Illinois State at Northwestern - 2016 Matchup Preview
Illinois State logo Illinois State Redbirds at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, September 10th 2016 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northwestern -12.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Illinois State 9 - Northwestern: 7

 
Redbirds (1 - 0) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 9 - 7 (9 - 7 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
NW 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -4  (SP+ NW -3)
NW Win prob: 81% | Cover: 53%
Wildcats (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 26 - 22 (20 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois State's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/10 Illinois State at Northwestern+12.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois State's Schedule
Northwestern's 2016 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Northwestern vs Western Michigan-6.553.5L 21 - 22UN
Sat 9/10 Northwestern vs Illinois State-12.5
Sat 9/17 Northwestern vs Duke-4.044.0W 24 - 13UY
Sat 9/24 Northwestern vs Nebraska+6.548.0L 13 - 24UN
Sat 10/1 Northwestern at Iowa+12.044.5W 38 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Northwestern at Michigan State+6.541.0W 54 - 40OY
Sat 10/22 Northwestern vs Indiana-2.554.0W 24 - 14UY
Sat 10/29 Northwestern at Ohio State+24.053.5L 20 - 24UY
Sat 11/5 Northwestern vs Wisconsin+6.541.5L 7 - 21UN
Sat 11/12 Northwestern at Purdue-10.558.0W 45 - 17OY
Sat 11/19 Northwestern at Minnesota+2.046.0L 12 - 29UN
Sat 11/26 Northwestern vs Illinois-15.048.5W 42 - 21OY
Wed 12/28 Northwestern vs Pittsburgh+3.063.0W 31 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2016)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILST0%90%000%000%70%0%0000
NW.1240%2637%2.6615343%2453.28.0942%22.242%41%2.7829.91.21.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILST Offense1990%00000000%0%0%0%0%
NW Defense1322.217.742.4%2.781.9 - - - - - 46%52%42%41%16%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILST Defense1770%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
NW Offense132619.740.3%3.281.222398153245446%53%37%43%18%.12

Additional Stats 2016
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Northwestern1328:3821.639%53%3.629.91.21.95.92.1128.6
Run Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILST Offense10%0%000000%0%0
NW Defense1346%42% - - - - .052.6877%9%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILST Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
NW Offense1346%37%38.5153.2422.052.6676%11%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2016)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILST Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
NW Defense1352%41% - - - - - - 16.151.433%28%.17%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILST Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
NW Offense1353%43%21.737.2245.16.611.3229.191.534%30%.258%2

Illinois State's Power Ratings
Illinois State's Power Rating: NR
Illinois State's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois State's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #144
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois State's 2016 Expected Record: -
Illinois State's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Illinois State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois State:    Northwestern: 3.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois State:    Northwestern: 2.9




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: 3.95 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2016 Talent Rating:  #45
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2016 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2016 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9  #61
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9  #75
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.5  #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Illinois State Scoring
Offense: 9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 7 PPG
Defense on Road: 7

Illinois State's 2016 Record
Record: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Northwestern 21
Illinois State 17

Total Points: 38

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 27
Illinois State 19

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Illinois State 15
Northwestern 15

Total Points: 30
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.7

Northwestern's 2016 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201609/10Northwestern7Illinois State9Northwestern -12.5Illinois State0
201009/11Northwestern37Illinois State3
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern100 Overs
Illinois State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#) ILST at (#) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILSTNW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #61
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #144 #45
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Illinois State on Offense
CategoryCat
ILST OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NR #37
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois State Run Game
CategoryCat
ILST OffNW Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Illinois State Pass Game
CategoryCat
ILST OffNW Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCatNW OffILST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #75NR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffILST Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCatNW OffILST Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'16 Profile: Down to Top G5

ILST 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'16 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions:
Temp: 69° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 2
Northwestern -12.5 (0)
Illinois State won at Northwestern this year (9-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ILST's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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ILST's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NW's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD