Troy at Southern Miss - 2016 Matchup Preview
Troy logo   Troy Trojans at Southern Miss Golden Eagles  Southern Miss logo
Saturday, September 17th 2016 (7:00 PM EDT)
Southern Mississippi -11.5 (61.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Troy 37 - Southern Miss: 31

 
Trojans (10 - 3) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 24 (23 - 26 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TROY 2nd straight Road Game
USM 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5  (SP+ TROY -0.5)
Projected Score: TROY: 26 - USM: 27 (53)
USM Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
TROY Travel: 202 miles
Golden Eagles (7 - 6) (4 - 8 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 27 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Troy's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Troy vs Austin Peay-37.0
Sat 9/10 Troy at Clemson+34.062.0L 24 - 30UY
Sat 9/17 Troy at Southern Miss+11.561.0W 37 - 31OY
Sat 9/24 Troy vs New Mexico State-17.566.0W 52 - 6UY
Sat 10/1 Troy at Idaho-13.557.5W 34 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Troy vs Georgia State-16.554.0W 31 - 21UN
Thu 10/20 Troy at South Alabama-9.049.0W 28 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Troy vs Massachusetts-23.056.5W 52 - 31ON
Sat 11/12 Troy vs App State-1.549.0W 28 - 24OY
Thu 11/17 Troy vs Arkansas State-8.553.5L 3 - 35UN
Sat 11/26 Troy at Texas State-26.557.5W 40 - 7UY
Sat 12/3 Troy at Georgia Southern-9.053.0L 24 - 28UN
Fri 12/23 Troy vs Ohio-5.050.0W 28 - 23ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Troy's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Southern Miss at Kentucky+7.562.0W 44 - 35OY
Sat 9/10 Southern Miss vs Savannah State-57.0
Sat 9/17 Southern Miss vs Troy-11.561.0L 31 - 37ON
Sat 9/24 Southern Miss at UTEP-10.058.5W 34 - 7UY
Sat 10/1 Southern Miss vs Rice-21.058.5W 44 - 28ON
Sat 10/8 Southern Miss at UTSA-14.553.0L 32 - 55ON
Sat 10/15 Southern Miss at LSU+21.055.0L 10 - 45UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Southern Miss vs Marshall-10.067.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 11/5 Southern Miss vs Charlotte-18.060.5L 27 - 38ON
Sat 11/12 Southern Miss at Old Dominion+2.063.5L 35 - 51ON
Sat 11/19 Southern Miss at North Texas-5.558.5L 23 - 29UN
Fri 11/25 Southern Miss vs Louisiana Tech+13.571.5W 39 - 24UY
Sat 12/17 Southern Miss vs Louisiana-2.057.0W 28 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY.1643%23.540%2.4311943%2412.93.1946%23.946%43%3.3557.61.61.6
USM.2744%28.840%2.8418045%3303.65.1139%27.439%37%3.2266.91.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TROY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
USM0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Offense1223.523.443.1%2.931.6193601192413.841%56%40%43%3%.16
USM Defense1427.427.339.4%3.221.8 - - - - - 47%50%39%37%3%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TROY Defense1223.925.945.5%3.351.6 - - - - - 59%39%46%43%1%.19
USM Offense1428.830.943.6%3.651.823510180330543%56%40%45%2%.27

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Troy1226:1718.835%37%6.757.61.61.600230.3
Southern Miss1430:1923.146%52%766.91.81.800432.3
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Offense1241%40%31.8119.13.814.022.4362%0%0.9
USM Defense1447%39% - - - - .042.5772%0%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TROY Defense1259%46% - - - - .133.0272%0%0.85
USM Offense1443%40%35.9179.8531.12.8465%0%1.04

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Offense1256%43%20.834.8240.86.911.62111.291.532%30%.33%1.8
USM Defense1450%37% - - - - - - 14.211.736%33%.273%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TROY Defense1239%43% - - - - - - 6.311.731%29%.241%1.8
USM Offense1456%45%24.137.9329.78.713.74012.431.931%38%.532%2.2

Troy's Power Ratings
Troy's Power Rating: NR
Troy's Offense Rating: NR
Troy's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Troy's 2016 Expected Record: -
Troy's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.1  #63
Troy's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #87
Troy's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.1  #43

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Troy:    Southern Miss: 2.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Troy: 1.1   Southern Miss: 0.7




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: 2.85 NR
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: NR
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Southern Miss's 2016 Expected Record: -
Southern Miss's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.7  #65
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.1  #67
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #78

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Troy Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.9

Troy's 2016 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Southern Miss 27
Troy 26

Projected Total Points: 53
Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.9
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Southern Miss's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Southern Miss18Troy28Southern Miss -6.5Troy50.5Under
202411/30Troy52Southern Miss20Troy -17.5Troy48.5Over
202311/25Southern Miss17Troy35Troy -16.5Troy48.5Over
202210/08Troy27Southern Miss10Troy -7Troy44.0Under
202109/18Southern Miss9Troy21Troy -11Troy49.0Under
201909/14Troy42Southern Miss47Troy -3Southern Miss49.0Over
201609/17Southern Miss31Troy37Southern Mississippi -11.5Troy61.0Over
200812/21Troy27Southern Miss30
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss214 Overs
Troy663 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 62 - 52 - 30 - 2
Road Teams6 - 25 - 22 - 03 - 2

(#) TROY at (#) USM
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTROYUSM
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #63 #65
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #100 #83
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Troy on Offense
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSM Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #87 #78
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Troy Run Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Troy Pass Game
CategoryCat
TROY OffUSM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Southern Miss on Offense
CategoryCatUSM OffTROY Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #43
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Southern Miss Run Game
CategoryCat
USM OffTROY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Southern Miss Pass Game
CategoryCatUSM OffTROY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
USM 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

TROY 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Southern Miss -11.5 (61.0)
Troy won at Southern Miss this year (37-31)

Previous Matchups
Troy beat Southern Miss last year (28-18)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2024 (52-20)
Troy beat Southern Miss in 2023 (35-17)

  
TROY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Troy's Full Roster

TROY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

USM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

USM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD