App State at Troy - 2016 Matchup Preview
App State logo   App State Mountaineers at Troy Trojans  Troy logo
Saturday, November 12th 2016 (3:30 PM EST)
Troy -1.5 (49.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Troy 28 - App State: 24  (Sun Belt)

 
Mountaineers (10 - 3) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (22 - 37 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TROY 2nd straight Home Game
APP is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ APP -8)
Projected Score: APP: 23 - TROY: 29 (52)
TROY Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
APP Travel: 391 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Trojans (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (25 - 23 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
App State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 App State at Tennessee+23.058.0L 13 - 20UY
Sat 9/10 App State vs Old Dominion-21.054.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/17 App State vs Miami+4.050.5L 10 - 45ON
Sat 9/24 App State at Akron-7.056.0W 45 - 38ON
Sat 10/1 App State vs Georgia State-21.052.0W 17 - 3UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/12 App State at Louisiana-10.550.0W 24 - 0UY
Sat 10/22 App State vs Idaho-22.053.0W 37 - 19ON
Thu 10/27 App State at Georgia Southern-4.046.5W 34 - 10UY
Sat 11/5 App State vs Texas State-30.053.0W 35 - 10UN
Sat 11/12 App State at Troy+1.549.0L 24 - 28ON
Sat 11/19 App State vs UL Monroe-27.552.0W 42 - 17ON
Sat 11/26 App State at New Mexico State-17.060.0W 37 - 7UY
Sat 12/17 App State vs Toledo+2.560.0W 31 - 28UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for App State's Schedule
Troy's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Troy vs Austin Peay-37.0
Sat 9/10 Troy at Clemson+34.062.0L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/17 Troy at Southern Miss+11.561.0W 37 - 31OY
Sat 9/24 Troy vs New Mexico State-17.566.0W 52 - 6UY
Sat 10/1 Troy at Idaho-13.557.5W 34 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Troy vs Georgia State-16.554.0W 31 - 21UN
Thu 10/20 Troy at South Alabama-9.049.0W 28 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Troy vs Massachusetts-23.056.5W 52 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Troy vs App State-1.549.0W 28 - 24OY
Thu 11/17 Troy vs Arkansas State-8.553.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 11/26 Troy at Texas State-26.557.5W 40 - 7UY
Sat 12/3 Troy at Georgia Southern-9.053.0L 24 - 28UN
Fri 12/23 Troy vs Ohio-5.050.0W 28 - 23ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP.2548%24.246%3.0927148%1964.29.0138%29.837%38%2.556.81.71.8
TROY.1643%23.540%2.4311943%2412.93.1946%23.946%43%3.3557.61.61.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
APP0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Offense1324.221.647.5%4.291.7224672711965.863%35%46%48%2%.25
TROY Defense1223.922.845.5%3.351.6 - - - - - 59%39%46%43%1%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
APP Defense1329.837.438.5%2.51.8 - - - - - 52%46%37%38%2%.01
TROY Offense1223.525.343.1%2.931.6193601192413.841%56%40%43%3%.16

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
App State1331:1722.543%63%6.556.81.71.800331.4
Troy1226:1718.835%37%6.757.61.61.600230.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Offense1363%46%46.5271.55.825.133.0972%0%0.88
TROY Defense1259%46% - - - - .133.0272%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
APP Defense1352%37% - - - - -.022.7274%0%0.82
TROY Offense1241%40%31.8119.13.814.022.4362%0%0.9

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Offense1335%48%13.822.8195.88.614.1339.471.930%32%.332%1.9
TROY Defense1239%43% - - - - - - 6.311.731%29%.241%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
APP Defense1346%38% - - - - - - 18.091.534%29%.192%1.8
TROY Offense1256%43%20.834.8240.86.911.62111.291.532%30%.33%1.8

App State's Power Ratings
App State's Power Rating: NR
App State's Offense Rating: NR
App State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
App State's 2016 Expected Record: -
App State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2  #43
App State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.0  #61
App State's Defense SP+ Rating: 20.5  #23

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
App State:    Troy: 3.05

SP+ Ratings Matchup
App State: 9.2   Troy: 1.1




Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: 3.05 NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Troy's 2016 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1  #63
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #87
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #43

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


App State Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.4

App State's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Troy 29
App State 23

Projected Total Points: 52
Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.3
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.8

Troy's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202312/02Troy49App State23Troy -6.5Troy51.5Over
202209/17App State32Troy28Appalachian State -14Troy52.0Over
202111/20Troy7App State45Appalachian State -10App State51.0Over
202011/28App State47Troy10Appalachian State -14App State50.5Over
201911/29Troy13App State48Appalachian State -11App State64.0Under
201811/24App State21Troy10Appalachian State -12Troy45.0Under
201611/12Troy28App State24Troy -1.5Troy49.0Over
201510/31App State44Troy41Appalachian State -24Troy55.0Over
201410/18Troy14App State53Troy -6App State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Troy256 Overs
App State742 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 33 - 63 - 40 - 2
Road Teams3 - 66 - 32 - 04 - 3

(#) APP at (#) TROY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAPPTROY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #43 #63
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #119 #100
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
App State on Offense
CategoryCat
APP OffTROY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #61 #43
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
App State Run Game
CategoryCat
APP OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
App State Pass Game
CategoryCat
APP OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCatTROY OffAPP Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #23
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffAPP Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCatTROY OffAPP Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

APP 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Veterans Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Troy -1.5 (49.0)
Troy won vs App State this year (28-24)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat App State in 2023 (49-23)

  
APP's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View App State's Full Roster

APP's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD