohio vs Troy	+5.0	50.0	L 23 - 28	O	Y

Important Stats (2015)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST	.13	42%	36.5	44%	2.75	187	38%	227	3.63	.33	49%	29	48%	48%	4.14	54	1.8	1.2
OHIO	.13	41%	27.8	41%	3.1	181	39%	233	3.2	.1	39%	21.9	36%	40%	3.7	66.8	1.3	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TXST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
OHIO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2015

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Offense	12	36.5	34.2	41.8%	3.63	1.8	21	415	187	227	4.8	52%	46%	44%	38%	2%	.13
OHIO Defense	13	21.9	20	39.4%	3.7	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	36%	40%	3%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TXST Defense	12	29	32.8	48.6%	4.14	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	58%	41%	48%	48%	3%	.33
OHIO Offense	13	27.8	36.3	41.3%	3.2	1.3	22	414	181	233	4.3	53%	45%	41%	39%	2%	.13

Additional Stats 2015

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas State	12	28:57	21.3	36%	62%	6.1	54	1.8	1.2	0	0	2	28.2
Ohio	13	32:16	21.9	41%	55%	6.9	66.8	1.3	1.7	0	0	3	30.6

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Offense	12	52%	44%	39.2	187.3	4.8	24	.15	2.75	66%	0%	1.04
OHIO Defense	13	47%	36%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.54	66%	0%	1.16

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TXST Defense	12	58%	48%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.24	69%	0%	1.05
OHIO Offense	13	53%	41%	42.1	180.9	4.3	22	.09	3.1	75%	0%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Offense	12	46%	38%	20.8	35.9	227.4	6.3	11	15	12	.11	1.6	34%	33%	.3	2%	1.9
OHIO Defense	13	51%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.15	1.4	34%	32%	.26	3%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TXST Defense	12	41%	48%	-	-	-	-	-	-	3	.51	1.8	27%	44%	.59	3%	1.8
OHIO Offense	13	45%	39%	18.5	31	232.6	7.5	12.6	18	13	.19	1.7	33%	32%	.33	2%	1.7

Texas State's Power Ratings
Texas State's Power Rating: NR
Texas State's Offense Rating: NR
Texas State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Texas State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Texas State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -25.5 #127
Texas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.4 #120
Texas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.5 #126

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas State: Ohio: 1.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas State: -25.5 Ohio: -2.1

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 1.45 NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.1 #75
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #110
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Texas State Scoring
Offense: 36.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.2
Defense: 29 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas State's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio 31
Texas State 28

Projected Total Points: 59

Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 2
Over/Under Record: 2 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2016	09/03	Ohio	54	Texas State	56	Ohio -19	Texas State	58.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Ohio	0	0	1 Overs
Texas State	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) TXST at (#) OHIO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TXST	OHIO
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#127	#75
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#112	#107
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Texas State Injury Report

Ohio Injury Report

Texas State on Offense


CategoryCat	TXST Off	OHIO Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#120	#45
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Texas State Run Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	OHIO Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Texas State Pass Game


CategoryCat	TXST Off	OHIO Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Ohio on Offense


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	TXST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#110	#126
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio Run Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	TXST Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Ohio Pass Game


CategoryCat	OHIO Off	TXST Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

TXST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Ohio -19.0 (58.5)
Texas State won at Ohio this year (56-54)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

TXST's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Texas State's Full Roster

TXST's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

OHIO's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio's Full Roster

OHIO's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD