Buffalo at Ohio - 2016 Matchup Preview
Buffalo logo   Buffalo Bulls at Ohio Bobcats  Ohio logo
Thursday, November 3rd 2016 (6:00 PM EDT)
Ohio -19 (51.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Ohio 34 - Buffalo: 10  (Mid-American)

 
Bulls (2 - 10) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 23 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
OHIO is playing their 10th straight game
BUFF is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ OHIO -17)
Projected Score: BUFF: 22 - OHIO: 28 (50)
OHIO Win prob: 91% | Cover: 51%
BUFF Travel: 307 miles
Bobcats (8 - 6) (6 - 6 - 2)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (36 - 20 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Buffalo's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Buffalo vs UAlbany-23.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17 Buffalo at Nevada+9.049.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/24 Buffalo vs Army+16.050.5W 23 - 20UY
Sat 10/1 Buffalo at Boston College+20.040.0L 3 - 35UN
Sat 10/8 Buffalo vs Kent State-2.042.5L 20 - 44ON
Sat 10/15 Buffalo vs Ball State+9.052.5L 21 - 31UN
Sat 10/22 Buffalo at Northern Illinois+20.061.0L 7 - 44UN
Thu 10/27 Buffalo vs Akron+14.563.0W 41 - 20UY
Thu 11/3 Buffalo at Ohio+19.051.5L 10 - 34UN
Sat 11/12 Buffalo vs Miami (OH)+12.050.5L 24 - 35OY
Sat 11/19 Buffalo at Western Michigan+34.055.5L 0 - 38UN
Fri 11/25 Buffalo at Bowling Green+11.060.0L 19 - 27UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Buffalo's Schedule
Ohio's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Ohio vs Texas State-19.058.5L 54 - 56ON
Sat 9/10 Ohio at Kansas-9.061.0W 37 - 21UY
Sat 9/17 Ohio at Tennessee+27.557.5L 19 - 28UY
Sat 9/24 Ohio vs Gardner-Webb-27.0
Sat 10/1 Ohio at Miami (OH)-3.550.0W 17 - 7UY
Sat 10/8 Ohio vs Bowling Green-15.560.0W 30 - 24UN
Sat 10/15 Ohio vs Eastern Michigan-10.054.0L 20 - 27UN
Sat 10/22 Ohio at Kent State-4.043.5W 14 - 10UN
Thu 10/27 Ohio at Toledo+17.557.0W 31 - 26UY
Thu 11/3 Ohio vs Buffalo-19.051.5W 34 - 10UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/15 Ohio at Central Michigan+1.051.0L 20 - 27UN
Tue 11/22 Ohio vs Akron-7.553.0W 9 - 3UN
Fri 12/2 Ohio vs Western Michigan+17.058.0L 23 - 29UY
Fri 12/23 Ohio vs Troy+5.050.0L 23 - 28OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF.1543%2440%2.9613745%2503.3.143%23.544%41%3.19641.71.7
OHIO.1341%27.841%3.118139%2333.2.139%21.936%40%3.766.81.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BUFF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
OHIO0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Offense122423.243.5%3.31.7213861372503.945%53%40%45%3%.15
OHIO Defense1321.92039.4%3.71.7 - - - - - 47%51%36%40%3%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BUFF Defense1223.522.643.2%3.191.7 - - - - - 52%46%44%41%2%.1
OHIO Offense1327.836.341.3%3.21.3224141812334.353%45%41%39%2%.13

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Buffalo1231:0420.536%65%7641.71.700628.5
Ohio1332:1621.941%55%6.966.81.31.700330.6
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Offense1245%40%35.4136.93.917.062.9674%0%0.87
OHIO Defense1347%36% - - - - .052.5466%0%1.16
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BUFF Defense1252%44% - - - - .132.9268%0%1.03
OHIO Offense1353%41%42.1180.94.322.093.175%0%0.85

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Offense1253%45%23.637.9249.56.610.61616.251.434%33%.253%1.5
OHIO Defense1351%40% - - - - - - 12.151.434%32%.263%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BUFF Defense1246%41% - - - - - - 13.091.631%33%.32%1.9
OHIO Offense1345%39%18.531232.67.512.61813.191.733%32%.332%1.7

Buffalo's Power Ratings
Buffalo's Power Rating: NR
Buffalo's Offense Rating: NR
Buffalo's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Buffalo's 2016 Expected Record: -
Buffalo's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.8  #123
Buffalo's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8  #124
Buffalo's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.5  #94

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Buffalo:    Ohio: 1.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Buffalo: -18.8   Ohio: -2.1




Ohio's Power Ratings
Ohio's Power Rating: 1.45 NR
Ohio's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #107
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Ohio's 2016 Expected Record: -
Ohio's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.1  #75
Ohio's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0  #110
Ohio's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8  #45

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Buffalo Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Buffalo's 2016 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 9
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Ohio 28
Buffalo 22

Projected Total Points: 50
Ohio Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.3
Defense: 21.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

Ohio's 2016 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 2
Over/Under Record: 2 - 12
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/28Buffalo26Ohio31Ohio -7.0Buffalo44.5Over
202410/26Ohio47Buffalo16Ohio -4.0Ohio46.5Over
202311/07Buffalo10Ohio20Ohio -9.5Ohio45.5Under
202211/01Ohio45Buffalo24Buffalo -2.5Ohio61.0Over
202110/16Buffalo27Ohio26Buffalo -7.5Ohio54.5Under
201910/05Buffalo20Ohio21Ohio -3Buffalo53.0Under
201811/14Ohio52Buffalo17Ohio -2.5Ohio66.0Over
201711/24Buffalo31Ohio24Ohio -7Buffalo56.0Under
201611/03Ohio34Buffalo10Ohio -19Ohio51.5Under
201510/24Buffalo41Ohio17Ohio -2Buffalo53.0Over
201411/05Ohio37Buffalo14Ohio -2Ohio0
201311/05Buffalo30Ohio3Buffalo -2.5Buffalo0
201210/06Ohio38Buffalo31
201110/08Buffalo38Ohio37
201011/04Ohio34Buffalo17
200911/10Buffalo24Ohio27
200810/28Ohio19Buffalo32
200710/06Buffalo31Ohio10
200610/21Ohio42Buffalo7
200510/29Buffalo20Ohio34
200409/25Ohio34Buffalo0
200310/25Buffalo26Ohio17
200209/28Ohio34Buffalo32
200111/03Buffalo44Ohio0
200010/06Ohio42Buffalo20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ohio1675 Overs
Buffalo955 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams19 - 610 - 25 - 15 - 1
Road Teams6 - 192 - 101 - 51 - 5

(#) BUFF at (#) OHIO
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBUFFOHIO
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #123 #75
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #116 #107
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Buffalo on Offense
CategoryCat
BUFF OffOHIO Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #124 #45
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Buffalo Run Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffOHIO Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Buffalo Pass Game
CategoryCat
BUFF OffOHIO Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Ohio on Offense
CategoryCatOHIO OffBUFF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #110 #94
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Ohio Run Game
CategoryCat
OHIO OffBUFF Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Ohio Pass Game
CategoryCatOHIO OffBUFF Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
OHIO 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

BUFF 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Peden Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Ohio -19.0 (51.5)
Ohio won vs Buffalo this year (34-10)

Previous Matchups
Ohio beat Buffalo last year (31-26)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2024 (47-16)
Ohio beat Buffalo in 2023 (20-10)

  
BUFF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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BUFF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

OHIO's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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OHIO's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD