Western Michigan at Northwestern - 2016 Matchup Preview
Western Michigan logo   Western Michigan Broncos at Northwestern Wildcats  Northwestern logo
Saturday, September 3rd 2016 (12:00 PM EDT)
Northwestern -6.5 (53.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Western Michigan 22 - Northwestern: 21

 
Broncos (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (18 - 22 on Road)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: -2  (SP+ WMU -8.5)
Projected Score: WMU: 19 - NW: 22 (41)
NW Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
WMU Travel: 108 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 23 - 20 (27 - 12 @ Home)
'16 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Western Michigan's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Western Michigan at Northwestern+6.553.5W 22 - 21UY
Sat 9/10 Western Michigan vs North Carolina Central-29.5
Sat 9/17 Western Michigan at Illinois-1.556.0W 34 - 10UY
Sat 9/24 Western Michigan vs Georgia Southern-4.055.5W 49 - 31OY
Sat 10/1 Western Michigan at Central Michigan-4.060.5W 49 - 10UY
Sat 10/8 Western Michigan vs Northern Illinois-19.068.5W 45 - 30ON
Sat 10/15 Western Michigan at Akron-10.567.0W 41 - 0UY
Sat 10/22 Western Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-23.562.0W 45 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/1 Western Michigan at Ball State-16.064.5W 52 - 20OY
Tue 11/8 Western Michigan at Kent State-18.555.0W 37 - 21ON
Sat 11/19 Western Michigan vs Buffalo-34.055.5W 38 - 0UY
Fri 11/25 Western Michigan vs Toledo-9.571.5W 55 - 35OY
Fri 12/2 Western Michigan vs Ohio-17.058.0W 29 - 23UN
Mon 1/2 Western Michigan vs Wisconsin+6.554.0L 16 - 24UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Northwestern's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Northwestern vs Western Michigan-6.553.5L 21 - 22UN
Sat 9/10 Northwestern vs Illinois State-12.5
Sat 9/17 Northwestern vs Duke-4.044.0W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/24 Northwestern vs Nebraska+6.548.0L 13 - 24UN
Sat 10/1 Northwestern at Iowa+12.044.5W 38 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Northwestern at Michigan State+6.541.0W 54 - 40OY
Sat 10/22 Northwestern vs Indiana-2.554.0W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/29 Northwestern at Ohio State+24.053.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 Northwestern vs Wisconsin+6.541.5L 7 - 21UN
Sat 11/12 Northwestern at Purdue-10.558.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/19 Northwestern at Minnesota+2.046.0L 12 - 29UN
Sat 11/26 Northwestern vs Illinois-15.048.5W 42 - 21OY
Wed 12/28 Northwestern vs Pittsburgh+3.063.0W 31 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU.2847%24.947%3.2120446%2873.62.2443%17.442%43%3.8355.51.31.4
NW.0536%23.436%2.718933%1392.67-.0137%19.839%33%2.3739.71.51.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Offense1324.918.347.3%3.621.324491204287549%48%47%46%1%.28
NW Defense1319.812.436.8%2.371.6 - - - - - 45%53%39%33%1%-.01
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WMU Defense1317.421.742.9%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%48%42%43%2%.24
NW Offense1323.426.836%2.671.5183271891394.160%38%36%33%2%.05

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Western Michigan1334:3123.846%64%6.255.51.31.400229.1
Northwestern1329:4817.741%45%4.539.71.51.600427.4
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Offense1349%47%40.5203.7528.193.2175%0%0.97
NW Defense1345%39% - - - - .022.6675%0%0.97
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WMU Defense1350%42% - - - - .162.8266%0%1.21
NW Offense1360%36%46.2188.54.116.062.761%0%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Offense1348%46%2131.1287.19.213.7309.411.728%40%.591%2
NW Defense1353%33% - - - - - - 12-.031.437%25%.081%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WMU Defense1348%43% - - - - - - 10.331.634%36%.472%2
NW Offense1338%33%13.427.1138.55.110.4813.061.635%29%.182%1.7

Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #81
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Western Michigan's 2016 Expected Record: -
Western Michigan's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5  #29
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #13
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9  #70

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan:    Northwestern: 3.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: 11.5   Northwestern: 2.9




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 3.95 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2016 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9  #61
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #75
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.3
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 21.7

Western Michigan's 2016 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 22
Western Michigan 19

Projected Total Points: 41
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.8
Defense: 19.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Northwestern's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/03Northwestern21Western Michigan22Northwestern -6.5Western Michigan53.5Under
201309/14Northwestern38Western Michigan17Northwestern -34Western Michigan0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern100 Overs
Western Michigan121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 20 - 20 - 0
Road Teams1 - 12 - 00 - 02 - 0

(#) WMU at (#) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWMUNW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #29 #61
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #81 #45
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Western Michigan on Offense
CategoryCat
WMU OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Western Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCat
WMU OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCatNW OffWMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75 #70
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffWMU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCatNW OffWMU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Northwestern -6.5 (53.5)
Western Michigan won at Northwestern this year (22-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WMU's OC ()
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WMU's DC ()
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NW's DC ()
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