Wisconsin at Michigan State - 2016 Matchup Preview

Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, September 24th 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan State -6 (42.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Wisconsin 30 - Michigan State: 6 (Big Ten)

Badgers (11 - 3) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 16 (25 - 11 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WIS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2 (SP+ WIS -8.5)
Projected Score: WIS: 21 - MSU: 21 (42)
MSU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
WIS Travel: 251 miles, 1 hrs behind

Spartans (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 28 (25 - 25 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Wisconsin vs LSU	+9.5	43.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Wisconsin vs Akron	-24.0	45.5	W 54 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Wisconsin vs Georgia State	-30.0	51.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/24	Wisconsin at Michigan State	+6.0	42.5	W 30 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Wisconsin at Michigan	+10.0	44.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+9.5	46.0	L 23 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/22	Wisconsin at Iowa	-2.5	43.0	W 17 - 9	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Wisconsin vs Nebraska	-7.5	44.0	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/5	Wisconsin at Northwestern	-6.5	41.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Wisconsin vs Illinois	-26.5	42.0	W 48 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Wisconsin at Purdue	-26.5	48.5	W 49 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	-14.0	42.5	W 31 - 17	O	N
Sat 12/3	Wisconsin vs Penn State	-1.0	47.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Mon 1/2	Wisconsin vs Western Michigan	-6.5	54.0	W 24 - 16	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Michigan State's 2016 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Michigan State vs Furman	-45.0
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/17	Michigan State at Notre Dame	+7.0	49.0	W 36 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Michigan State vs Wisconsin	-6.0	42.5	L 6 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/1	Michigan State at Indiana	-8.0	52.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/8	Michigan State vs BYU	-5.0	48.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/15	Michigan State vs Northwestern	-6.5	41.0	L 40 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/22	Michigan State at Maryland	-2.5	49.0	L 17 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/29	Michigan State vs Michigan	+21.0	49.5	L 23 - 32	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Michigan State at Illinois	-7.0	47.5	L 27 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/12	Michigan State vs Rutgers	-15.5	53.5	W 49 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Michigan State vs Ohio State	+23.5	50.0	L 16 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Michigan State at Penn State	+13.5	53.5	L 12 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2016)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	.15	45%	28.4	42%	2.67	203	46%	179	3.77	.04	39%	15.6	39%	37%	2.41	32.5	1.1	2
MSU	.16	42%	24.1	42%	2.78	173	39%	222	3.07	.15	43%	27.8	41%	44%	3.76	60.3	1.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2016

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	14	28.4	24.8	44.7%	3.77	1.1	20	382	203	179	4.3	62%	36%	42%	46%	13%	.15
MSU Defense	12	27.8	25.3	43.1%	3.76	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	55%	43%	41%	44%	13%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	14	15.6	11.2	38.9%	2.41	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	39%	37%	20%	.04
MSU Offense	12	24.1	25.1	42.1%	3.07	1.5	21	395	173	222	4.4	53%	45%	42%	39%	16%	.16

Additional Stats 2016

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	14	34:58	20.3	44%	50%	3.4	32.5	1.1	2	5.3	2.4	1	31.3
Michigan State	12	31:40	20.5	39%	48%	6.4	60.3	1.5	1.1	4.7	0.9	2	28

Run Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	14	62%	42%	47	203.1	4.3	31	.05	2.67	78%	10%	0.88
MSU Defense	12	55%	41%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.5	72%	8%	1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	14	45%	39%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.55	69%	10%	0.73
MSU Offense	12	53%	42%	39.3	172.7	4.4	14	.03	2.78	76%	10%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2016)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	14	36%	46%	14.4	23.1	179.1	7.8	12.4	14	10	.34	1.6	30%	37%	.3	4%	1.9
MSU Defense	12	43%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.26	1.6	32%	37%	.32	5%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	14	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	22	.12	1.5	35%	29%	.18	9%	1.7
MSU Offense	12	45%	39%	17.6	30.8	222.3	7.2	12.6	19	11	.31	1.7	36%	32%	.26	6%	1.7

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wisconsin's 2016 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 16.1 #16
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #58
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.8 #7

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: Michigan State: 6.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 16.1 Michigan State: 7.4

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 6.2 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating: #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.4 #50
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.0 #55
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 28.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.8
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 11.2

Wisconsin's 2016 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Wisconsin 21
Michigan State 21

Total Points: 42

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan State 22
Wisconsin 15

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Wisconsin 27
Michigan State 19

Total Points: 46

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.1
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Michigan State's 2016 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/15	Michigan State	34	Wisconsin	28	Wisconsin -7	Michigan State	49.5	Over
2019	10/12	Wisconsin	38	Michigan State	0	Wisconsin -8	Wisconsin	39.0	Under
2016	09/24	Michigan State	6	Wisconsin	30	Michigan State -6	Wisconsin	42.5	Under
2012	10/27	Wisconsin	13	Michigan State	16
2011	12/03	Michigan State	39	Wisconsin	42
2011	10/22	Michigan State	37	Wisconsin	31
2010	10/02	Michigan State	34	Wisconsin	24
2009	09/26	Wisconsin	38	Michigan State	30
2008	11/01	Michigan State	25	Wisconsin	24
2007	09/29	Wisconsin	37	Michigan State	34
2004	11/13	Michigan State	49	Wisconsin	14
2003	11/15	Wisconsin	56	Michigan State	21
2002	10/26	Michigan State	24	Wisconsin	42
2001	10/27	Wisconsin	28	Michigan State	42
2000	10/13	Michigan State	10	Wisconsin	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	7	1	1 Overs
Wisconsin	8	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 6	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	6 - 9	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#) WIS at (#) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#16	#50
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#37	#22
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wisconsin Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#58	#39
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	WIS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#55	#7
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

WIS 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 64° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Michigan State -6.0 (42.5)
Wisconsin won at Michigan State this year (30-6)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Wisconsin in 2022 (34-28)

WIS's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD