Wisconsin at Northwestern - 2016 Matchup Preview

Wisconsin Badgers at Northwestern Wildcats

Saturday, November 5th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -6.5 (41.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 21 - Northwestern: 7 (Big Ten)

Badgers (11 - 3) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 16 (25 - 11 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NW is playing their 4th straight game
WIS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ WIS -13)
Projected Score: WIS: 20 - NW: 20 (40)
WIS Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
WIS Travel: 112 miles

Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 22 (20 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
NW Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	43.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Wisconsin vs Akron	-24.0	45.5	W 54 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Wisconsin vs Georgia State	-30.0	51.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/24	Wisconsin at Michigan State	+6.0	42.5	W 30 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Wisconsin at Michigan	+10.0	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+9.5	46.0	L 23 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Wisconsin at Iowa	-2.5	43.0	W 17 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	44.0	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/5	Wisconsin at Northwestern	-6.5	41.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Wisconsin vs Illinois	-26.5	42.0	W 48 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Wisconsin at Purdue	-26.5	48.5	W 49 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	-14.0	42.5	W 31 - 17	O	N
Sat 12/3	Wisconsin vs Penn State	-1.0	47.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Mon 1/2	Wisconsin vs Western Michigan	-6.5	54.0	W 24 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Northwestern's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Northwestern vs Western Michigan	-6.5	53.5	L 21 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/10	Northwestern vs Illinois State	-12.5
Sat 9/17	Northwestern vs Duke	-4.0	44.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Northwestern vs Nebraska	+6.5	48.0	L 13 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/1	Northwestern at Iowa	+12.0	44.5	W 38 - 31	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Northwestern at Michigan State	+6.5	41.0	W 54 - 40	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Northwestern vs Indiana	-2.5	54.0	W 24 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Northwestern at Ohio State	+24.0	53.5	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Northwestern vs Wisconsin	+6.5	41.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/12	Northwestern at Purdue	-10.5	58.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Northwestern at Minnesota	+2.0	46.0	L 12 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/26	Northwestern vs Illinois	-15.0	48.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Wed 12/28	Northwestern vs Pittsburgh	+3.0	63.0	W 31 - 24	U	Y

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	.15	45%	28.4	42%	2.67	203	46%	179	3.77	.04	39%	15.6	39%	37%	2.41	32.5	1.1	2
NW	.12	40%	26	37%	2.66	153	43%	245	3.28	.09	42%	22.2	42%	41%	2.78	29.9	1.2	1.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1
NW	#129 (.02)	37% (123)		39% (113)	2.63 (124)	99	36% (116)	186	3.02 (127)	#57 (.15)	45% (106)		44% (80)	46% (117)	3.74 (64)	38.8	1.5	1.3

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	14	28.4	24.8	44.7%	3.77	1.1	20	382	203	179	4.3	62%	36%	42%	46%	13%	.15
NW Defense	13	22.2	17.7	42.4%	2.78	1.9	-	-	-	-	-	46%	52%	42%	41%	16%	.09

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	14	15.6	11.2	38.9%	2.41	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	39%	37%	20%	.04
NW Offense	13	26	19.7	40.3%	3.28	1.2	22	398	153	245	4	46%	53%	37%	43%	18%	.12

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	14	34:58	20.3	44%	50%	3.4	32.5	1.1	2	5.3	2.4	1	31.3
Northwestern	13	28:38	21.6	39%	53%	3.6	29.9	1.2	1.9	5.9	2.1	1	28.6

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	14	62%	42%	47	203.1	4.3	31	.05	2.67	78%	10%	0.88
NW Defense	13	46%	42%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.68	77%	9%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	14	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.55	69%	10%	0.73
NW Offense	13	46%	37%	38.5	153.2	4	22	.05	2.66	76%	11%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	14	36%	46%	14.4	23.1	179.1	7.8	12.4	14	10	.34	1.6	30%	37%	.3	4%	1.9
NW Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.15	1.4	33%	28%	.1	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	14	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	22	.12	1.5	35%	29%	.18	9%	1.7
NW Offense	13	53%	43%	21.7	37.2	245.1	6.6	11.3	22	9	.19	1.5	34%	30%	.25	8%	2

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wisconsin's 2016 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #16
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.8 #7

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: Northwestern: 3.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 16.1 Northwestern: 2.9

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 3.95 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2016 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #61
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.2

Wisconsin's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Wisconsin 20
Northwestern 20

Total Points: 40

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 22
Wisconsin 18

Total Points: 39

Based on Entire Season
Wisconsin 23
Northwestern 18

Total Points: 41

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Northwestern's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Northwestern	3	Wisconsin	23	Wisconsin -9.5	Wisconsin	42.5	Under
2023	11/11	Wisconsin	10	Northwestern	24	Wisconsin -9.5	Northwestern	43.5	Under
2022	10/08	Northwestern	7	Wisconsin	42	Wisconsin -10	Wisconsin	44.5	Over
2021	11/13	Wisconsin	35	Northwestern	7	Wisconsin -26.0	Wisconsin	41.5	Over
2020	11/21	Northwestern	17	Wisconsin	7	Wisconsin -7.5	Northwestern	43.0	Under
2019	09/28	Wisconsin	24	Northwestern	15	Wisconsin -23	Northwestern	46.0	Under
2018	10/27	Northwestern	31	Wisconsin	17	Wisconsin -4.5	Northwestern	50.0	Under
2017	09/30	Wisconsin	33	Northwestern	24	Wisconsin -16.5	Northwestern	50.5	Over
2016	11/05	Northwestern	7	Wisconsin	21	Wisconsin -6.5	Wisconsin	41.5	Under
2015	11/21	Wisconsin	7	Northwestern	13	Wisconsin -10.5	Northwestern	41.5	Under
2014	10/04	Northwestern	20	Wisconsin	14	Wisconsin -9.5	Northwestern	0
2013	10/12	Wisconsin	35	Northwestern	6	Wisconsin -10	Wisconsin	0
2010	11/27	Wisconsin	70	Northwestern	23
2009	11/21	Northwestern	33	Wisconsin	31
2006	10/07	Wisconsin	41	Northwestern	9
2005	10/08	Northwestern	51	Wisconsin	48
2004	10/23	Wisconsin	24	Northwestern	12
2003	10/25	Northwestern	16	Wisconsin	7
2000	09/22	Wisconsin	44	Northwestern	47

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Northwestern	9	7	3 Overs
Wisconsin	10	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	13 - 6	5 - 7	2 - 4	3 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 13	7 - 5	3 - 3	4 - 2

(#) WIS at (#) NW

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	NW
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#61
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#37	#45
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wisconsin Injury Report

Northwestern Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	NW Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#37
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	WIS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#75	#7
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

WIS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions:
Temp: 60° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Wisconsin 6.5 (41.5)
Wisconsin won at Northwestern this year (21-7)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Northwestern last year (23-3)
Northwestern beat Wisconsin in 2023 (24-10)
Wisconsin beat Northwestern in 2022 (42-7)

WIS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NW's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD