Troy at South Alabama - 2016 Matchup Preview
Troy logo   Troy Trojans at South Alabama Jaguars  South Alabama logo
Thursday, October 20th 2016 (7:30 PM EDT)
Troy -9 (49.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Troy 28 - South Alabama: 21  (Sun Belt)

 
Trojans (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -3  (SP+ TROY -10.5)
Projected Score: TROY: 27 - USA: 26 (53)
TROY Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TROY Travel: 148 miles
Jaguars (6 - 7) (3 - 10 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 27 - 30 (28 - 29 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Troy vs Austin Peay-37.0
Sat 9/10 Troy at Clemson+34.062.0L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/17 Troy at Southern Miss+11.561.0W 37 - 31OY
Sat 9/24 Troy vs New Mexico State-17.566.0W 52 - 6UY
Sat 10/1 Troy at Idaho-13.557.5W 34 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Troy vs Georgia State-16.554.0W 31 - 21UN
Thu 10/20 Troy at South Alabama-9.049.0W 28 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Troy vs Massachusetts-23.056.5W 52 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Troy vs App State-1.549.0W 28 - 24OY
Thu 11/17 Troy vs Arkansas State-8.553.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 11/26 Troy at Texas State-26.557.5W 40 - 7UY
Sat 12/3 Troy at Georgia Southern-9.053.0L 24 - 28UN
Fri 12/23 Troy vs Ohio-5.050.0W 28 - 23ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
South Alabama's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 South Alabama at Mississippi State+34.052.0W 21 - 20UY
Sat 9/10 South Alabama vs Georgia Southern+11.557.5L 9 - 24UN
Sat 9/17 South Alabama at Louisiana+3.553.0L 23 - 28UN
Sat 9/24 South Alabama vs Nicholls-16.5
Sat 10/1 South Alabama vs San Diego State+17.549.0W 42 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 South Alabama at Arkansas State+6.054.5L 7 - 17UN
Thu 10/20 South Alabama vs Troy+9.049.0L 21 - 28UY
Sat 10/29 South Alabama vs Georgia State-3.547.5W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/5 South Alabama at UL Monroe-13.549.5L 35 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 South Alabama vs Presbyterian-31.0
Sat 11/26 South Alabama at Idaho+2.553.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 12/3 South Alabama vs New Mexico State-12.057.5W 35 - 28ON
Fri 12/30 South Alabama vs Air Force+14.054.0L 21 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Alabama's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1643%23.540%2.4311943%2412.93.1946%23.946%43%3.3557.61.61.6
USA.0740%26.542%2.7816136%2002.89.1944%30.443%42%4.2357.82.11.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1223.523.443.1%2.931.6193601192413.841%56%40%43%3%.16
USA Defense1230.428.843.5%4.231.7 - - - - - 57%42%43%42%2%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1223.925.945.5%3.351.6 - - - - - 59%39%46%43%1%.19
USA Offense1226.527.840.2%2.892.118360161200454%45%42%36%2%.07

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1226:1718.835%37%6.757.61.61.600230.3
South Alabama1228:2518.135%44%6.857.82.11.700128.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1241%40%31.8119.13.814.022.4362%0%0.9
USA Defense1257%43% - - - - .122.8467%0%1.05
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1259%46% - - - - .133.0272%0%0.85
USA Offense1254%42%40.1160.7418.062.7875%0%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1256%43%20.834.8240.86.911.62111.291.532%30%.33%1.8
USA Defense1242%42% - - - - - - 10.291.633%32%.382%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1239%43% - - - - - - 6.311.731%29%.241%1.8
USA Offense1245%36%15.329.3199.56.8131516.111.734%32%.192%1.7

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2016 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1  #63
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #87
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #43

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    South Alabama: -2.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 1.1   South Alabama: -9.4




South Alabama's Power Ratings
South Alabama's Power Rating: -2.2 NR
South Alabama's Offense Rating: NR
South Alabama's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
South Alabama's 2016 Expected Record: -
South Alabama's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4  #100
South Alabama's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.2  #90
South Alabama's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #92

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 27
South Alabama 26

Projected Total Points: 53
South Alabama Scoring
Offense: 26.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.8
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

South Alabama's 2016 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Troy31South Alabama24South Alabama -2.5Troy46.5Over
202410/15South Alabama25Troy9South Alabama -10South Alabama53.0Under
202311/02Troy28South Alabama10Troy -5.5Troy44.5Under
202210/20South Alabama6Troy10South Alabama -3Troy47.0Under
202111/06Troy31South Alabama24Troy -3.5Troy47.5Over
202012/05South Alabama0Troy29Troy -4.5Troy53.5Under
201910/16Troy37South Alabama13Troy -17.5Troy55.5Under
201810/23South Alabama17Troy38Troy -11Troy52.5Over
201710/11Troy8South Alabama19Troy -18South Alabama51.5Under
201610/20South Alabama21Troy28Troy -9South Alabama49.0Push
201510/03Troy18South Alabama24Troy -3South Alabama61.5Under
201410/24South Alabama27Troy13South Alabama -12South Alabama0
201310/05Troy34South Alabama33Troy -2.5South Alabama0
201209/29South Alabama10Troy31
TeamWinsCoversO/U
South Alabama463 Overs
Troy1077 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 77 - 65 - 42 - 2
Road Teams7 - 76 - 72 - 24 - 5

(#) TROY at (#) USA
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYUSA
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #100
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #100 #102
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSA Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #92
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSA Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSA Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
South Alabama on Offense
CategoryCatUSA OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #90 #43
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Alabama Run Game
CategoryCat
USA OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
South Alabama Pass Game
CategoryCatUSA OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USA 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ladd Peebles Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Troy 9.0 (49.0)
Troy won at South Alabama this year (28-21)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat South Alabama last year (31-24)
South Alabama beat Troy in 2024 (25-9)
Troy beat South Alabama in 2023 (28-10)

  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USA's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View South Alabama's Full Roster

USA's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD