Ohio at Toledo - 2016 Matchup Preview
Ohio logo   Ohio Bobcats at Toledo Rockets  Toledo logo
Thursday, October 27th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Toledo -17.5 (57.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ohio 31 - Toledo: 26  (Mid-American)

 
Bobcats (8 - 6) (6 - 6 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (21 - 26 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OHIO 2nd straight Road Game
TOL 3rd straight Home Game
TOL is playing their 5th straight game
OHIO is playing their 9th straight game
Our Line: -9.5  (SP+ TOL -14)
Projected Score: OHIO: 18 - TOL: 31 (49)
TOL Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
OHIO Travel: 180 miles
Rockets (9 - 4) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 13 (46 - 8 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Ohio's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ohio vs Texas State-19.058.5L 54 - 56ON
Sat 9/10 Ohio at Kansas-9.061.0W 37 - 21UY
Sat 9/17 Ohio at Tennessee+27.557.5L 19 - 28UY
Sat 9/24 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-27.0
Sat 10/1 Ohio at Miami (OH)-3.550.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 10/8 Ohio vs Bowling Green-15.560.0W 30 - 24UN
Sat 10/15 Ohio vs Eastern Michigan-10.054.0L 20 - 27UN
Sat 10/22 Ohio at Kent State-4.043.5W 14 - 10UN
Thu 10/27 Ohio at Toledo+17.557.0W 31 - 26UY
Thu 11/3 Ohio vs Buffalo-19.051.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/15 Ohio at Central Michigan+1.051.0L 20 - 27UN
Tue 11/22 Ohio vs Akron-7.553.0W 9 - 3UN
Fri 12/2 Ohio vs Western Michigan+17.058.0L 23 - 29UY
Fri 12/23 Ohio vs Troy+5.050.0L 23 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Toledo's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Toledo at Arkansas State+2.564.0W 31 - 10UY
Sat 9/10 Toledo vs Maine-30.0
Sat 9/17 Toledo vs Fresno State-20.057.5W 52 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/30 Toledo at BYU+4.551.0L 53 - 55OY
Sat 10/8 Toledo at Eastern Michigan-17.565.5W 35 - 20UN
Sat 10/15 Toledo vs Bowling Green-24.071.0W 42 - 35ON
Sat 10/22 Toledo vs Central Michigan-10.061.5W 31 - 17UY
Thu 10/27 Toledo vs Ohio-17.557.0L 26 - 31UN
Wed 11/2 Toledo at Akron-8.072.0W 48 - 17UY
Wed 11/9 Toledo vs Northern Illinois-7.569.5W 31 - 24UN
Wed 11/16 Toledo vs Ball State-19.068.5W 37 - 19UN
Fri 11/25 Toledo at Western Michigan+9.571.5L 35 - 55ON
Sat 12/17 Toledo vs App State-2.560.0L 28 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Toledo's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO.1341%27.841%3.118139%2333.2.139%21.936%40%3.766.81.31.7
TOL.2244%30.842%2.7820843%2533.53.0340%13.340%38%2.2968.21.21.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TOL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Offense1327.82141.3%3.21.3224141812334.353%45%41%39%2%.13
TOL Defense1213.37.739.8%2.291.8 - - - - - 41%56%40%38%2%.03
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
OHIO Defense1321.925.839.4%3.71.7 - - - - - 47%51%36%40%3%.1
TOL Offense1230.845.843.9%3.531.2224612082535.151%46%42%43%2%.22

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ohio1332:1621.941%55%6.966.81.31.700330.6
Toledo1229:3222.346%45%868.21.21.800131.8
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Offense1353%41%42.1180.94.322.093.175%0%0.85
TOL Defense1241%40% - - - - -.062.2882%0%0.78
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
OHIO Defense1347%36% - - - - .052.5466%0%1.16
TOL Offense1251%42%41207.95.126.132.7864%0%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Offense1345%39%18.531232.67.512.61813.191.733%32%.332%1.7
TOL Defense1256%38% - - - - - - 12.131.538%33%.232%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
OHIO Defense1351%40% - - - - - - 12.151.434%32%.263%1.7
TOL Offense1246%43%19.334.32537.413.12410.351.633%38%.432%1.8

Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.1  #75
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0  #110
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #45

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio:    Toledo: 8.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio: -2.1   Toledo: 12.3




Toledo's Power Ratings
Toledo's Power Rating: 8.65 NR
Toledo's Offense Rating: NR
Toledo's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Toledo's 2016 Expected Record: -
Toledo's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.3  #26
Toledo's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.6  #10
Toledo's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4  #54

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 21
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Ohio's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 2
Over/Under Record: 2 - 12
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Toledo 31
Ohio 18

Projected Total Points: 49
Toledo Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 45.8
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Toledo's 2016 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/20Toledo7Ohio24Toledo -1.5Ohio47.0Under
202212/03Ohio7Toledo17Toledo -3.5Toledo54.5Under
202111/16Ohio23Toledo35Toledo -7.5Toledo57.5Over
201711/08Ohio38Toledo10Toledo -3Ohio63.5Under
201610/27Toledo26Ohio31Toledo -17.5Ohio57.0Push
201009/11Ohio13Toledo20
200710/20Toledo43Ohio40
200511/04Ohio21Toledo30
200410/16Toledo31Ohio13
200110/06Ohio41Toledo48
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Toledo721 Overs
Ohio333 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 71 - 40 - 21 - 2
Road Teams7 - 34 - 12 - 12 - 0

(#) OHIO at (#) TOL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatOHIOTOL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #26
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #107 #77
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCat
OHIO OffTOL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #54
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffTOL Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffTOL Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Toledo on Offense
CategoryCatTOL OffOHIO Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #10 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Toledo Run Game
CategoryCat
TOL OffOHIO Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Toledo Pass Game
CategoryCatTOL OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TOL 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

OHIO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Glass Bowl
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Toledo -17.5 (57.0)
Ohio won at Toledo this year (31-26)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Toledo in 2024 (24-7)

  
OHIO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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OHIO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TOL's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Toledo's Full Roster

TOL's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD